10* OVER Everton/Arsenal (EPL TOW)

The end of the regular season is here. Everton is 13-15 and in 11th, while Arsenal is 27-5 and in first. The reverse-fixutre saw Arsenal hold on for the 1-0 win back on September 17th, but note that Everon has in fact seen the total soar above the posted number 7 of its last 10 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was shutout. Everton has seen the total go under in five straight, but note that it has also seen the total go over four of its last five after playing to five or more straight unders in a row. With each side pushing the pace in this final contest of the year like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW)

Aston Villa is playing at home vs. Liverpool on Wednesday, but we're releasing this pick on Monday. Despite the result from that contest, we love how this one sets up for Crystal Palace. Aston Villa is 20-9, while Crystal Palace is still fighting for positioning in its final game of the year. Crystal Palace plays with revenge after the 3-1 loss in the reverse-fixture back on September 16th. Crystal Palace is 12-15 and 13th overall, but it's firing on all cylinders, having not lost in EPL action in six games, going 5-0-1 in that time. With extra tme off to prepare for this final home game, as mentioned above, we LOVE how this one sets up for Crystal Palace!

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10* OVER Vancouver/Seattle (MLS TOW)

Both teams are in dire need of a win. Both teams have struggled with offensive consistency of late. But all of those factors collide to push and motivate these teams to play to a much more wide-open, and ultimatley higher-scoring affair finally on Saturday night. The Whitecaps will be desperate here to snap a four-game winless streak, which includes scoring just one goal over that span. But it's Seattle which plays with revenge after a 2-0 loss at Vancouver in mid-April. That's significant to note though because the Sounders have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a road loss in which they were shutout. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Real Salt Lake (MLS GOW)

Colorado won here 2-1 back on March 9th as a +350 underdog. Note that Real is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Colorado is now 6-4 after a 1-0 win at home over Vancouver last time out. Colorado has been trading wins/losses over its last five games, and off the win, I believe this pattern continues vs. the revenge-minded home side that's not lost in five games and which has scored 11 goals in that span, while allowing three. Great value here on Real Salt Lake!

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10* Canucks puckline (TPOU)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the Oilers, most are thinking that Edmonton will push this to a seventh and deciding game, but clearly the Canucks have much more than just a "punchers chance" here in Game 6. In a game that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we'll recommend grabbing the visitors on the puckline option. Every game in this series has been decided by a single goal, so to get the Canucks with the extra 1.5 goals at this price is the very definition of "great line value" in our opinion; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on Vancouver on the puckline option!

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10* OVER Thunder/Mavericks (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams played to some really defensive affairs of late, but we're finally anticipating a higher-scoring shootout here in Game 6 in Dallas. The Mavericks are on the cusp of moving onto the Western Conference final, but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. It's do or die for the visitors and with OKC opening things up on the offensive end like we're fully expecting, everything does indeed point to this Game 6 total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Knicks/Pacers OVER (BEST OF BEST)

Indiana will look to respond and push this series to a Game 7. Clealry, the NBA would love that! Note that the Pacers have seen teh total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. New York will match pace and we can absolutely expect this faster-paced Game 6 to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Panthers/Bruins (BLOCKBUSTER)

The first three games of this series went "over" the number, while the last two have fallen "under." Now here in Game 6 we're expecting a much more wide-open and faster-paced affair, as we're looking for the hungry Panthers to really push the pace of this one. Note as well that Florida has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for Game 6 to resemble more of the pace/style as what we saw over the first three games of this series; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

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10* Wolves (BOB)

Denver had a 2-0 lead to open this series, but it's since been all Denver the rest of the way as it continues to get great play from Nikola Jokic and the rest of the role players on this defending champion roster. But the Wolves have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. This series has seven games written all over it in our opinion. We expect Minnesota to finally respond here and not only win, but to do so by a comfortable margin; lay the points, the play is on the Wolves!

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10* OVER Rays/Red Sox (AL EAST TOY)

Tampa and Boston have played to three straight "unders," but we're now finally anticipating a "slug-fest" here in the finale. Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" in eight straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total here today a little lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but that's significant to note because the Rays have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Two decent starters here in Zach Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) for the Rays and Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10) for the Red Sox, but regression does seem imminent for both in our opinion. This is a big game for each team and we feel these guys will get chased early, and then these bullpens will give up more runs in the latter frames. This number is now TOO low, so the play is indeed on the "over!" 

