10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

The Cavaliers lost every game on the road in their Round 1 series vs. the Magic, and won every game at home. We can expect this pattern to continue here for sure facing the well-rested Celtics, who have had nearly an entire week off after beating Miami in five. That included a 118-84 win in Game 5 here last week. No need to overanalyze this one, as we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well as everything points to the Cavs coming in "gassed" after their emotional seven-game series win over the Magic; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Boston!

AAA Sports

10* Rangers (ASSASSIN)

The Rangers have won three of their last four and are looking to keep the momentum rolling here in Game 1 of this favorable four-game road series. The bottom line here is that we feel this is a much more lop-sided starting pitching matchup than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Texas goes with Andrew Heaney (0-4, 5.10 ERA), while the home side counters with Alex Wood (1-3, 6.32.) Oakland's six game win streak came to an end yesterday, and for the most part he's turned the corner of late with his performance, just hasn't received much support. We say that trend ends today in this favorable spot; lay the price, the play is Texas!

AAA Sports

10* Panthers (2ND RND GOY)

We're primarily "situational" handicappers when you get right down to it. We look at every stat imaginable, but some times we like to keep it simple. And that's the case for this selection. Boston is coming off a grueling seven game series with the Leafs and we're expecting the visiting side to come out fatigued. To say the least! And to say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as the Bruins took all four regular season matchups. This is a rematch of last year's first round, which Florida took 4-3. Florida has had a couple extra days off after winning in five of Tampa, and we say that'll be the difference-maker here between these teams in Game 1 of this series; lay the price with confidence, the play is Florida!

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10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW)

We like the Knicks to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Pacers got by the wounded Bucks in six games, but we expect them to struggle here in this difficult road venue vs. New York, which got by Philly to advance to this point. So far Indiana is averaging 113 PPG in the playoffs, and allowing 110.2. New York averaged 108.3 PPG in the first round, while allowing 108.2. The Pacers went 2-1 SU in the regular season vs. New York, but with Jalen Brunson now playing at such an elite level, we think the visiting side will have trouble containing the home side's super star. In the end, lay the points and expect a convincing win and cover for New York!

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10* Dallas (BEST OF THE BEST)

These teams are really evenly matched, but Dallas now has a major advantage playing on home ice here for Game 7 in our opinion. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion, so that does in fact swing the value in favor of the home side here. Dallas won 26 of 41 home games during the regular season, while Vegas won just 18 of 41 away contests. Look for the "hungrier" home side to find a way to deliver the goods once it's all said and done; lay the price, the play is Dallas!

AAA Sports

10* Giants (SUPER SIDE)

The Phillies have won four straight, including the first two games of this series by scores of 4-3 and 14-3 yesterday. But with the superior starting pitcher on the hill in our opinion in Sunday's matchup, we're expecting the hungry visiting side to finally punch one into the win column. These teams will conclude this four-game series tomorrow. But today San Fran hands the ball to Logan Webb (3-2, 2.98 ERA), while the home side will counter with Taijuan Walker (1-0, 8.53.) Webb has been nothing but consistent to this point, and we expect that pattern to continue here in this important game for the Giants. Conversely, Walker is still trying to work himself back into shape. Look for SAN FRANCISCO to find a way to get the job done once it's all said and done in this one!

AAA Sports

10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN)

No need to overthink this one. Betting the Cavs on the spread is quite the public pick, but with the home team having won every game so far in this series, we're expecting this trend to continue and for Cleveland to not only win this game, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Orlando is very talented, but young. Cleveland has the more experienced core and the home floor advantage at this point of the series simply can't be overlooked. We say that the Cavaliers at home are the correct call here in Game 7; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Cleveland!

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10* Austin/Vancouver OVER (MLS WEST-CONF TOM)

This is Austin's first trip to BC since July 2023 and suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be plentiful. Austin so far has 15 points after a 2-0 win over the LA Galaxy last time out. Note though that Austin has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 off a shutout victory. Vancouver comes in off a 1-1 draw at Red Bull Arena in its most recent action. And if recent history is any precedence, then all signs definitely point to a higher-scoring shootout, as over the last six games against each other they've produced 20 goals (an average of 3.33 GPG.) Look for this pattern to continue as this total flies "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Bruins (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have a lot of playoff failures on their shoulders here going in to Game 7, but we can't state how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be for the Bruins in the end. Toronto has won back-to-back tight 2-1 contests, but it's difficult to see Boston losing three straight. Also note that the Bruins are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as fav vs. an opponent. I really respect Toronto and think it has made this an exciting series, but look for Boston to finally bounce back and deliver the goods here at home in Game 7; great price play is indeed on the Bruins!

AAA Sports

10* Miami (MLS EAST-CONF GOY)

We feel that Miami and Messi at home here could/should in fact be much larger favorites. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs but Miami won't forget the last time they battled and in which they fell 4-0 last season. And with back-to-back road games after this, Miami will be looking to make the most of this opportunity. New York hasn't lost in six games, but it it also hasn't won in three straight. The Red Bulls come to down off three straight draws, including a lacklustre 1-1 effort at home vs. Vancouver last time out. With New England coming to town the following weekend, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." A great overall situational play here on Miami!

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10* Astros (ASSASSIN)

These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and we're expecting those trends to continue here. Two really good starters, but Houston is getting healthier and has a lot of ground to make up after a terrible start. Seattle is now 17-15 overall and just 6-7 on the road after yesterday's 5-3 series-opening loss here. Houston is now 12-20 overall, and 7-10 at home after winning six of its last seven. The Mariners have now lost two straight and we're expecting that slide to continue here facing Framber Valdez, who has been a ray of sunshine for the Astros this year, coming in 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA. Logan Gilbert is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA for the Mariners, but look for Houston to build off its recent momentum and to deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros!

AAA Sports

10* Nuggets (WEST-CONF RND 2 GOY)

Both teams looked great in their Round 1 series. No one expected the Wolves to sweep the Suns. Everyone expected the Nuggets to take out the Lakers in 4 to 6 games. Either way, these two Western Conference powerhouses collide here, but now we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be a difference-maker. Denver beat Minnesota 116-107 here at home Back on April 10th, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Denver will be acutely aware to not give up this first game, and while the Wolves looked decent against the dysfunctional Suns, now they have to contend with the best player on the planet; grab the points, the play is Denver!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOM)

We like the Magpies to get the job done on the road here as favorites vs. the overmatched Clarets. Burnley is second to the bottom in the EPL table. Off a 1-1 draw with Man U, a letdown appears imminent now for the home side in our opinion. Newcastle finished Top 4 last year, but is seventh right now. After a 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, the Magpies bounced back with the convincing 5-1 win over Sheffield United. Burnley has been consistently inconsistent and we expect that to once again be the case this weekend vs. Newcastle!

