Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Posted 3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF  |  4 comments

Texas vs Washington January 1, 2024 @ New Orleans LA

Opening Betting Odds

Spread: Texas -4, Washington +4
Moneyline: Texas -190, Washington +160
Total: 64.5

Preview

While there was plenty of controversy about the four teams selected for the College Football Playoffs, nobody can dispute that these two teams deserve to be here.

Washington upset the Oregon Ducks as a double digit underdog in the PAC12 Championship Game to finish the season with a perfect 13-0 record. Michael Penix Jr. is a Heisman Trophy finalist, and the Huskies finished 1st nationally in passing offense averaging 344 yards per game.

Texas didn’t just win the BIG12, the Longhorns have the best non-conference win in the country with their upset win over Alabama in Tuscaloosa in Week 2. This sets up a potential Hollywood Final if Texas faces Alabama for the National Championship.

Texas

  • 12-1 Overall in 2023
  • 8-1 in the BIG12 in 2023
  • 7-5-1 ATS in 2023

The Longhorns rank fourth nationally in run defense allowing just 81 yards per game and 2.9 yards per attempt. As impressive as that is, it might not be that significant against a Washington team that leads the nation in passing.

Texas ranked 10th in the BIG12 against the pass this season, allowing 240 yards per game. Michael Penix Jr. threw for 287 yards and two touchdowns on 32-of-54 passing in a 27-20 win over Texas in last year’s Alamo Bowl.

The Longhorns lost their leading rusher Jonathan Brooks who suffered a torn ACL in the win over TCU on November 11th. They will miss him, as he ran for 1,139 yards and 10 TDs and averaged 6.1 yards per carry.

Washington

  • 13-0 Overall in 2023
  • 9-0 in the PAC12 in 2023
  • 6-6-1 ATS in 2023

The Huskies have one of the hottest coaches in college football. Kalen DeBoer has won everywhere he’s been, with a career record of 103-11 in eight seasons. He’s earned a reputation as a “quarterback whisperer.”

Michael Penix Jr. lead the nation in passing with 4,218 yards, 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions. His top target Rome Odunze was second in the country in receiving with 1,428 yards.

Washington ranked sixth in the PAC12 in scoring defense, allowing 23.6 points per game. This is a slight improvement after allowing over 26 points per game in 2022. The Huskies finished with the most interceptions (16) in the PAC12.

Relevant Trends

  • The Huskies are 3-6 ATS in their last nine overall.
  • The Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall.
  • The Huskies are 7-13 SU in their last 20 bowl games.
  • The Longhorns are 10-3 SU in their last 13 bowl games.
  • The under is 6-3-1 in Oregon’s last 10 overall.

PREDICTION: WASHINGTON 38 – TEXAS 31

This actually looks like it could be a favorable matchup for the Huskies. They face a team that they beat in a bowl game last year, and Texas is vulnerable against the pass. Texas has also struggled in the red zone and has often left points on the table. Even in last year’s bowl game the Longhorns only managed to convert 420 yards of offense into 20 points. We might expect this game to be higher scoring than last year’s Alamo Bowl, but the same team is likely to prevail.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.

4 comments on Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.


Dave Smith

It doesn’t matter who wins this game, Michigan vs Alabama is for the National Championship. Whoever wins that game is going to be your national championship.


Kevin Singh

The Pac12 never gets enough respect. Washington beat Texas last year and they should do it again. Oregon was a way better team than Texas, and the whole beat Alabama narrative ignores the fact that Alabama wasn’t the same team in the first 4 weeks of the season.


Bengals Fan

This is a do dumb! The Huskies were a +9.5 underdog in their last game, and you are gonna bet them getting just 4 points against a Texas team that beat Alabama. That’s nuts IMO.


Jeremy

You guys don’t know shit! Texas has superior athletes all over the field. The offensive line is going to dominate this game and the Huskies will have no answer. #HookemHorns

More Reading

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Michigan vs Washington CFB Playoff Preview and Prediction January 8, 2024.

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Michigan comes in as the #1 seed, and Washington is the #2 seed. It's the fourth time we've seen the top two seeds meet in the Final, but the #2 seed has won three straight versus the #2 seed.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Oregon vs Liberty Fiesta Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Flames have beaten every team that was put in front of them, but this is such a major step up in class. Liberty ranked 119th nationally in strength of schedule, while Oregon ranked 9th.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

For the first time in history an undefeated Power Five Conference champion has been left out of the playoffs. While Florida State fans are left reeling, the defending champion Georgia Bulldogs dropped five spots from 1st to 6th after losing by just three points to Alabama.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Tennessee vs Iowa Citrus Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Citrus Bowl will feature the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Tennessee Volunteers in Orlando on New Years Day. This certainly isn't the most highly anticipated matchup of the day. It has been said that watching Iowa's offense is right up there with watching paint dry.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Michigan vs Alabama Rose Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Michigan survived mid-season controversy and the absence of their head coach in their final three regular season games. They come into the College Football playoffs as the #1 seed with a 13-0 record after beating Ohio State and then Iowa in the BIG10 Championship Game.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

LSU vs Florida State NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 3, 2023

7 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

This game has a potential revenge angle after the Tigers lost 24-23 on a missed extra point with zeros on the clock in Week 1 versus Florida State last year. Both these teams are ranked in the Top 10 in the country in the first edition of the AP Top…

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 4, 2023

7 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Dabo Swinney's team is looking to return to the College Football Playoffs in 2023. Last year's 11-3 campaign ended with a loss to Tennessee in the Orange Bowl. Cade Klubnik threw for 320 yards, no touchdowns and a pair on interceptions on 30-of-54 passing in the loss.

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Indiana Hoosiers NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 2, 2023

7 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Hoosiers will open the season as a home underdog, and the bookmakers are giving them a four touchdown spread against Ohio State. The Buckeyes won 56-14 at home versus Indiana last year, covering the spread of -39.5. The Hoosiers have just two wins in the BIG10 the last two…

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 2, 2023

7 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Boise State comes in as defending Mountain West Champions, going undefeated in conference play and winning 10 games overall last year. They didn't play any ranked teams last season, but they did play a team from the PAC12. They lost 34-17 to Oregon State in Week 1 of the 2022…

Texas vs Washington Sugar Bowl Preview and Prediction January 1, 2024.

Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 2, 2023

7 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF, Uncategorized

While we expect to see a vastly improved roster from the Colorado team that went 1-11 last year, there has been a ton of turnover and with so many moving parts it may take time to yield results. The Horned Frogs ran for 275 yards and four touchdowns in 38-13…