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10* OVER Avs/Stars (BLOCKBUSTER)

Dallas has held Colorado to just a single goal in each of the last two games, after the first two games of this series went well "over" the nmber. Colorado will look to dig deep and survive one more game here, but to do that it'll have to push the pace and start finding the back of the net. Look for the Avs to come out with a new game plan in this do or die situation. Also note that despite the 5-1 home loss in Game 4, Colorado has still seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has had no issues scoring throughout this series and everything points to that trend continuing here as well. With each team pushing the pace from start to finish like we suspect here in Game 5, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Celtics FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN)

This is the biggest spread that Boston has had put on it so far in the Playoffs. It won, but didn't cover last time out in Cleveland. Here though in Game 5, we do expect Boston to win as well, both SU and ATS. If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like the Celtics for the entire game. But the official call will be to grab Boston in the FIRST HALF, as it'll look to bury Cleveland early so as not to give it any hope in the second half; that's how we see this one playing out, as the play is indeed on Boston!

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10* Pacers (ASSASSIN)

So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series, with each team winning on its home floor. The Pacers though have all the momentum now after back-to-back victories and while they may not win this game outright, we're expecting a full out battle until the end. New York is struggling on both ends of the court and we feel the bookmakers are slow in recognizing this still, and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Indiana!

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10* BRUINS puckline (BEST BET)

The Bruins shocked the Panthers with the 5-1 win in Game 1, but since then Florida has won three straight. Now Boston will risk life and limb for a chance to send this one back home for a Game 6, and in a contest that we see being decided late, or in extra periods, we ultimatley feel that the value here for sure lies in grabbing the Bruins on the puckline option. Despite the two straight home loss to the Panthers, note that Boston is still 8-4 in its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on Boston on the puckline option!

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10* Rangers (EAST-CONF GOW)

New York is up 3-1 in this series after Carolina dug deep and avoided the sweep in Game 4. Now back at home and once again the underdog, we feel that the oddsmakers are completely "off" on this one. New York still has all the momentum, and now back here at home, where it's perfect so far in the playoffs, the unquestioned value in this one absolutely falls on the home side; the play is New York!

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10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW)

The Cavaliers won't be going down without a fight here in Game 4 and we anticipate that they effort they do in fact put up will be enough to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Note that the Cavaliers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent as well. The Celtics have done a decent job so far in the playoffs for bettors, but we now feel that these larger spreads catch up to them here on the road in this important contest. No outright, but look for it come be decided in the final moments; as such, grab as many points as you can with Cleveland!

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10* UNDER Panthers/Bruins (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first three games have flown "over" the number in this series, but we're now definitely anticipating much more of a defensive affair here in Game 4. Note that Boston has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. And note that Florida has seen the total fly "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With each side putting an added emphasis onto the defensive end like we suspect, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER)

We had a play on the "under" in Game 3 in the Pacers win, and the Knicks cover. Now here in Game 4 we think that New York will, at the very least, keep it close enough once again to earn a comfortable cover. We do in fact think New York has a legit shot at winning this one outright. The Knicks lost Game 3 at Philadelphia in their first round series after winning the first two in New York, and then made adjustments and won Game 4 by a score of 97-92. We're expecting New York to make the same adjusments here and we look for Jalen Brunson and the visitors to find a way to get the job done with the points; the play is indeed on the Knicks!

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10* Orioles (IL GOM)

We obviously really respect the Diamondbacks and Zac Gallen (4-2, 2.84 ERA), but getting Dean Kremer (3-2, 3.57) at this price at home no matter the opponent is too good to turn down in our opinion. Arizona is already just 9-12 on the road, while Baltimore is already 14-7 in front of the home town crowd. The Orioles came back from a two-run deficit to win in 11 innings yesterday and everything points to this momentum carrying over; lay the short price, the play is indeed on Baltimore!