AAA Sports

10* Clippers (WEST-CONF GOM)

Outright win?! As Kevin Garnett once said, anything is possible, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. LA is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in as well. James Harden had a difficult night last time out, but we don't see that happening again. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but we're grabbing the points with LA and, at the very least, expecting a battle until the final horn!

AAA Sports

10* Magic (EAST-CONF GOM)

So far, as far as winning and losing SU, home floor advantage has meant everything. Game 5 was the first game in this series in which the home team didn't cover the spread. But we see Orlando not only covering here at home, but doing do in blowout fashion once again, setting up a decisive Game 7 in Cleveland and making this a spread that we have no issues at all in laying. Cleveland is still just 22-21 on the road, while Orlando is 31-12 at home. the Magic held the Cavs to under 90 points in Game's 3 and 4 and we're expecting a similar dominant performance here as well; lay the points, the play is Orlando!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Canucks/Predators (WEST-CONF TOM)

This has been a back-and-forth series, as the Canucks move forward with their second and third-string goaltenders, and the Predators holding on for dear life after the 2-1 Game 5 victory in Vancouver. These two teams will be fighting tooth and nail here Nashville on Friday night, but in our opinion, everything points to a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Note that Vancouver has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Game 4 here was a 4-3 OT win for Vancouver, and we're predicting a similar final combined score here as well in Game 6; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Giants/Phillies (ASSASSIN)

Neither team has been involved in many high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting that to change in the opener of this three-game series, despite two decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran goes with Jordan Hicks (2-0, 1.59 ERA), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (4-1, 3.20.) San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after yesterday's 3-1 win at Boston, and note that the Giants have still seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Philadelphia is rolling and just took two of three at LA. The Phillies return home after three straight series on the road and we're expecting this talented hitting line-up to plate some runs. In fact, we're expecting each side to put up enough runs that at the end of this one, the total will indeed go way "over" this super low total; and that's the play, the "over!" 

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10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER)

We think that New York wasted its opportunity to put away Philadelphia and that the momentum has now firmly swung back in favor of the 76ers. Yes, Joel Embiid isn't at 100%, but he's quickly adapting and his teammates have picked up the slack. The Knicks have a ton of talent, but they lack size and depth. And now they're fatigued, on the road and the pressure is squarely on them to get the job done here and now; we say they stumble and the home side not only wins this game, but does so in blowout fashion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Bruins/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER)

Boston won Game by a score of 5-1, and it's been the only game in this series that's so far eclipsed the posted number. But now here in Game 6 we're anticipating another wide-open shootout. Note that Boston has seen the total fly "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate in this crucial contest, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later; and that's the play!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Tottenham/Chelsea (EPL TOM)

These two rivals renew that rivalry at Stamford Bridge on Thursday and while each has played to several higher-scoring games of late, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here finally on Thursday. The Hotspurs are off B2B losses, first calling 4-0 at Newcastle, before then dropping a 3-2 decision at home to Arsenal last week. They lost to Chelsea 4-1 at home in the reverse-fixture back in November, but note that Tottenham has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Chelsea is 13-11. It fell 5-0 to Arsenal, before then drawing 2-2 at Aston Villa last week. Fatigue becomes an issue here in our opinion in this mid-week contest, turning this match into much more of a "war of attrition," than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

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10* Clippers (BEST OF BEST)

The Clippers won Game 4 as seven point dogs and now here at home getting points, and with the majority of the public money on the visitors as well, we're going the other way here. The Mavericks defense looked like it might take over this series, but Paul George and company solved the puzzle last time out in Game 4 and we're expecting a similar game-plan here at home now. It's Luke Doncic and the Mavericks who are now fatigued here on the road. While we definitely feel that the outright victory is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Cubs/Mets (BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but we're anticipating much more of a wide-open affair here finally in the finale. The Cubs have now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-2 loss, but note that Chicago has in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're super impressed so far with both starters, but we definitely feel that regression is imminent. The Cubs go with Shota Imanaga (4-0, 0.98 ERA), while the home side counters with Jose Butto (0-1, 2.86.) The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends do indeed point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Braves/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scorin games of late, but all signs finally point to a slug-fest in the finale of this three-game Il series in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 2-1 win here over Atlanta. Note that the Braves have seen the total dip "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. Reynaldo Lopez is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA for the Braves and regression feels imminent for us. Luis Castillo is 2-4 with a 4.15 ERA for the Mariners, but the overall situation, combined with the above-listed trends, all do indeed point to this one being much more of a "slugfest" than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Pacers/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games in this series, but we're finally expecting a defensive affair. The Bucks are on the ropes here now down 3-1 in this series, as they've struggled without Giannis in the line-up. Note though that Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Also note that the Pacers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Fatigue becomes a factor now here as well in our opinion. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point to a very defensive affair; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Isles/Canes (EAST-CONF TOW)

With their backs against the wall, the Isles delivered the 3-2 OT win in Game 4 to stave off elimination for at least one more game in this series. Now up 3-1, Carolina will look to rebound and end this at home here now in Game 5. Note that Carolina has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. We think the Isles can match their offensive output from Game 4 as well, so in what we anticiapte will be a faster-paced affair here in Game 5, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Stars/Knights (WEST-CONF TOW)

The money is pretty much split down the middle between these two teams here in Game 4 in Las Vegas. So far, home ice advantage has been anything but for these two teams. Las Vegas won the first two in Dallas, while the Stars then finally bounced back with the tight 3-2 win in OT in Game 3. Note though that Las Vegas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The first game went "over" the number in the Stars' 4-3 victory, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here in this important Game 4 as well; this number is low, the play is hte "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Braves/Mariners (IL TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games as we head into the first contest of this Interleague series here in the PNW on Monday night, but we say those trends finally end this evening. Atlanta has seen the total go "under" in six straight now after taking two of three at home over Cleveland this weekend, while Seattle has also seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking two of three here at home over the Diamondbacks. Note that Seattle has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten off a home loss as a favorite (lost 3-2 in yesterday's series' finale with AZ.) Max Fried is 2-0 with a 4.97 ERA for the Braves, while Bryce Miller is 3-2 with a 2.22 ERA for the Mariners. Two decent starters, but the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trend points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOW)

