Boise State Broncos vs Washington Huskies NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction September 2, 2023
Broncos vs Huskies September 2, 2023 @ Seattle WA
Opening Betting Odds
Spread: Huskies -14.5, Broncos +14.5
Moneyline: Huskies -700, Broncos +540
The Boise State Bronco will start the season on the road at Washington, and they will be a double digit underdog versus the Huskies. History favors the home team here, as the Broncos are 0-5 against the spread versus Washington dating back to 2007. The last meeting between these teams was back in 2019, and the Huskies won in Seattle by a score of 38-7.
Boise State comes in as the favorite to win the Mountain West, going undefeated in conference play and winning 10 games overall last year. They didn’t play any ranked teams last season, but they did play a team from the PAC12. They lost 34-17 to Oregon State in Week 1 of the 2022 season, and the bookmakers are calling for a similar result here in Washington.
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- 10-4 Overall in 2022
- 8-0 in the MW in 2022
- 6-7-1 ATS in 2022
The Broncos enter their third season under Andy Avalos’, and their offense will be in great shape. Dual threat quarterback Taylen Green is back along with George Holani and Ashton Jeanty in the backfield. With Latrell Caples, Billy Bowens and Stefan Cobs all returning, Green will have one of the top receiving corps in the Mountain West.
Boise State ranked seventh nationally in total defense last year, but that is perhaps a little misleading. Aided by a soft schedule, they beat up on a lot of teams that lacked offensive talent. The schedule isn’t going to be as easy this time around, with games against Washington, UCF and San Diego State in September.
They lost six starters from last year’s defense, and they will turn to the transfer portal to fill those holes. With cornerback Caleb Biggers, nickel Tyreque Jones and safety JL Skinner gone, the secondary should suffer some regression.
- 11-2 Overall in 2022
- 7-2 in the PAC12 in 2022
- 8-5 ATS in 2022
Kalen Deboer exceeded all expectations at Washington last year, with quarterback Michael Penix ranked second in the country in passing. With a pair of 1000 yard receivers returning on an offense that averaged 40 points per game in 2022, Penix and the Huskies should be a contender in the PAC12 again in 2023.
The Huskies have one of the nation’s best pass rushers in Bralen Trice, sixth-year defensive tackle Tuli Letuligasenoa and 2020 All-American Zion Tupuola-Fetui. The Huskies were terrible against the pass last year, allowing over 250 yards per game in the air.
They get some help from transfers Jabbar Muhammad (CB) from Oklahoma State, and Ralen Goforth (LB) from USC.
- The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
- The Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the Pac-12.
- The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
- The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
- The Under is 10-1 in the Broncos last 11 road games.
Prediction: Washington 42 – Boise State 17
Washington fielded one of the nation’s most dynamic offenses in 2022, and they could be even better here this season. While Boise State was statistically dominant on defense last year, those stats don’t account for any games against Top 25 teams. The Broncos lost by 17 points to a PAC12 team in Week 1 last year, and they will be hard pressed to hang with a Huskies team that is a legit threat to win the PAC12.