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10* Real Salt Lake/LA Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of an offensive affair here for a couple of different reasons. Real Salt Lake is 6-2 and off a 1-0 win at home over KC. Previous to that it was a 2-1 win at Philadelphia. Look for the visitors once again push the pace here and to find the back of the net at least twice on the road this time around as well. LA is 5-2 after a 0-0 draw with Seattle and previous to that it was a 2-0 loss to Austin. After being shut out in back-to-back contests, everything points to the Galaxy opening things up big time on the offensive end this weekend. With each side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* UNDER Stars/Avs (2ND RND WEST-CONF TOY)

While the first two games of this series flew well "over" the number, we're now finally expecting much more of a defensive battle here with the shift in venue. Colorado has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten as well after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series the Stars had played to three straight "unders" vs. Vegas and now we also believe that fatigue will play a major role in the final combined outcome of this contest. With each side doubling down defensively in this crucial Game 3 like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* UNDER A's/Mariners (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in seeral higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a "duel" here finally between these AL clubs in what will be a perfect night weather wise in the PNW. Joey Estes has been recalled from Triple A to make this start. He posted a poor 6.04 ERA in the minors, but he's been brought up out of necessity. The bottom line here is though that we aren't going to lay the steep chalk with Bryce Miller and the Mariners, but we just don't see the A's posting much offense here. Miller is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He gave up four runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Astros last time out, but he still enters with a sharp 42:13 K:BB. Seattle almost assuredly wins this one, but we still don't see a lot of runs being plated; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* OVER Celtics/Cavaliers (2ND RND EAST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went "over" the number in the Celtics 120-95 victory, while the total went "under" in the Cavaliers 118-94 upset victory in Game 2. Now with the shift in venue over to Cleveland, we're expecting the Celtics to respond here and to be aggressors from start to finish. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number as well in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as favorite vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* Union (MLS GOW)

No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as the home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done in our opinion. Orlando is just 2-5 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 1-0 home loss to Cincinnati. Philadelphia is 3-2-1 after a 2-2 draw in the nation's capital last weekend. These team's tied 2-2 in Orlando last Summer, but we expect Philadelphia to take care of business in regulation this time around on home soil; lay the price, the play is on the Union!

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10* West Ham (EPL GOW)

We base our picks on many different things, but this one is based upon the "situation." This is a great situational play, and we'd consider ourselves primarily situational cappers. Luton is about to be relegated, sitting in 18th spot in the table. West Ham is 13-13 though and ninth overall with this, and one last tough road game at Manchester City to close out the regular season. After the tough 5-0 loss at Chelsea last weekend, look for the Hammers to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price, the play is West Ham!

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10* Burnley/Tottenham UNDER (EPL TOW)

As primarily situational cappers, these are exactly the types of games that we're constantly keeping our eyes on the look out for. Tottenham is 18-11, but after four straight losses, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to secure a victory here, and that means risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes as it looks to smother Burnely from the "get go." Burnley has nothing to play for except possibly trying to play spoiler at 5-22. Burnely has only managed a single goal in each of its last two games, and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even getting one in this one; when you add it all up, this O/U line is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER)

The Nuggets have their collective backs agaisnt the wall. Clearly, not many expected Minnesota to be up 2-0 in this series, but here we are. The cast of characters is well known for each side, as are the strengths and weaknesses of each team. Denver though is still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent though. And we think this stat becomes even stronger with the double revenge-scenario. Either way, we're not counting out the champs quite yet and while we do in fact thing an outright win is a possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Denver!

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10* Panthers (BLOCKBUSTER)

Boston won Game 1, but Florida bounced back with a convincing 6-1 victory in Game 2. The Bruins won all four regular season games vs. the Panthers, but Florida finally got the monkey of its back in Game 2 and we're expecting the visitors to now build off that win with another one here. Florida is healthy and its offense is now firing on all cylinders and with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side, this one all greatly appeals to our naturally contrarian nature; great value here on Florida!

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10* Stars (ASSASSIN)

The Boston Bruins went seven games with Toronto, and then came out and beat the Panthers 5-1 in their first game. Florida then responded by calmly crushing the Bruins 6-1 in the second game. Colorado was a slight dog in the first game, but managed to pull out the 4-3 OT victory. Look for Dallas to respond here in Game 2 though, much like Florida did last night. Note as well that the Stars are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a fav vs. an opponent; all things considered, we feel really great value for Dallas to bounce back here at home in Game 2, so lay the price with confidence!