Much like the Lakers rallied in their fourth game when down 3-0 to Denver to push the series to a fifth, we're expecting the same result here from New Orleans. That said, in a contest that we see being very competitive, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Thunder struggled a bit in Game 1, but have dominated the last two games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and company are in unchartered territory and we think they'll have a hard time putting away the Pelicans on the road here in this fourth game. A letdown at some point is going to happen for OKC, and we say it's here on Monday night. As stated above, we do feel the outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (SUPER BLOWOUT)

All three games have so far flown "over" the number in this series, but we're expecting much more of a defensive affair this time around finally here in LA. Edmonton is up 2-1, but note that LA has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Fatigue now becomes a factor here for each side. The public is quick to back another high-scoring affair here, but that fact only lends weight for our contrarian nature as well when it comes to this selection. We say that Game 4 will finally be a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

Minnesota has surprisingly dominated this series. The Wolves were favored to win, but still no one expected the Suns to get swept. And we still don't think that'll be the case. They say that winning the fourth game of any series is the most difficult. Note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota is on the cusp of wrapping up this series, but a letdown appears imminent in our eyes. Too much talent and heart still left here on this Phoenix team, much like the Lakers last night, who just delayed the inevitable now heading back to Denver. Either way, the play for us here in Game 4 is indeed on Phoenix!

AAA Sports

10* OVER D-Backs/Mariners.

The Mariners have now won five of their last six after taking the first two games of this series. They've also seen the total go "under" in five straight now, but that's significant to take note of as Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brandon Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) goes for Arizona, while Logan Gilbert (2-0, 1.87) counters for the home side. Gilbert looks poised for regression after this blistering start and after getting held to just a single run in each of the last two games, we're expecting this talented hitting Diamondbacks line-up to be there to take advantage. This number is a little low, so the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Knicks (ASSASSIN)

Philadelphia took Game 3, but we're expecting a battle until the final horn here in Game 4 after the 125-114 setback on Thursday. note that the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Both teams have had to deal with injuries and are still dealing with injuries. Home court has so far proven to be an advantage in this series, but we say that trend gets bucked today. In what we suspect will be an all out war, we're grabbing the points!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Nuggets/Lakers (BEST OF BEST)

The first three games of this series have fallen below the number, as the Lakers have fallen apart in the second half of each contest so far. At this point, even if LA does win Game 4, the Lakers would then just clearly be delaying the inevitable. That said, after the first three games all going "under," we're finally expecting this Game 4 to go "over!" Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. LA's bench has been shutdown, but with the home side fighting tooth and nail like we suspect to avoid the sweep, this faster-paced affair will indeed fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW)

Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this matchup. FC Cincinnati is 4-2 and in our estimation, it could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. It just snapped a three-game winless streak with a convincing 2-1 win at Atlanta and we say that momentum gets carried over here at home. Colorado is also 4-2, but after two straight victories, a predictable letdown seems imminent here to us in this difficult road venue. And with a game at NYCFC up next, it's also a "look ahead" for the visitors; lay the price with confidence, the play is FC Cincinnati!

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10* Lightning (PLAYOFF PAY-OFF)

Florida is no longer the red-headed step-child in this in-state rivarly, as the Lightning are now on the ropes down 0-3. The hardest game to in a seven games series is the fourth one though, and in our opinion, the Panthers are finally poised for a letdown here. Note that Tampa is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Tampa is still 25-12-4-1 at home this year. We say there's no way the Bolts get swept in this series. Florida packs up the tents early we're expecting, and then wraps this one up at home in Game 5; the play is Tampa!

AAA Sports

10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

We feel that home floor advantage will prove to be just that for the 0-2 Pelicans finally here on Saturday afternoon. An 0-3 hole would be too big to climb out of obviously, so this is the biggest game of the year for New Orleans. OKC was 24-17 on the road this year, while New Orleans was 22-20 at home. Regardless, it's significant to note that the Pelicans are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Yes, Zion Williamson is out for this series, but CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram are going to respond in our opinion. There's no way the Pels are getting swept, as really the Thunder have been anything but impressive to us over these first two games. We just expected more. The Pels shoot over 37 percent from range at home, and we expect that to come into play here as well; grab as many points as you can here in Game 3, the play is on New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

After getting blown out in yesterday's series opener by a score of 12-2, we're expecting Toronto to be much more competitive here on Saturday. It was the Jays' fourth straight loss. It was LA's fifth straight win. Tyler Glasnow is 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA for the Dodgers, while Yusei Kikuchi is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA for the Jays. We expect Kikuchi to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a scenario like that it's the undervalued home dog that does indeed become the savvy wager in our estimation; while the outright is clearly possible, our official call is Toronton the runline option!

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10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

We think that a little "home cooking" will turn the tide in this series, as we're expecting the Suns to not only win this essentially must-win Game 3, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Phoenix has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Suns were a lot better at home this year as well, finishing with a 24-16 record. Minnesota has looked solid so far, but we're cautious here with its first game in the playoffs away from friendly confines. A 3-0 hole will be just too big for Phoenix to climb out of; with the home side risking life and limb, the play is indeed on the Suns!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're anticipating a much tighter defensive affair here now that the venue has shifted to the West Coast. Edmonton won Game 1 by a score of 7-4, and hten LA bounced back with the 5-4 OT victory in Game 2. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. We think fatigue will also now play a factor here as the series wears on. With each team doubling down defensively like we're suspecting in this one to try and get the upperhand in this series, everything does indeed point to a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Jets/Avs (TOTAL BOB)

The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but now with the shift in venue, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here. Fatigue now at this part of the series takes effect. Altitude in Colorado is a factor. Also note that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss vs. an opponent. Game 3 in Colorado shapes up to be a defensive goaltenders battle in our opinion; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Clippers/Mavericks (SUPER TOTAL)

The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but now with the shift in venue we're anticipating these talented offensive teams to finally eclipse what we feel is now a really low number. Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Dallas was 25-16 at home, while LA was 26-15 on the road. All signs once again point to a very competitive affair here in Game 3, but this time a high-scoring one; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

We feel that Toronto is really undervalued here. That brings extra value to the runline option overall in our opinion. The Dodgers are 16-11 overall, while Toronto is 13-12. LA has won four straight now after winning three in a row in the Nation's capital this week. Now though travelling North of the border, we're expecting a small step back. Toronto enters on the other end of the spectrum, as it's now lost three straight after falling 2-1 in five innings at KC last night. The Jays have the clear starting pitching matchup in their favor though, with Gavin Stone (1-1, 6.00 ERA) going for the Dodgers, and Chris Bassitt (2-3, 3.90) countering for the home side. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Toronto on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Nuggets/Lakers (TOP PLAY)

