United States vs Paraguay World Cup 2026 Betting Preview & Prediction
Posted 3 weeks ago | Soccer | 0 comments
United States vs Paraguay June 12, 2026 Opening Betting Odds
Spread: Paraguay +0.5 -114, USA -0.5 -105
Moneyline: Paraguay +270, USA -100
Total: 2.5
Preview
Mexico along with USA and Canada will co-host the 2026 World Cup. The USMNT will open the tournament at Sofi Stadium in Inglewood California, home of the LA Rams. They host Paraguay, a team that they faced at the end of 2025, winning by a score of 2-1. These two teams have played three times over the last decade, and the United States prevailed in all three meetings. Paraguay failed to score in two of the three meetings.
United States
- 1-2-1 Last WC (2022)
- 3-2-0 Last 5 matches
Team USA announced their roster just three weeks before the tournament, and some familiar names appear alongside fresh faces. Christian Pulisic ranks 5th all time in goals scored for the USMNT, behind Clint Dempsey, Landon Donovan, Jozy Altidore and Erc Wynalda. Pulisic, Weston McKennie and Tyler Adams will be the most recognizable names. The 26 man roster is made up of 13 players who return after appearing in Qatar in 2022, and 13 players appearing in their first World Cup.
The Americans have qualified for three of the last four World Cups, and they advanced to the Round of 16 in all three of those tournaments. They will be the favorite to win Group D aheads of Turkey, Paraguay and Australia. They are priced as a 66-1 long-shot to win the tournament.
Paraguay
- 1-3-2 Last WC (2010)
- 7-7-4 WC2025 Qualifiers
- 2-0-3 Last 5 matches.
Paraguay went all the way to the Quarter-Finals in South Africa in 2010, but then failed to qualify for the next three World Cups. They return after a 16 year absence, but making out of the Group Stages might prove to be difficult. The Bookmakers have them priced at 150-1 to win the tournament, and 5-1 to win Group D.
Their World Cup Qualifying campaign was far from impressive, finishing with a record of 7-4-7 with a +4 goal differential as the last team to qualify from the CONMEBOL. They scored just 14 goals in 18 qualifying matches.
Relevant Trends
- USA has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches.
- USA is 3-0 in the last three head to head matches.
- Paraguay scored 14 goals in 18 qualifying matches.
- The total has gone Over in four of USA’s last five matches.
- The total has gone Under in three of the last four head to head matches.
PREDICTION: UNITED STATES 2, PARAGUAY 1
The host nations have gone 16-5-1 in their opening match all time, with Qatar the only host nation to lose their opening match in 2022. It seems clear that Paraguay will come in and play a pessimistic brand of football in search of a draw, but the crowd will provide added motivation for USMNT in their opening match. The favorites to win the group should be a good bet to kick off the tournament with a win over an inferior opponent.
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