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10* UNDER Mavs/Thunder (WEST-CONF 2ND RND TOY)

If Dallas is going to pull off an upset in Game 2, it'll have to get back to what it did well in Round 1, and that's play tough, suffocating defense from start to finish. And that's exactly what we're expecting. Dallas lost the opener at LA as well in the first round 109-97, but then it bounced back to win the next two by score of 96-93 and 101-90. With Dallas putting an added emphasis on the defensive end this evening at all points during this contest like we anticiapte, all signs do indeed point to likely a much more competitive battle, but once again a lower-scoring "under" once the final horn blares!

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10* Yankees (BLOOD-BATH)

The Astros have lost three straight, but we still think that they're the ones getting WAY too much respect in this matchup. The Yanks will look to sweep Houston here today. Ronel Blanco is 3-0 with a 2.09 ERA for the struggling Astros, a lone bright spot so far in a difficult 2024 campaign. But we're still giving the nod to Marcus Stroman (2-1, 3.41) here at home backed by this powerful and in form hitting Yanks line-up. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price, the play is New York!

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10* Knicks (2ND RND EAST-CONF GOY)

We're going to say that the Knicks not only win Game 2, but they'll also go on to cover the spread this time after winning 121-117 in the first one. Jalen Bruson continues to be a major bright spot for New York, he had 43 points and it was his fourth straight game with at least 40 points scored. The Pacers got big games from Myles Turner who had 23 points and from Pascal Siakam, who added 19. But Brunson has truly been special of late, as he actually became the fourth player in NBA Playoff history to score 40 or more points in four consecutive games. We really do think that the Pacers threw their best possible shot they had in Game 1, and they just don't have an answer. In fact Indiana led 87-82 after three quarters. This series already has the feeling of the Cavaliers and the Magic in the first round where the home floor advantage can't be overlooked. We're not saying that the Pacers are going to roll over, but we just think their opportunity to earn a split in these first two games has dwindled away. And we don't see the Knicks allowing the Pacers to hold such a big lead right out of the gates in Game 2. That's how we see this series playing out here in the short term anyways, with home floor advantage once again the difference-maker for Brunson on Wednesday night; the play is indeed on New York!

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10* UNDER Bruins/Panthers (ASSASSIN)

We think it's highly likely that most pundits were pretty surprised that Boston destroyed the Panthers 5-1 in Game 1 of this second round series. And that's becuase the Bruins had just gone seven with the Leafs and needed overtime in the seventh game to earn their spot here. But it was in fact Florida that showed the rust after taking out Tampa Bay in five games and not having played since April 29th. That's always the big question for a team that advances really quickly in their series in four or five games: will the extra time off between series betwen beneficial, or will it be detrimental? Clearly, for the Panthers, "rest" did lead to "rust" in Game 1. But making adjustments from one game to the next is key to success in the playoffs (both for these teams, but also for us handicappers.) But here for this one, we're going to caution in over-reacting to the Game 1 results. That said, we're not going to lay this larger price, but we do think we're going to see a completely different dynamic overall to the pace of this one. Previous to the 5-1 win over Florida in Game 1, the Bruins had seen the total go UNDER in four straight to close out their series with the Leafs and in our opinion we're definitely going to see a much tighter overall Game 2; as a result, the "under" is definitely the correct call here as far as the total is concerned!

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10* Celtics (ASSASSIN)

The Cavaliers lost every game on the road in their Round 1 series vs. the Magic, and won every game at home. We can expect this pattern to continue here for sure facing the well-rested Celtics, who have had nearly an entire week off after beating Miami in five. That included a 118-84 win in Game 5 here last week. No need to overanalyze this one, as we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well as everything points to the Cavs coming in "gassed" after their emotional seven-game series win over the Magic; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Boston!

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10* Rangers (ASSASSIN)

The Rangers have won three of their last four and are looking to keep the momentum rolling here in Game 1 of this favorable four-game road series. The bottom line here is that we feel this is a much more lop-sided starting pitching matchup than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Texas goes with Andrew Heaney (0-4, 5.10 ERA), while the home side counters with Alex Wood (1-3, 6.32.) Oakland's six game win streak came to an end yesterday, and for the most part he's turned the corner of late with his performance, just hasn't received much support. We say that trend ends today in this favorable spot; lay the price, the play is Texas!