The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're anticipating a much higher-scoring shootout this time around with the shift in venue. Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer point in. The Lakers closed out the regular season by seeing the total fly "over" the number in five straight games. Now returning home and with their backs against the wall, LA will have to push the pace from start to finish no matter the size of the lead; expect this overall tempo to help in contributing to this total flying "over the posted number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Panthers/Lightning OVER (GAME 3 TOP)

The first two games have fallen "under" the number, but now with the shift in venue, we're expecting goals to be plentiful here in Tampa on Thursday night. Note that the Lightning have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. We also expect Florida to be able to, at the very least, match its offensive output over the first two games after winning 3-2 in each. While the first two games of this series have been really defensive, the stage is now set for an explosive offensive affair between these talented offensive clubs in our opinion; this number is indeed low, the play is on the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Magic (BLOCKBUSTER)

We like the Magic to bounce back here at home after going 0-2 SU/ATS over the first two games of this series. Note that Orlando is in fact 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. We liked the Magic going into this series, but they came up short on the road. Home court will for sure prove to be important in this series. Cleveland was just 19-22 ATS on the road this season, while the Magic were 27-13 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Look for Orlando to ride the wave of emotion to a solid win and cover in this essentially "must win" scenario; lay the short points, the play is Orlando!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Brewers/Pirates (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in this get-away game. Milwaukee is 14-8, including 10-4 on the road, while Pittsburgh is 13-11, including 5-5 at home. The Brewers have now seen the total go "under" in five straight after yesterday's 3-2 win. Note though that the Brewers have in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Pirates have also seen the total go "under" in five straight, but note that they've also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Freddy Peralta is 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA for the Brewers, while Mitch Keller is 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA for the Pirates. Two decent starters, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to this total going "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Pelicans/Thunder (ASSASSIN)

For the most part we're primarily a "situational" cappers and we think that handicapping style is a great one to use during the playoffs. To be successful in the playoffs, both for these teams and also for us handicappers, it's important to make adjustments from game-to-game. You can have a good idea about how a game or series is going to go, but then after the first game or the second game if they don't go as you originally thought, it's important to make adjustments on your direction and learn from those initial mistakes. Either way, this is another great "situational" play overall and it's not really about who is or who isn't on the court. We're going to steer clear of a side on this one and instead focus on the total and we just think Game 2 will be much more wide open than what we saw in Game 1. Including their two Play In games, the Pelicans have now seen the total to "under" in all three of their playoff games so far this year, but that's significant to note because New Orleans has in fact seen the totla go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Oklahoma City earned the 94-92 win, but it was anything but impressive. The Thunder looked great in the regular season to earn the No. 1 seed but now that the Playoffs are here this high-octane offense looked pretty medicore. That said, overall we think there's been a bit of an overreaction with this Over/Under line here in Game 2. We've seen a lot of really low-scoring games in both the NBA and NHL Playoffs so far this year, but everything finally points to a shootout here in our opinion in this Game 2; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Leafs (EAST-CONF RND. 1 GOY)

As primarily situational cappers, nothing changes in our approach for the most part once the playoffs get going. We're looking for great situations and we're looking for what we feel are good or suspect lines that we can take advantage of. And that's the case here: Boston blew out Toronto 5-1 in the opening game of this series, but the Leafs battled tough and got the home ice advantage now after holding on for the 3-2 win in Game 2. The Bruins were great on the road this year finishing 23-9-7-2, but the Leafs were great at home as well with a 22-15-3-1 record North of the border. Auston Matthews is coming off a huge regular season for the Leafs and he had the go-ahead goal in the their Game 2 victory, and now back at home we think Matthews and company will carry that momentum over. We think Boston is fantastic obviously and on any given Sunday it can beat any team on any night. But getting the Leafs at home at this price in the playoffs no matter who their opponent or the situation has to be considered a legitimate investment option every time in our opinion. That victory snapped an eight game losing streak in the series between the clubs Lenny...so great to get the monkey off their backs, but now back at home I think Toronto will take advantage. Ilya Samsonov is great at home as well and has the upper-hand in net; all this considered, a really great price on the hungry Leafs in Game 3!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Phillies/Reds.

We base our picks on many different things. We're giving this one the old "eye test" here, as we don't feel there's any need to overthink it. We're expecting a classic "duel" here between two starters that enter on top form, and because of that, we're going to recommend a play on the "under" here. The Phillies hand the ball to Spencer Turnbull (2-0, 1.23 ERA), while the home side counters with Nick Lodolo (2-0, 0.75.) Regression will happen at some point obviously, but everything points to a classic "duel" here in our opinion. Look for these two starters to "take center stage" and to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Manchester United -1.5 (GOW)

We're expecting the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish, making the spread option the correct call as far as the side is concerned in our opinion. Sheffield United is at the bottom of the table and is coming off a disheartening 4-1 defeat by Burnely last weekend. Manchester United on the other hand is in seventh spot in the table and still needing victories here to close the game. If recent history is any precedence though, then Man U has to be liking its chances here, as it's won eight of the last ten in this series. We say that streak continues here with another convincing blowout victory; lay the goals for Man U to win in a blowout in regulation!

AAA Sports

10* Mavs/Clippers OVER (1ST RND WEST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went under the number, but we're expecting Game 2 to be much more wide-open. The Mavericks only scored eight points in the second quarter of that first game, and the total still almost went "over" the number. The Mavs scored 34 points in the third quarter and 33 in the fourth and while Luka and Kyrie looked good, the rest of the team struggled. We don't see that happening again. We're expecting the Mavs to be much more efficient here across all four quarters. LA looked great and will look to keep the momentum rolling. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Avs/Jets (RND 1 WEST-CONF TOY)

No need to overthink this one for us. The "zig zag" theory is in full effect here as far as the total is concerned in our opinion after the Jets won the opener 7-6. Note that Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Both regular season games these teams played against each other also went "over" the number, but after the high-scoring shootout in the first game, we're absolutely expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. The bookmakers know the public will be quick to back this being another high-scoring shootout, because that's what the general betting public wants. But we're going the other way and expecting a much more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Giants (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been playing well of late. Each starter has done well to to open the season, but we're expecting Luis Severino to finally take a step back here on the road. Severino is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA this year, but this is his first road game. The Mets have won five straight series, but they dropped the opener of this one last night, and we like San Fran to build off that victory with Logan Webb (2-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill. Webb has the clear advantage throwing at home here, so much so in our opinion, that it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is indeed on San Francisco!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Isles/Canes (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY)

