Buffalo vs LA Rams September 8, 2022 @ Inglewood CA
Opening Betting Odds
Spread: Buffalo -1, LA Rams +1
Moneyline: Buffalo -120, LA Rams +100
The Rams were “All In” for the 2021 season, and everything came together resulting in a Super Bowl LVI win over the Cincinnati Bengals. They come into the 2022 season looking to avoid the well documented “Super Bowl Hangover“.
Unlike the other major professional sports, Super Bowl champions rarely win in consecutive seasons. In fact dating back to 1990 the team that wins the Super Bowl has been more likely to miss the playoffs in the following season than they are to repeat as champions.
LA will start the season at home against the Buffalo Bills, who are the odds on favorite to win the Super Bowl in 2022. The Bills come into the season off an overtime loss to Kansas City in the second round of last year’s playoffs.
- 11-6 overall in 2021
- 5-1 in the AFC East in 2021
- 10-7-2 against the spread in 2021
The Bills finished last season ranked 1st in the NFL in scoring defense allowing just 17 points per game. The addition of Von Miller in the off-season certainly won’t hurt heading into 2022. Miller had a pair of sacks for the Rams in last year’s Super Bowl, and he had 9.5 sacks during the regular season for LA.
Josh Allen is the favorite to win MVP (+700 at BET365). He threw for 329 yards and four touchdowns on 27-of-37 passing in the Bills overtime loss to Kansas City in last year’s playoffs.
Buffalo is a -200 favorite (BET365) to repeat as AFC East champions, and their projected regular season win total of over 11.5 -140 is the highest of any team for the 2022 season.
- 12-5 overall in 2021
- 3-3 in the NFC West in 2021
- 10-11 against the spread in 2021
It won’t be easy for the Rams to make another Super Bowl run as they come into the 2022 season with the league’s toughest schedule based on opponent winning percentage. Making matters more challenging, they lost their leading rusher Sony Michel, star wideout Odell Beckham Jr. and veteran offensive lineman Andrew Whitworth.
The biggest loss might be linebacker Von Miller, who signed with Buffalo during the off-season. They do have the talent to be a contender if players like Cam Akers and Van Jefferson take the next step. Akers is just 23 years old, and Jefferson is 26, so it’s likely that their best years are still ahead of them.
Matthew Stafford is still one of the favorites to win MVP in 2022 (+1500 at BET365). He finished last year ranked third in the NFL in passing yards (4,886) and only Tom Brady threw more touchdown passes (43) than Stafford (41).
- The Bills are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog.
- The Rams are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in September.
- The Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in Week 1.
- The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
- The under is 20-7 in the Rams last 27 home games.
Prediction: Bills 24 – Rams 23
The Bills have won three of four meetings between these teams since 2008, and two of those wins came on the road. The total of 52 looks a little high for a season opener. Buffalo failed to reach the total in three of their first four games last year, and the Rams didn’t reach a total of 52 in either of their first two games last year.
The Rams have failed to reach the total in 19 of their last 26 as a home favorite, while Buffalo has gone under in 20 of their last 28 games on artificial turf.
Before you dive into the Week 1 betting action, you might want to consult Jesse Schule. He has a play posted for this game, and we expect big things from him early in the season. Notorious for his fast starts, in 2022 alone he kicked off the NCAA Tournament by going 8-0 in the first round. He started the MLB season on a 9-1 run, and he cashed nine of his first 10 tickets in the NBA Playoffs.