Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Posted 10 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF  |  4 comments

Georgia vs Florida State December 30, 2023 @ Miami FL

Opening Betting Odds

Spread: Georgia -14.5 Florida State +14.5
Moneyline: Georgia -600, Florida State +460
Total: 45

Preview

For the first time in history an undefeated Power Five Conference champion has been left out of the playoffs. While Florida State fans are left reeling, the defending champion Georgia Bulldogs dropped five spots from 1st to 6th after losing by just three points to Alabama.

While both these teams would like to make a statement here in the Orange Bowl, it’s likely that plenty of starters on both sides will opt out, declare for the draft or hit the transfer portal.

Kirby Smart is 8-2 in bowl games as a head coach, but not all bowl games are created equally. This year’s Orange Bowl could be a let down after playing for back to back National Championships.

Mike Norvell has a career record of 1-3 in Bowl games, but that one win came last year in the Cheez-it Bowl against Oklahoma. Jordan Travis threw for over 400 yards in that game, and Norvell won’t have his senior quarterback here against Georgia.

Georgia

  • 12-1 Overall in 2023
  • 8-0 in the SEC in 2023
  • 4-8-1 ATS in 2023

The Bulldogs finished 2nd in the SEC in total offense, averaging 483 yards per game. They also finished first in the SEC in scoring defense allowing just 16.6 yards per game. Georgia had won 29 consecutive games prior to a 27-24 loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

Georgia quarterback Carson Beck finished 4th nationally in passing yards (3,738), with 22 touchdowns and just six interceptions. Tight-end Brock Bowers is expected to be a first round pick in the NFL Draft, and he and Ladd McConkey are likely to opt out of the bowl game.

The Bulldogs scored an SEC best 35 rushing touchdowns, and they have a deep backfield with five different running backs all averaging over five yards per carry.

Florida State

  • 13-0 Overall in 2023
  • 9-0 in the ACC in 2023
  • 8-5 ATS in 2023

Mike Norvell wasn’t happy about his team being left out of the playoffs. He unleashed on the committee: “I am disgusted and infuriated with the committee’s decision today to have what was earned on the field taken away because a small group of people decided they knew better than the results of the games,” Norvell said. “What is the point of playing games?” Norvell added: “What happened today goes against everything that is true and right in college football. A team that overcame tremendous adversity and found a way to win doing whatever it took on the field was cheated today. It’s a sad day for college football.”

The fact of the matter is that a four team playoff system was destined to fail, and while the Seminoles certainly deserved a spot in the playoff, they are not one of the top four teams in the country. The fact that they find themselves a double digit underdog here in this bowl game is evidence of such.

The Seminoles only had a total of 224 passing yards, no passing touchdowns and less than a 50 percent completion percentage with their second and third string quarterbacks in their final two games.

Relevant Trends

  • The Bulldogs are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games played in December.
  • The Bulldogs are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the ACC.
  • The total has gone under in 4 of Florida State’s last 5 games.
  • The Bulldogs are 29-1 SU in their last 30 games.
  • The Florida State are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog.

PREDICTION: GEORGIA 33 – FLORIDA STATE 13

While it is difficult to predict who will opt out of this game, we know for certain that Jordan Travis and Johnny Wilson are not going to play. Georgia had the #1 recruiting class in the country three years ago, and they have had three straight Top 5 recruiting classes. Even if starters opt out, the players behind them are likely a step above what Florida State has to offer. Those expecting the Seminoles to come in here and prove everyone wrong, need to remember that Georgia was also snubbed. A lot of the emotion will have subsided by the time this game kicks off.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.

4 comments on Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023


BOBtheSnob

The Dawgs are gonna roll here! They can’t make the number high enough … UGA wins by 30…. THANK ME LATER!


Aaron Woodard

I wouldn’t bet on this game with Vegas Dave’s money (if he has any left). Both teams are gonna be missing a lot of guys, it’s gonna be all backups and who knows how much either of these teams cares about this meaningless bowl game.


Bengals Fan

The State of Florida is taking the CFB Committee to court, the fans are coming after Kirk Herbstreit, and ESPN is losing viewers by the day. This might go down as the BIGGEST SCREW JOB in the history of sports!


Vandy Vance

You got Florida State talking about a boycott? That doesn’t bode well for players opting out if this game even kicks off. Personally I wouldn’t blame the Seminoles for choosing not to play in this game. They got screwed!

More Reading

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Fresno State vs Michigan NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Wolverines may be defending champions, but they will look different this year. Head coach Jim Harbaugh went to the NFL, as did quarterback JJ McCarthy. The exodus doesn't end there, the entire offensive line, star RB Blake Corum and the majority of the receiving corps will also be playing…

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

LSU Tigers vs USC Trojans NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction September 1, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The LSU Tigers will play USC in Las Vegas in a rare Sunday night game in Week 1. These teams face similar challenges heading into the 2024 season. Both teams will replace their starting quarterback, and not just any starting quarterback. Jayden Daniels won the Heisman last year, and Caleb…

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Notre Dame vs Texas A&M NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Mike Elko comes over from Duke to take the head coach job for Texas A&M, and he will face his former quarterback Riley Leonard who transferred from Duke to Notre Dame in the off-season. Elko had previously worked as the defensive coordinator at both Texas A&M and Notre Dame.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Colorado State vs Texas NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Longhorns should beat the pants off this Rams team, and if they really wanted to they could cover a 36-point spread. We expect them to dominate the first half, but when you look up at the schedule and see a road game at Michigan the following Saturday

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Western Michigan vs Wisconsin NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 30, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Badgers defeated Western Michigan by a score of 24-16 in the Cotton Bowl back in 2017 the last time these teams met. Wisconsin will be a significant favorite in this Week 1 matchup on a Friday night.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Penn State vs West Virginia NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

The Nittany Lions opened the 2023 season at home versus West Virginia, and they would win by a score of 38-15. The final score may have been a little misleading in a game that was perhaps closer than it looked. Penn State was up 14-7 at halftime,

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Clemson Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

This will be the first meeting between these teams since Clemson opened the 2021 season with a 10-3 home loss to Georgia. The last time these teams played in Georgia, the Bulldogs won by a score of 45-21 in Week 1 of the 2014 season.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Florida Gators vs Miami Hurricanes NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 31, 2024

2 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

This will be one of most highly anticipated matchups in Week 1, and with both these coaches on the hot seat heading into the season, it's a must win for both teams.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

Temple vs Oklahoma NCAAF Week 1 Betting Preview and Prediction August 30, 2024

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

Brent Venables signed a six year contract extension this off-season, after leading the Sooners to 16-11 record the past two seasons. The bookmakers are not bullish on Oklahoma listing the odds at 5-1 to make the playoffs.

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Preview and Prediction December 30, 2023

TCU Horned Frogs vs Stanford Cardinal NCAAF Week 1 Preview and Prediction August 30, 2024

3 months ago |  Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF

This will be the first time these teams have faced each other since 2017. TCU won by a score of 39-37 in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio. TCU has won all three meetings dating back to 2007, but Stanford has covered in two of those three games.