While the first game stayed well "under" the number in this Eastern Conference Opening Round NHL series, we say that the second one will be much more wide-open offensively, and we'll therefore be recommending a play on the "over" in this one. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. New York has responded well in this spot for "over" bettors, and we're banking on this strong trend continuing here in this important game. This O/U line is now definitely TOO low, so the play is the "over" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Magic/Cavaliers (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went well "under" the number, but we're expecting a much faster-pace here in Game 2 of this Opening Round Eastern Conference Final matchup, at least one that'll help push this total "over" this very low O/U number that's been set. Note that Orlando has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/aTS road loss vs. an opponent. Despite this series shift back to Orlando next, the Magic will have to change their game-plan from the get-go here in Game 2 to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later

AAA Sports

10* Predators (BLOOD-BATH)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely "going the other way" with this one and fully embracing our contrarian nature. Just a great spot for this undervalued underdog to pull off an upset here in the opener in our opinion of all of these opening round games. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as Vancouver took all three games in the regular season. Note though that the teams haven't played since mid-December. These teams though are more evenly matched now and we're expecting the Canucks to fold now that the Playoffs are here. At least in Game 1 anyways! The play is indeed on Nashville!

AAA Sports

10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

Whether Zion plays or not, we like the Pels to give the Thunder a run for their money. New Orleans has experience in its core, while the Thunder come in with plenty of talent and a great regular seaosn record. New Orleans went 1-2 against the Thunder thi syear. OKC closed with five straight wins to close out, but will "rest" lead to "rust?!" In our opinion, "yes!" Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum look unbelievable right now and they won't be going down without a fight. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* Rangers runline (ASSASSIN)

After two straight losses to open this series, we like the Rangers to, at the very least, take the finale "right down to the wire," meaning that the "runline option" becomes the savvy call in our opinion. Michael Lorenzen is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after shutting out the Tigers over five innings in his last outing. He's off a career-high 153 innings last year. The Braves counter with Darius Vines, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA after allowing one run over four innings in a win over Houston. He's filling in for Spencer Strider for at least one more start, and regression feels/seems imminent to us now moving forward. Look for the revenge-minded visiting side to fight tooth and nail; the play is Texas on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* Pacers (ASSASSIN)

The Bucks stumbled down the stretch and we believe that regression continues here in the first round of the playoffs, despite finishing third in the East and with home floor advantage over No. 6 Indiana. Giannis Antetokounmpo is injured, hence the Pacers being favored here. Milwaukee lost eight of 11 to close the year, while Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers won six of eight to stay out of the Play-In Tournament. Indiana won four of the five regular season games and we see this dominance continuing; the play is indeed on Indiana!

AAA Sports

10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW)

Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa is once again a force to be reckoned with and it's now aiming to finish in the top four of the table. Most recently the Villains got the better of Arsenal on the road by a score of 2-0. Andoni Iraola's men started slowly this year, but there's now a chance the Cherries could finish in the top half of the table. Bournemouth is off a satisfying 2-2 draw with Man U at home though and is now primed for a predictable letdown here on the road. We're predicting a dominant all-around win for the home side, so lay the price with confidence!

AAA Sports

10* Seattle (MLS GOM)

It's another Cascadia Cup clash here this weekend at Lumens Field in Seattle, and we believe that the home field advantage will indeed prove to be a big difference-maker for the Sounders. Seattle is off a 0-0 draw with Dallas last time out, while the Whitecaps took a major step back with a 3-1 home loss to the Los Angeles Galaxy. The Sounders have taken big steps over the last few weeks and have cleaned up their defensive issues that we saw earlier on, and despite the Caps having lots of scoring potential, they're just not the same team on the road, as they are at home. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done in regulation and lay the price with the Sounders!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Lakers/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER)

The Nuggets won the NBA championship last year and they have a legitimate shot at duplicating that feat here this season as well. To get to the Finals last year, Denver steamrolled the Lakers in four straight. This season the teams meet in the first round. The Lakers got past New Orleans in the Play In Tournament, and we think they're going to be fatigued here now in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets took all four of those Playoff games over the Lakers last year, but by a combined 24 points. The Lakers have had a few days off after the win in New Orleans, but they lost all three games to the Nuggets in the regular season. With the home side looking to clamp down and control the tempo and pace of this one, we're expecting a very defensive affair right out of the gates and considering all of the situational factors listed above here, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* Bruins PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN)

We think that home ice will prove to be an advantage for each team in this series. We think the Bruins will not only win this game, but do so by at least two goals. We think the Bruins will be able to do that without having to rely on an empty-netter. The Leafs always show great potential throughout the regular season, but then fold like a house of cards in the playoffs. The Bruins put together one of the best regular season performances of all time last year, but then completely fell apart and lost in the first round last season. They'll be out to make sure that doesn't happen this season. Look for Boston to post a big win here in Game 1 at it sets the early tone vs. the Leafs!

AAA Sports

10* Cardinals (TOP REVENGE PLAY)

We like the Cards to break their two-game slide and to avenge yesterday's series-opening loss. DL Hall (0-1, 7.11 ERA) goes for Milwaukee and he most recently allowed five runs off eight hits including three dingers over just three innings in a fortunate no-decision. The home side counters with Miles Mikolas (1-2, 5.82), who will hope to get some run support here finally after his team has scored a total of four runs in three of his four starts. Mikolas is 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career appearances vs. Milwaukee; look for St. Louis to figure out a way to bounce back here as we think Mikolas at home at this price in this matchup is fantastic!

AAA sports

10* Magic (EAST-CONF FIRST RND GOY)

The Cavs did go on that massive run in the middle of the season, but they looked very pedestrian down the stretch. Orlando was 29-12 at home, but it also features the No. 3 defense in the NBA. Cavs' star Donovan Mitchell missed time down the stretch and Cleveland coach JB Bickerstaff's team just looked out of sync over the last month. The Magic went 16-10 down the stretch, while the Cavs went 12-16. Look for Orlando to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments and grab as many points as you can!

AAA Sports

10* Pels (ASSASSIN)

Despite Zion sitting, with nearly 75% of the public money on the Kings, we're going full on contrarian here and taking the still dangerous home side, which we expect will find a way to deliver the goods and move on further into the Playoffs. The Kings got by their nemesis the Warriors and are now primed for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. New Orleans fought tooth and nail and fell 110-106 to the the Lakers. We think LA would have smashed Sacramento if they had to play the first game. Despite that though, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum are going to step up and fill the void here left by Zion's injury. The Pels were 7-5 in games without Zion this year and New Orleans has dominated this series all year long, going 5-0 SU in the regular season. HOME COURT ADVANTAGE DOES MATTER HERE! Grab the points, the play is NEW ORLEANS.

