Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on Vegas over Minnesota at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We'll make a late addition to the card on Wednesday and back the Golden Knights as they look to pick up another victory over the Wild. Minnesota jumped out to a big second period lead against Vegas two nights ago but couldn't hold on in an eventual 5-4 overtime loss. While the Wild have exceeded expectations so far this season, I do think some regression is in order. Note that Minnesota is in a tough bounce-back spot here given it has gone 11-25 when revenging a one-goal loss over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of a full goal in that situation. The Knights have been a strong positive momentum play over the years, going 24-7 following a one-goal victory on home ice, outscoring opponents by a goal on average in that scenario. Vegas always seems to be a streaky team and coming off three straight wins, I believe they're worth a play at a very reasonable price on Wednesday night. Take Vegas (8*).

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My selection is on Villanova minus the points over Creighton at 8:30 pm et on Wednesday.

We won with Creighton as a home underdog the last time these two teams met but I won't hesitate to go the other way as the Blue Jays and Wildcats renew hostilities on Wednesday night. Creighton ran into a roadblock over the weekend, suffering an eight-point loss at Xavier. That brought an end to its four-game winning streak. Villanova is just 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and coming off a stunning double-digit loss on the road against Butler. That leads me to believe we'll see a peak performance here as it looks to rebound before closing out the regular season with a stop in Providence. Note that the Wildcats have outscored opponents by an average margin of 10.5 points at home seeking revenge against an opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here. Take Villanova (10*).

My selection is on Notre Dame minus the points over N.C. State at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

I'll back the Irish as they look to snap their three-game losing streak and also bring an end to N.C. State's four-game winning streak on Wednesday night. Keep in mind, each of Notre Dame's last three losses came on the road. Note that N.C. State has been outscored by an average margin of 6.3 points as a road underdog of six points or less this season. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has outscored opponents by an average of 5.3 points when coming off at least two losses in a row over the last two seasons, as is the case here. Take Notre Dame (10*).

My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Clemson at 5 pm et on Wednesday.

I'll back the Orange as a positive momentum play here as they look to build on Monday's two-point win over North Carolina. I like the matchup here, even with Clemson coming in hot off five straight wins. Note that the Tigers are a miserable 2-13 ATS after winning five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of eight points in that situation. Syracuse is an outstanding 12-1 straight-up at home this season and we're dealing with a very reasonable pointspread as it looks to improve to 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Clemson at the Carrier Dome. Take Syracuse (10*).

NHL West Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Anaheim at 9:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Blues are coming off two straight high-scoring games, including a 5-4 win here in Anaheim two nights ago. I'm expecting a reversal of sorts on Wednesday night as the Ducks look to bring an end to their seven-game losing streak. Note that the 'under' is 11-2 when the Blues come off consecutive games where at least seven goals were scored, with those contests totaling an average of just 4.5 goals. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 9-1 when the Ducks look to revenge a one-goal loss against an opponent, with those games reaching an average total of only 3.9 goals. Finally, the Ducks have posted a 4-14 o/u mark following five or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons, with those games averaging exactly five goals. This could certainly be seen as a flat spot for the Blues off back-to-back wild, one-goal road wins while Anaheim needs to ratchet up the intensity and snap their long skid before a tough two-game set in Colorado. Take the under (10*).

Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Wednesday.

We saw a wild, high-scoring affair between these two teams on this ice two nights ago with the Golden Knights rallying for a 5-4 overtime victory. I look for the scoring to settle down on Wednesday, however, as they wrap up consecutive games here in Vegas. Note that the Wild have been involved in back-to-back high-scoring games. That's worth mentioning as the 'under' has gone a perfect 7-0 when they follow up consecutive games where both teams scored at least three goals over the last two seasons, with those contests totaling an average of just 3.6 goals. That record moves to a perfect 8-0 when Minnesota is off back-to-back games where seven or more total goals were scored. Monday's 'over' result snapped a seven-game 'under' streak for the Knights. They're allowing 2.4 goals per game on less than 27 shots on goal per game on home ice this season. Take the under (8*).

Sean is coming off a WINNING card last night, keyed by his 10* NHL North Division Game of the Month with the Jets and his 10* NBA Pacific Division Total of the Year with the Suns-Lakers 'over'! Make sure you're on board for Wednesday's FIVE-GAME card - your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!

PLEASE NOTE: This line has dropped considerably with the news that Luka Doncic is doubtful for the Mavs. While I did personally play the Thunder at +8 well in advance of the Luka news, OKC still warrants a play at the current number as well.

NBA Underdog Game of the Week. My selection is on Oklahoma City plus the points over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Mavs failed to cover the 6.5-7-point spread for us on Monday despite holding a double-digit lead for much of the fourth quarter. Their defensive play continues to be a concern and I expect them to be in for a fight against a scrappy Thunder squad on Wednesday night. Note that Oklahoma City has been a solid road underdog in recent years, going 28-9 ATS in that situation over the last two seasons, outscored by an average margin of just 3.1 points. It gets even better when the Thunder are coming off a loss as they've gone 18-8 ATS on the road after suffering at least one loss, actually outscoring the opposition by a point per game on average. Meanwhile, similar situations have been dreadful for the Mavs as they're 3-12 at home off a road win over the last two seasons, stunningly outscored by an average of nearly nine points in that situation. Note that these two teams split a pair of meetings last season, with the Mavs owning the scoring margin edge by a total of five points. Take Oklahoma City (10*).