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10* Panthers (2ND RND GOY)

We're primarily "situational" handicappers when you get right down to it. We look at every stat imaginable, but some times we like to keep it simple. And that's the case for this selection. Boston is coming off a grueling seven game series with the Leafs and we're expecting the visiting side to come out fatigued. To say the least! And to say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as the Bruins took all four regular season matchups. This is a rematch of last year's first round, which Florida took 4-3. Florida has had a couple extra days off after winning in five of Tampa, and we say that'll be the difference-maker here between these teams in Game 1 of this series; lay the price with confidence, the play is Florida!

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10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW)

We like the Knicks to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Pacers got by the wounded Bucks in six games, but we expect them to struggle here in this difficult road venue vs. New York, which got by Philly to advance to this point. So far Indiana is averaging 113 PPG in the playoffs, and allowing 110.2. New York averaged 108.3 PPG in the first round, while allowing 108.2. The Pacers went 2-1 SU in the regular season vs. New York, but with Jalen Brunson now playing at such an elite level, we think the visiting side will have trouble containing the home side's super star. In the end, lay the points and expect a convincing win and cover for New York!

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10* Dallas (BEST OF THE BEST)

These teams are really evenly matched, but Dallas now has a major advantage playing on home ice here for Game 7 in our opinion. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger in our opinion, so that does in fact swing the value in favor of the home side here. Dallas won 26 of 41 home games during the regular season, while Vegas won just 18 of 41 away contests. Look for the "hungrier" home side to find a way to deliver the goods once it's all said and done; lay the price, the play is Dallas!

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10* Giants (SUPER SIDE)

The Phillies have won four straight, including the first two games of this series by scores of 4-3 and 14-3 yesterday. But with the superior starting pitcher on the hill in our opinion in Sunday's matchup, we're expecting the hungry visiting side to finally punch one into the win column. These teams will conclude this four-game series tomorrow. But today San Fran hands the ball to Logan Webb (3-2, 2.98 ERA), while the home side will counter with Taijuan Walker (1-0, 8.53.) Webb has been nothing but consistent to this point, and we expect that pattern to continue here in this important game for the Giants. Conversely, Walker is still trying to work himself back into shape. Look for SAN FRANCISCO to find a way to get the job done once it's all said and done in this one!

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10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN)

No need to overthink this one. Betting the Cavs on the spread is quite the public pick, but with the home team having won every game so far in this series, we're expecting this trend to continue and for Cleveland to not only win this game, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Orlando is very talented, but young. Cleveland has the more experienced core and the home floor advantage at this point of the series simply can't be overlooked. We say that the Cavaliers at home are the correct call here in Game 7; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Cleveland!

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10* Austin/Vancouver OVER (MLS WEST-CONF TOM)

This is Austin's first trip to BC since July 2023 and suffice it to say, we're expecting goals to be plentiful. Austin so far has 15 points after a 2-0 win over the LA Galaxy last time out. Note though that Austin has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 11 off a shutout victory. Vancouver comes in off a 1-1 draw at Red Bull Arena in its most recent action. And if recent history is any precedence, then all signs definitely point to a higher-scoring shootout, as over the last six games against each other they've produced 20 goals (an average of 3.33 GPG.) Look for this pattern to continue as this total flies "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Bruins (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have a lot of playoff failures on their shoulders here going in to Game 7, but we can't state how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be for the Bruins in the end. Toronto has won back-to-back tight 2-1 contests, but it's difficult to see Boston losing three straight. Also note that the Bruins are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a road loss as fav vs. an opponent. I really respect Toronto and think it has made this an exciting series, but look for Boston to finally bounce back and deliver the goods here at home in Game 7; great price play is indeed on the Bruins!

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10* Miami (MLS EAST-CONF GOY)

We feel that Miami and Messi at home here could/should in fact be much larger favorites. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs but Miami won't forget the last time they battled and in which they fell 4-0 last season. And with back-to-back road games after this, Miami will be looking to make the most of this opportunity. New York hasn't lost in six games, but it it also hasn't won in three straight. The Red Bulls come to down off three straight draws, including a lacklustre 1-1 effort at home vs. Vancouver last time out. With New England coming to town the following weekend, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." A great overall situational play here on Miami!