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Angels/Rays (ASSASSIN)

These two teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including the first two of this series which they've split, but all signs finally point to a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion, as each side will be leaning on these capable starters to go deep. Neither has looked great to open the season, but with a couple of awkward games under their belts, we're looking for each to settle down here. The Angels turn to Griffin Canning, who is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA, while the home side counters with Ryan Pepiot, who is 1-2, with a 5.40 ERA. Canning is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four career games vs. the Rays, who has had one good start and two pedestrian ones. He's never faced the Angels. However, when taking into account the overall situational factors listed above, and also noting that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these two hungry starters to battle into the latter frames and then also look for this total to stay well "under" once it's all said and done!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Heat/76ers (PLAY-IN TOY)

Neither team thought they'd be in this position, but here we are. The winner will face the Knicks in the first round, while the loser will play the winner of the Hawks/Bulls. Philly is a different team with Joel Embiid in the line-up, as evidenced by the 76ers eight-game win streak to end the season. Miami got into the playoffs last year via the Play In Tournament. Plenty of experience on both sides. Plenty of familiarity between these teams. Embiid averaged 30.4 poitns, 9.2 boards, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks once he returned and Philly hasn't lost a game since he has. Not like Miami will be rolling over here though, as the Heat come in healthy as well, with Bam Adebayo ready to try his best to keep up with Embiid. If Philly plays to a slower pace, it plays into Miami's strengths. With that in mind, we're expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish and in our opinion, everything does indeed point to the OVER as the correct call!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Angels/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOY)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating a much lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. LA goes with Reid Detmers, who is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, while the home side counters with Zach Littell, who is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with each game going well "over" the posted total, but with these two red hot hurlers squaring off and throwing deep into the latter frames against each other like we envision, the correct call as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Blue Jays runline (AL EAST GOM) *Note, we also like Toronto on the moneyline.

We have an important early season divisional American League East getaway game North of the border between the Yanks and the Jays and despite the slow start for Kevin Gausman so far this season, we think the veteran will finally settle down here and we actually think that the value in this game is on the Blue Jays. Divisional games are always the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Toronto has taken the first two games of this series and now we look for the Jays to comoplete the sweep. Kevin Gausman hasn't suddenly forgot how to pitch and his first two starts are just outliers in our opinion (Gausman is 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA and 1.93 WHIP.) But Gausman has been one of the league's top 5 pitchers the last two years. He did lose to the Yanks in his opening start, and then in his last start he got roughed up by the Rockies. But the public saw that and has seen him struggle to start overall, but we're in the camp that believe's that there's a big overreaction now and the value has swung the other way (remember, Gausman had a 3.08 ERA at home last year. We're not taking anything away from Marcus Stroman on the Yanks (he's facing his former team in the Jays here again) as he's 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA. The bottom line here though is that we just think the public is too quick to back the Yankees still after their quick start and we're also not going to OVERREACT to Gausman's shaky start; the play is Toronto!

AAA Sports

10* Mariners (BEST OF BEST)

Both teams are in need of a win, but Seattle more so. The Reds wins this year have come against sub-par teams. They swept the White Sox over the weekend, then fell 9-3 in last night's opener. That victory snapped a two-game slide for the hungry Mariners, who will look to keep the momentum rolling here with what we feel is for sure a starting pitching mismatch that works in their favor. The Reds go with Hunter Greene (0-1, 4.86 ERA), while the Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert (0-0, 2.66). At this price, we feel that BEST OF THE BEST call here as far as a side is concerned, is for sure on Seattle!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Cubs/D-Backs.

These two teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a slug-fest here on Tuesday finally in our opinion. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in four straight after last night's 3-2 win here to open the series. Note that Arizona has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The D-Backs have now seen the total dip "under" in three straight, but note that Arizona has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kyle Hendricks is 0-2 with a 12.08 ERA for Chicago, while Tommy Henry is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA for the D-Backs. Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Lakers (PLAY-IN GOY)

The Lakers won't be looking to leave anything for chance for here to avoid a possible matchup with the Nuggets, instead we're expecting the experienced visiting side to rally late and play tougher defense and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Anthony Davis had a huge year, and he'll be risking life and limb here to get the better of his old team. The Lakers beat New Orleans 124-108 in the final game of the regular season here and LA also won the In-Season Tournament over the Pacers. While we think the future is bright for the Pels, all signs point to LA coming out on top on Tuesday!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Reds/Mariners (IL TOW)

We're expecting some offensive fireworks here between the Reds and Mariners on Monday night. Cincinnati goes with Frankie Montas, while Seattle counters with George Kirby. We like each starter and aren't reading too much into either's early results. That said, the overall situation points to a slug-fest in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after its second straight loss to the Cubs last night. Despite that though, note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Will be a nice night in the PNW and we're finally expecting these talented hitting line-ups to take center stage; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Jays (ASSASSIN)

The Jays are 8-8 and the Yanks are 12-4. Chris Bassitt (1-2, 5.06 ERA) gets the call for Toronto and he'll be opposed by Luis Gil (0-0, 3.00.) The Yanks are off an 8-7 loss at Cleveland we think they'll stumble again here vs. the Jays, who took two of three from Colorado over the weekend, including yesterday's matchup by a score of 5-0. New York is primed for a letdown here, so give us Bassitt at home to continue to settle down and find his stride; the play is indeed on Toronto!

AAA Sports

10* Penguins (NON-CONF GOW)

No need to overthink this one. The Predators are locked into the first Wildcard and just need to end the season without any significant injuries. The Penguins have to win their final two games (and get outside help), to make a Wildcard. With the home side risking life and limb to secure a victory, and with the visitors just going through the motions here, we feel this to be the very defintion of "great line value." The play is Pittsburgh!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (DUEL)

These teams have been involved in a few high-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a "duel" here in our opinion on Sunday in the finale of this divisional three-game series from Houston. Texas is 8-6 and Houston is 4-11. The first two games of this series have gone "over" the number, but note that Houston has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. The Astros did finally break their four-game slide with yesterday's victory. Two starters that are sizzling hot to open the new season go head-to-head and we're expecting them to take center stage here for this one and duel deep into the latter frames. Nate Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA for the Rangers, while Christian Javier is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA for the Astros. Everything finally points to a "duel;" the play is indeed on the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Giants (IL GOW)

