North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Posted 2 weeks ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF  |  1 comments

North Carolina vs Minnesota August 29, 2024 @ Minneapolis, MN

Opening Betting Odds

Spread: Minnesota -1.5, North Carolina +1.5
Moneyline: Minnesota N/A. North Carolina N/A
Total: 50.5

Preview

The Tar Heels saw their quarterback drafted 3rd overall in the first round of the NFL Draft, and star wide receiver Tez Walker was drafted in the fourth round. Vegas has them priced as a 28-1 longshot to win the ACC, and their projected season wins total is set at 7.5

Minnesota is coming off a disappointing season, finishing last in the BIG10 West with a 3-6 conference record. The offense struggled to move the ball, putting even more pressure on the defense. The bookmakers aren’t projecting any improvement, setting their win total at just 5.5 (juiced to the under).

North Carolina

  • 8-5 Overall in 2023
  • 4-4 in the AAC in 2023
  • 6-7 ATS in 2023

The quarterback situation at Chapel Hill is up in the air, and it’s unclear who will be the heir apparent to Drake Maye. Former Texas A&M and LSU signal caller Max Johnson will battle with Conner Harrell who was the backup to Maye last year, and Jacolby Criswell who is back at North Carolina after spending last season with the Arkansas Razorbacks.

This is a program that has sent three quarterbacks to the NFL in seven years. Drake May was drafted 3rd overall in 2024, and Mitch Trubisky was drafted second overall in 2017. Sam Howell was a 5th round pick in 2022, but he has started 18 games over the past two seasons in Washington.

Don’t be surprised if the offense finds a way to be good again, but the bigger question is whether or not new defensive coordinator Geoff Collins can fix a defense that ranked 12th in the ACC last year.

Minnesota

  • 6-7 Overall in 2023
  • 3-6 in the BIG10 in 2023
  • 4-9 ATS in 2023

Plagued by poor quarterback play, the Gophers slipped from 9 wins in 2022 to a 6-7 season in 2023. They bring in senior transfer Max Brosmer, who was the FCS leading passer with New Hampshire last year. As always PJ Fleck will have a stable of capable running backs, and an offensive line that returns four starters.

Defensive coordinator Jeff Rossi left for Michigan State, and he will be replaced by former Rutgers linebacker coach Corey Hetherman. This program went from a Top 10 defense nationally in 2022 to the 10th best defense in the BIG10 last year.

While this team has a chance to improve on last year’s record, the 12th toughest schedule in the country isn’t going to be easy to navigate.

Relevant Trends

  • The Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The Tar Heels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in August.
  • The Under is 7-2 in the Gophers last 9 home games.
  • The Gophers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in week 1.
  • The Gophers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played in August.

PREDICTION: NORTH CAROLINA 24 – MINNESOTA 26

The Tar Heels defeated the Golden Gophers by a score of 31-13 at Chapel Hill last September, and that sets up a revenge spot here for Minnesota at home in Week 1. Home field should give the Gophers an edge, and they have won 10 straight games in the month of August. North Carolina has failed to cover in six of their last seven games in the month of August, and it might just take a few weeks for them to get the offense up to speed with a new quarterback.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.

One comment on “North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024”


PAC12FAN

This kid out of New Hampshire should do really well at Minnesota. Expect him to be a game changer!

More Reading

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Temple vs Okahoma NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 20, 2024

6 days ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

Brent Venables signed a six year contract extension this off-season, after leading the Sooners to 16-11 record the past two seasons. The bookmakers are not bullish on Oklahoma listing the odds at 5-1 to make the playoffs.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

TCU Horned Frogs vs Stanford Cardinal NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 30, 2024

1 week ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

This will be the first time these teams have faced each other since 2017. TCU won by a score of 39-37 in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio. TCU has won all three meetings dating back to 2007, but Stanford has covered in two of those three games.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Florida Atlantic vs Michigan State NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 30, 2024

1 week ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

Despite all the positivity surrounding the hire of new head coach Jonathan Smith, the bookmakers aren't exactly optimistic that the Spartans are going to see much improvement in the win column. Most books have their regular season win total set at 5.0,

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

North Dakota State vs Colorado NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

1 week ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

The Bison are very optimistic about first year head coach Tim Polasek, who is a familiar face after two previous stints as a running backs coach and an offensive coordinator. While it may well be a good fit, we expect him to have his hands full in Boulder in Week…

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Coastal Carolina vs Jacksonville State NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

2 weeks ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

The Gamecocks will host Coastal Carolina in Week 1, and Jacksonville State was 5-1 at home last season. The bookmakers have their season win total set at 7.5 (juiced -140 to the over). They are priced at 5-1 to win Conference USA.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

SMU vs Nevada Wolfpack NCAAF Week Zero Preview and Prediction August 24, 2024

3 weeks ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

The Mustangs will kick off the 2024 season on the road at Reno. They will be a huge favorite against a Nevada team that is projected to win fewer than three games in 2024. SMU is a longshot to win the ACC, priced at 18-1.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Florida State vs Georgia Tech NCAAF Week Zero Preview and Prediction August 24, 2024

3 weeks ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Featured, NCAAF

Georgia Tech is returning to to Dublin where they beat Boston College by a score of 17-13 back in 2016. This will be the first time Florida State will playing outside the United States for the first time in school history.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Portugal vs Czech Republic EURO 2024 Preview and Prediction June 18, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Soccer

Portugal won this tournament in 2016. Although that team is broken up, Christiano Ronaldo still remains. Ronaldo is not a starter which shows the strength and depth that this Portugal squad has, as they are the top seed in Group F.

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Italy vs Albania EURO 2024 Preview and Prediction June 16, 2024

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, Soccer

Italy has appeared in 10 European Championships, advancing to the Final four times and winning twice in 1968 and 2020. The defending champions are not considered the favorites here in 2024, with England, France, Germany, Portugal and Spain all getting shorter odds to win the tournament

North Carolina vs Minnesota NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 29, 2024

Spain vs Croatia EURO 2024 Preview and Prediction June 15, 2024

3 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report, Soccer

Spain is the top seed in Group B and is the 4th favorite in the betting odds. Spain has won 4 of their last 6 matches in this series including a 5-3 win the last time they faced off. After an opening match loss, Spain cruised through qualification winning 6…