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Dave's Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Atlanta Hawks -5
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard 925.9 PPG), Paul George (23.9 PPG) and Patrick Beverly (8.1 PPG) tonight. They are missing basically half of their offense and easily their 2 best defenders on the other end. The Atlanta Hawks should make easy work of the depleted Clippers tonight. The Hawks are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with their only loss coming to the Milwaukee Bucks. Their 3 wins have all come by 8 points or more and by an average of 12.3 PPG. Take Atlanta.
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North Carolina at Pittsburgh 7:00 ET
Tar Heels over Panthers- North Carolina has had a different leading scorer in each of its last six games and performed a feat against NC State that they hadn't reached in 15 years as four freshman scored in double figures. Pittsburgh had reeled off three straight January wins but was upended at Wake Forest 76-75 on Saturday. The number for the Tar Heels are not inspiring as they are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while the Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 4-1 ATS at home. Take TAR HEELS!
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Georgia Tech @ Duke (9:00 PM EST)
Play On: Duke -6
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets travel to Duke to take on the Blue Devils on Tuesday night. Georgia Tech is 7-4 SU overall this year while Duke comes in with a 5-5 SU overall record on the season. Duke has not played well this year and Coach K is feeling the frustration. Coach K though is a very smart man and will figure out a way to win this one. They are on the outside looking in at the moment as far as the Big Dance goes and he won't have that. Duke is 35-3 SU and 26-12 ATS last 38 games overall vs Georgia Tech. The favorite is 23-10 ATS last 33 meetings overall in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Duke tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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This is a Free play on Chelsea.
Chelsea got off to a solid start, but with all the money spent on high end talent in the offseason expectations were not met. Recent struggles have cost manager and former star player Frank Lampard his job, and former PSG manager Thomas Tuchel will take over. This is an opportunity for young Chelsea players to make an impression with their new manager, and we should see a solid effort from the Blues at home versus Wolves. Wolverhampton is not a strong away side, with a goal differential of -7 in nine matches. Chelsea has a solid home record, with a goal differential of +8 in nine home matches.
The set-up: From a situational standpoint, I think this one sets up great for the home side. The Panthers had their first two games postponed this year due to COVID related issues, and then they just had their last two games postponed as well. In between they won two games over the Blackhawks, scoring five goals each time. Columbus on the other hand enters off an impressive 5-2 win over the Lightning and there's no reason not to believe that it can't carry that momentum over here.
The pick: The Panthers are also just 2-5 in their last seven as a road underdog. Take note as well that Columbus has completely dominated this matchup on home ice the last few seasons, going 14-2 the last 16 in the series here. Look for that strong trend to continue in this favorable home matchup.
The is a 1* FREE PLAY on the Jackets.
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Southern Illinois +5.5
I cashed in Southern Illinois +7 yesterday as a free pick in a 66-63 loss to Indiana State. I'm back on them again as Tuesday's free pick in the rematch. They will be the more motivated team for revenge, and I still think this line should be closer to a pick 'em.
The Salukis opened 7-0 this season before losing four straight. But two of those losses came to arguably the best team in the MVC in unbeaten Drake. They were off for three weeks, but they didn't show much rust at all yesterday against the Sycamores. They shot 49.1% as a team and should be even sharper today in their second game back in action.
Indiana State hasn't won any of its last 10 games by more than 8 points. This isn't a Sycamores team that you can trust to get margin. They shoot just 42.8% as a team and give up 46.8% shooting on the season. They shot 50% yesterday and still only won by 3 points. They are a below-average team in the Missouri Valley.
Indiana State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after a win by 6 points or less. Southern Illinois is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after playing two consecutive games as an underdog. The Salukis are 6-0 ATS in their last six games when revenging a close loss by 3 points or less. The Sycamores are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet Southern Illinois Tuesday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tennessee -9
The Tennessee Vols will give a big effort tonight. They opened 10-1 before dropping their last two games in upset fashion to Florida and Missouri. Now they face a Mississippi State team that doesn't have the firepower to hang with a motivated team like the Vols. The Bulldogs have been held to an average of just 61.5 points per game in losing three of their last four. The Vols are one of the better defensive teams in the country in holding opponents to 59.8 points and 39.9% shooting on the season. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Give me Tennessee.
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Flyers vs Devils Free Pick January 26, 2021
The New Jersey Devils are allowing only 2.0 goals per game on the season, but I think they'll struggle to slow down Philly in this one.
The Flyers should be fired up after dropping three of their last four games. They have had two full days of rest since taking a 6-1 beating by the Bruins at Boston.
Flyers are 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game, 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss of 3 or more goals and 8-3 in their last 11 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Free pick on Flyers.
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My free play is on Duke at 9:00 ET.
Duke was ranked 9th in the AP's preseason poll but the Blue Devils will welcome Georgia Tech to Cameron Indoor Coliseum on Tuesday with a 5-5 overall record, including 3-3 in the ACC. Duke dropped out of the AP top-25 on Jan 17, ending a steak of 91 consecutive rankings. Duke returns home stuck in a three-game skid after losses on the road at Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh and Louisville. In contrast, Josh Pastner's Yellow Jackets are 7-4 (3-2 in ACC), although Ga Tech had a five-game winning streak halted with Saturday night's 64-62 loss at first-place Virginia.
Ga Tech head coach Josh Pastner is in his fifth season with the Yellow Jackets, after SEVEN years at Memphis. His first four seasons have not gone well (just 65-67) and this year's team is as noted, 7-4. Returning PG Alvarado (17.4-4.3-2.6) and SG Devoe (13.9-4.5-3.3) have been excellent plus returning big man Wright (17.0 & 6.5) present an excellent trio. 6-7 USC transfer Usher (11.5 & 5.1) helps out up front plus VMI transfer Parham (8.3 & 3.6) adds to the team's backcourt depth. That's a solid five-man rotation but the Yellow Jackets have little depth.
If Duke is able to make a turnaround, it will likely involve the play of Coach K's three freshmen. The 6-7 Jalen Johnson (11.6 & 6.4) has had fluctuating performances in three games since returning from a foot injury; two points at Virginia Tech, 24 points (and 15 rebounds) at Pitt and nine points at Louisville. "He's a human being so you're not going to play well all of the time. But if you can correct whatever you are doing not so well while the game is going on, that is a key thing," Krzyzewski said of Johnson. "We were not able to do that. We need him." 6-9 sophomore Hurt (19.4 & 8.2) has been Duke's best player plus freshman guards Steward (13.1 & 4.4) Roach (10.0 & 3.1 APG) have been solid all season.
The Blue Devils haven't had a four-game slide since the end of the 2006-07 season and this marks their first home game since a Jan 9 victory against Wake Forest. Lay the points.
The Stars on the PL are worth a flyer. They are playing extremely well to start the season with back to back wins over Nashville. Dallas has everything working on the offensive end right now and they catch a Detroit team that is going to have an awful season.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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