Blake Snell and the Giants are going to find a way to get the job done here in Tampa in our opinion. San Francisco bounced back from it series-opening 2-1 loss here to win 11-2 yesterday and we expect the visitors to keep that offensive momentum rolling hee to close it out. Snell is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing three runs over three innings in an 8-1 loss to the Nationals in his team debut on Monday. Perhaps he got caught looking ahead to this one? Who knows. Either way, Snell will be fine. Last year he faced the Rays with the Padres and he allowed two hits with 12 K's over six shutout frames. Shawn Armstrong (0-1, 5.68) counters for the home side, and he'll quickly make way for Tyler Alexander (0-0, 8.68.) Look for Snell to bounce back in familiar surroundings, as this is a major mismatch on the mound; lay the short price with confidence, the play is San Francisco!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Pirates/Phillies (BLOWOUT)

We had a play on the "over" in the Phillies' 4-3 win and while that pick came up short, we're now finally expecting a "slug-fest" here on Sunday. Philly has now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. But that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a little bit lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Pittsburgh's now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Mitch Keller is an unremarkable 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA for the Pirates. Philly will look to take advantage here and plate some runs for starter Zach Wheeler, who is 0-2 with a 1.89 ERA so far. Regardless, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* Jamahal Hill (UFC GOM)

With a line like this, the oddsmakers believe, or at least are trying to lead us to believe, that Jamahal Hill and Alex Pereiara are evenly matched, and really they are. It would not be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either fighter to win, but the upside here for Hill to grab the light heavyweight title is the best overall option in our opinion. Pereirara is the current champ after beating Jiri Prochazka, but Hill is the former champ, who had to vacate the belt due to injury. Hill though enters back at the top on top form having won four straight fights. He wants the title back that he never even lost. The longer this fight goes, the more it favors Hill and we think by hook or by crook, the ref will be raising the slight dogs hand at the end of the fight; the play is indeed on Jamahal Hill!

AAA Sports

10* Oilers (PACIFIC DIV. GOM)

This one is for all intents and purposes for the Pacific Division title, and because of that, we can't stress how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be for the Oilers tonight. Vancouver has lost three of its last five. Edmonton plays with revenge after the 6-2 loss at Vancouver back in November. With everything on the line, look for EDMONTON to dig deep and find a way to deliver the goods!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Pirates/Phillies.

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much higher-scoring shootout here finally between the Pirates and the Phillies on Saturday afternoon. The Pirates have seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, including in their 5-2 win here yesterday (Philadelphia won the opener by a score of 5-1.) The Phillies have now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. All of these "unders" has helped in pushing this O/ line a bit lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Marco Gonzales is 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA for the Pirates. Gonzales has allowed just three runs over 11 innings of work, but regression seems imminent finally here in our opinion for the veteran. The Phillies counter with Spencer Turnbull, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He's coming off a no-decision vs. the Cards. In our opinion though, each starter is poised to "get the hook early" here, and that'll lead to these bullpens exploding and this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Guardians runline Game 1 (ASSASSIN)

Overall we're getting great value on the home side on the runline option here. Public perception about the Yanks has driven this line out of whack in our opinion. New York is 10-3, while Cleveland is 9-3. Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 4.66 ERA) gets the call for the Yankees and he's allowed five runs off 13 hits over nine innings this year. He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco (0-0, 4.50), who has conceded four runs over eight innings. We like Carrasco here at home, as we feel Scmidt will struggle in this difficult road venue. While we clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end we're laying this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* Wolverhampton (SPREAD) EPL GOW.

We're coming down the home stretch here of the season and this is one that favors the visitors in our opinion. That said, at this price, the savvy wager is to grab Wolverhampton on the spread option (0.5 if you can get it, but also +0.25 as well is acceptable.) Wolverhampton is 12-13 and on a three-game winless streak, most recently falling 2-1 to West Ham. These teams played to a 1-1 draw in the reverse-fixture back in December and we could very well see a repeat here. Nottingham Forest is just 7-17. After upsetting Fulham 3-1, it immediately fell 3-1 at Tottenham last week. Home field has been anything but an advantage for Nottingham Forest this year, so play the Wolves on the spread option this weekend!

AAA Sports

10* Astros (ASSASSIN)

The Rangers' Dane Dunning is 1-1, while Houston's JP France is 0-1. Texas has lost four of its last five, including a 1-0 loss to the A's yesterday. Dunning has a 4.15 ERA over 13 innings. The Astros' starting rotation is ravaged with injury, which has led to their 4-9 start to the season. France has a 4.76 ERA over his first two starts, striking out nine over 11.1 innings of work. These teams have already faced each other, which gives France the upper hand now here at home. The Rangers are tanking big time and we expect the hungry home side to finally bounce back in this favorable spot; lay the price, the play is Houston!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Pirates/Phillies.

Both teams, especially the Phillies, have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here in the opener of this one. Pittsburgh is 9-3, while Philly is 6-6. The Pirates just had their three-game win streak snapped in the 5-3 home loss to Detroit two nights ago. They've been alternating overs with unders over their last eight games, and off the low-scoring loss just last night, we're absolutely expecting this pattern to continue. This is the start of four straight here in Philly. The PHililes have been alternating wins/losses over their last five games. Off a 4-3 win at ST. Louis yesterday, they'll be eager to break that pattern here at home in the opener of this one. Regardless, the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in seven straight now. But now we definitely feel the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. This is an ACTION play, meaning whoever gets the start for either team, this play will be valid. Pittsburgh goes with Jared Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA), while Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez (1-0, 4.09.) Can't fault either guy, as they've been decent so far, but the overall situation, combined with the trends definitely point to this one being a "slug-fest" finally in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Oilers (ASSASSIN)

A great price on Edmonton. This is the final game of a three-game trip for Vegas, which has lost the first two. It has a night off and then finishes the season with four straight at home. We say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" and that the "home ice" advantage will prove to be crucial for the Oilers in this one. Edmonton got off to a super terrible start at the beginning of the season, but the Oilers are firing on all cylinders here now at the end of the season, off back-to-back victories, also having three whole nights off after a 4-2 win at Calgary. Look for the well-rested home side to deliver the goods, the play is indeed on Edmonton!

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10* UNDER A's/Rangers (AL WEST TOY)

We have two really good starters going head-to-head here and we believe they'll battle each other DEEP into the latter innings, alleviating the pressure off the bullpens. Ross Stripling is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Athletics. He's been great in his first two starts, last time out he gave up one run over seven innings, striking out three and walking none in an unfortunate loss to the Red Sox. The A's offense was shutout in that one for the second time in its previous three games. That offense will find it difficult again today facing Rangers' starter Cody Bradford, who is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.47 WHIP. With each of these starters taking "center stage" like we suspect in this one, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* UNDER Mavericks/Heat (NON-CONF TOM)

Both sides have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with some strong numbers/trends, finally makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion. Dallas is off a 130-104 road win at Charlotte just last night, and now we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here in the second game of the back-to-back. Miami has seen the total go "over" in seven straight after last night's 117-111 OT win at Atlanta, but note that the Heat have seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 11 after three or more ATS victories in a row. With each team doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect after having played just last night, everything does indeed point to much more of a defensive affair here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. This number is high, the play is the "under!"