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10* Astros (ASSASSIN)

These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and we're expecting those trends to continue here. Two really good starters, but Houston is getting healthier and has a lot of ground to make up after a terrible start. Seattle is now 17-15 overall and just 6-7 on the road after yesterday's 5-3 series-opening loss here. Houston is now 12-20 overall, and 7-10 at home after winning six of its last seven. The Mariners have now lost two straight and we're expecting that slide to continue here facing Framber Valdez, who has been a ray of sunshine for the Astros this year, coming in 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA. Logan Gilbert is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA for the Mariners, but look for Houston to build off its recent momentum and to deliver the goods in front of the home town crowd; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros!

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10* Nuggets (WEST-CONF RND 2 GOY)

Both teams looked great in their Round 1 series. No one expected the Wolves to sweep the Suns. Everyone expected the Nuggets to take out the Lakers in 4 to 6 games. Either way, these two Western Conference powerhouses collide here, but now we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be a difference-maker. Denver beat Minnesota 116-107 here at home Back on April 10th, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Denver will be acutely aware to not give up this first game, and while the Wolves looked decent against the dysfunctional Suns, now they have to contend with the best player on the planet; grab the points, the play is Denver!

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10* Newcastle (EPL GOM)

We like the Magpies to get the job done on the road here as favorites vs. the overmatched Clarets. Burnley is second to the bottom in the EPL table. Off a 1-1 draw with Man U, a letdown appears imminent now for the home side in our opinion. Newcastle finished Top 4 last year, but is seventh right now. After a 2-0 defeat to Crystal Palace, the Magpies bounced back with the convincing 5-1 win over Sheffield United. Burnley has been consistently inconsistent and we expect that to once again be the case this weekend vs. Newcastle!

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10* Clippers (WEST-CONF GOM)

Outright win?! As Kevin Garnett once said, anything is possible, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. LA is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in as well. James Harden had a difficult night last time out, but we don't see that happening again. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but we're grabbing the points with LA and, at the very least, expecting a battle until the final horn!

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10* Magic (EAST-CONF GOM)

So far, as far as winning and losing SU, home floor advantage has meant everything. Game 5 was the first game in this series in which the home team didn't cover the spread. But we see Orlando not only covering here at home, but doing do in blowout fashion once again, setting up a decisive Game 7 in Cleveland and making this a spread that we have no issues at all in laying. Cleveland is still just 22-21 on the road, while Orlando is 31-12 at home. the Magic held the Cavs to under 90 points in Game's 3 and 4 and we're expecting a similar dominant performance here as well; lay the points, the play is Orlando!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Canucks/Predators (WEST-CONF TOM)

This has been a back-and-forth series, as the Canucks move forward with their second and third-string goaltenders, and the Predators holding on for dear life after the 2-1 Game 5 victory in Vancouver. These two teams will be fighting tooth and nail here Nashville on Friday night, but in our opinion, everything points to a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring goaltenders battle. Note that Vancouver has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Game 4 here was a 4-3 OT win for Vancouver, and we're predicting a similar final combined score here as well in Game 6; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Giants/Phillies (ASSASSIN)

Neither team has been involved in many high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting that to change in the opener of this three-game series, despite two decent starters going head-to-head. San Fran goes with Jordan Hicks (2-0, 1.59 ERA), while the home side counters with Aaron Nola (4-1, 3.20.) San Fran has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after yesterday's 3-1 win at Boston, and note that the Giants have still seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Philadelphia is rolling and just took two of three at LA. The Phillies return home after three straight series on the road and we're expecting this talented hitting line-up to plate some runs. In fact, we're expecting each side to put up enough runs that at the end of this one, the total will indeed go way "over" this super low total; and that's the play, the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER)

We think that New York wasted its opportunity to put away Philadelphia and that the momentum has now firmly swung back in favor of the 76ers. Yes, Joel Embiid isn't at 100%, but he's quickly adapting and his teammates have picked up the slack. The Knicks have a ton of talent, but they lack size and depth. And now they're fatigued, on the road and the pressure is squarely on them to get the job done here and now; we say they stumble and the home side not only wins this game, but does so in blowout fashion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Bruins/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER)

Boston won Game by a score of 5-1, and it's been the only game in this series that's so far eclipsed the posted number. But now here in Game 6 we're anticipating another wide-open shootout. Note that Boston has seen the total fly "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate in this crucial contest, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later; and that's the play!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Tottenham/Chelsea (EPL TOM)