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10* Thunder (BLOOD-BATH)

Two teams pushing towards the playoffs with just a handful of games to go, but the overall situation favors the home side in our opinion. Both teams played just last night. Sacramento snapped a two-game slide with a 107-77 win at Brooklyn, but with a night off before three straight at home to close out the year, can anyone say "letdown" spot here? The Thunder snapped a three-game slide with a 121-118 win at Charlotte, but it's now dropped five straight ATS. Note though that OKC is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after five or more ATS losses in a row. This is the start of four straight at home to close out the year and we're expecting the Thunder to set the tone early here and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is OKC!

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10* Bucks (EAST-CONF NON-DIV GOM)

We're getting down to the nitty-gritty here with just under two weeks remaining in the regular season, and it's "gut check" time here now for Doc Rivers and the Bucks, who enter having lost four straight SU/ATS. They play with revenge as well after falling 122-119 at Boston on March 20th, and note that Milwaukee is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Boston is off five straight wins, but it's been unable to cover the large spread of late. It did push on the 17-point home spread in their 124-107 win over Portland last time out, but with their final three games at home after this, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot in our opinion, but also a "look ahead." Add those two factors together you and you invariably get "trap game." This is a trap game for sure in our opinion for Boston, while we're expecting Milwaukee to risk life and limb to get back into the winner's circle and avenge the loss from two weeks ago at the same time. Let's bypass this small spread and instead play Milwaukee to win this one straight up!

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10* OVER White Sox/Guardians (AL CENTRAL TOY)

These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating a bit of a "slug-fest" here on Tuesday. Chicago has lost five straight, and the last four have all gone "under." That includes yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss here. Note though that despite this being a new season, it's still significant to note that the ChiSox have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Chicago is just 1-9, but Cleveland is 8-2. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Guardians have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starters are decent, with Mike Soroka (0-1, 4.91 ERA) going for the visitors, and Logan Allen (2-0, 2.31) going for the home side, but despite who gets the start here, the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends, finally point to this total fying "over" the number once it's all said and done!

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10* OVER Nationals/Giants (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head to open this series, we're anticipating a bit of a slug-fest and for this total to ultimately eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nationals are just 3-6, while the Giants are only 4-6. The Nats are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Trevor Williams is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Nationals, while Blake Snell is making his season debut here. He's looked good in Spring, but the overall situation points to this total sneaking "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. San Francisco went 2-1 in its series vs. the Padres here over the weekend and all three games went "under" the number, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Giants have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is indeed low in our opinion, so the play is the "over!" 

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10* Purdue (GOM)

The Boilermakers beat No. 11 NC State 63-60 and we're thinking that they'll give the Tourney defending champs a run for their money here. UConn pulled away for the 86-72 win over Alabama. Zach Edey is a beast, so far averaging 28 points and 15.4 boards through the five tournament games. Overall the Boilermakers average 82.9 PPG, while the Big East champs averaged 81.6. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Purdue!

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10* Avalanche (DESTROYER)

We like Colorado to defend home ice here and to deliver the goods. A great price overall. Dallas JUST had its eight game win streak snapped last night in a 3-2 loss at Chicago as a -330 favorite and we feel this game here in Colorado the following night sets up as a classic "letdown" spot now for the Stars. Woudl anyone blame Dallas for taking a mental night off here and then preparing for its final four games, all at home and all favorable matchups (Buffalo, Winnipeg, Seattle and St. Louis?!) The Avs have been trading wins/losses over theri last five games, and off a 6-2 loss at Edmonton last time out, all signs point to this strong pattern continuing here; lay the short price, the play is indeed on Colorado!

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10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN)

We had a play on Cleveland yesterday. Did the Cavs get caught looking ahead to this one in their 116-97 loss here to the Lakers, or did they just run into a red-hot team? We now think a little of both. Note though that the Cavs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors though by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. The Clippers are coming off back-to-back victories, but with two straight vs. Phoenix after this, we believe the home side gets caught "looking ahead." In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Cleveland!

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10* Brewers (NON-CONF BOB)

Each team has won one game so far in this series, but here in the finale we feel the value swings to the home side to deliver the goods. The Mariners are 4-5 on the season, while the Brewers are 5-2. The Mariners got the 5-3 win yesterday, but they're still hitting just .211 collectively. Emerson Hancock gets the call for the Mariners and he's 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA after allowing three runs over five innings. The Brewers have a batting average of .267, which currently ranks eighth overall. Colin Rea is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA for the home side, and we feel he'll be the difference-maker here at home. Overall a really great price and spot for Milwaukee to bounce back in!

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10* Islanders (ANNIHILATOR)

The Isles have won three straight and they're in a dog fight with several teams for the seventh and eighth spot. They play with revenge after a 3-1 loss at Nashville in January. The Predators just snapped a three-game slide with a 6-3 home win over the Blues, but with another tough game at New Jersey tomorrow night, we feel the visitors get caught looking ahead here. The value swings to the revenge-minded and hungry home side that's in a fight for its playoff life; the play is indeed on New York!

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10* D-Backs runline (NL GOM)

Brandon Pfaadt is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA after his first start for the D-Backs, wihle Max Fried is 0-0 with a 40.50 ERA for the Braves. Fried couldn't get out of the first inning in his first start, but he's still considered to be one of the best pitchers in the World. That said, we're fully expecting Pfaadt to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a contest like that, the value invariably swings to the undervauled underdog. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the talented visting side on the runline option!

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10* Purdue (SIDE WINNER)

NC State has been the Cinderella team so far in the NIT, is not in all of College Basketball right now. That said, we think this Fairy Tale run is about to come to an end. Purdue, led by Zach Edey though will prove to be just too strong now we feel. Despite hitting just 3-of-15 3-pointers, the Boilermakers held on for the 72-66 win over the Vols, and we expect a much more efficient game this time around. NC State is led by big man DJ Burns, who has been phenomenal and who has put his name on the map, but Purdue's depth will finally be just too much for NC State to handle. Purdue ranks among the nation's best in several offensive categories and we expect the Boilermakers to keep foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Purdue! 

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