These two rivals renew that rivalry at Stamford Bridge on Thursday and while each has played to several higher-scoring games of late, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here finally on Thursday. The Hotspurs are off B2B losses, first calling 4-0 at Newcastle, before then dropping a 3-2 decision at home to Arsenal last week. They lost to Chelsea 4-1 at home in the reverse-fixture back in November, but note that Tottenham has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Chelsea is 13-11. It fell 5-0 to Arsenal, before then drawing 2-2 at Aston Villa last week. Fatigue becomes an issue here in our opinion in this mid-week contest, turning this match into much more of a "war of attrition," than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Clippers (BEST OF BEST)

The Clippers won Game 4 as seven point dogs and now here at home getting points, and with the majority of the public money on the visitors as well, we're going the other way here. The Mavericks defense looked like it might take over this series, but Paul George and company solved the puzzle last time out in Game 4 and we're expecting a similar game-plan here at home now. It's Luke Doncic and the Mavericks who are now fatigued here on the road. While we definitely feel that the outright victory is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Cubs/Mets (BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but we're anticipating much more of a wide-open affair here finally in the finale. The Cubs have now seen the total go "under" in three straight after yesterday's 4-2 loss, but note that Chicago has in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. We're super impressed so far with both starters, but we definitely feel that regression is imminent. The Cubs go with Shota Imanaga (4-0, 0.98 ERA), while the home side counters with Jose Butto (0-1, 2.86.) The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends do indeed point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Braves/Mariners (BLOOD-BATH)

These teams have been involved in several lower-scorin games of late, but all signs finally point to a slug-fest in the finale of this three-game Il series in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in seven straight after yesterday's 2-1 win here over Atlanta. Note that the Braves have seen the total dip "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. Reynaldo Lopez is an unrealistic 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA for the Braves and regression feels imminent for us. Luis Castillo is 2-4 with a 4.15 ERA for the Mariners, but the overall situation, combined with the above-listed trends, all do indeed point to this one being much more of a "slugfest" than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Pacers/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOW)

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games in this series, but we're finally expecting a defensive affair. The Bucks are on the ropes here now down 3-1 in this series, as they've struggled without Giannis in the line-up. Note though that Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Also note that the Pacers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Fatigue becomes a factor now here as well in our opinion. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point to a very defensive affair; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Isles/Canes (EAST-CONF TOW)

With their backs against the wall, the Isles delivered the 3-2 OT win in Game 4 to stave off elimination for at least one more game in this series. Now up 3-1, Carolina will look to rebound and end this at home here now in Game 5. Note that Carolina has in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a fav vs. an opponent. We think the Isles can match their offensive output from Game 4 as well, so in what we anticiapte will be a faster-paced affair here in Game 5, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Stars/Knights (WEST-CONF TOW)

The money is pretty much split down the middle between these two teams here in Game 4 in Las Vegas. So far, home ice advantage has been anything but for these two teams. Las Vegas won the first two in Dallas, while the Stars then finally bounced back with the tight 3-2 win in OT in Game 3. Note though that Las Vegas has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The first game went "over" the number in the Stars' 4-3 victory, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here in this important Game 4 as well; this number is low, the play is hte "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Braves/Mariners (IL TOW)

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games as we head into the first contest of this Interleague series here in the PNW on Monday night, but we say those trends finally end this evening. Atlanta has seen the total go "under" in six straight now after taking two of three at home over Cleveland this weekend, while Seattle has also seen the total go "under" in six straight after taking two of three here at home over the Diamondbacks. Note that Seattle has also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten off a home loss as a favorite (lost 3-2 in yesterday's series' finale with AZ.) Max Fried is 2-0 with a 4.97 ERA for the Braves, while Bryce Miller is 3-2 with a 2.22 ERA for the Mariners. Two decent starters, but the overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U trend points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOW)

Much like the Lakers rallied in their fourth game when down 3-0 to Denver to push the series to a fifth, we're expecting the same result here from New Orleans. That said, in a contest that we see being very competitive, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Thunder struggled a bit in Game 1, but have dominated the last two games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and company are in unchartered territory and we think they'll have a hard time putting away the Pelicans on the road here in this fourth game. A letdown at some point is going to happen for OKC, and we say it's here on Monday night. As stated above, we do feel the outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (SUPER BLOWOUT)

All three games have so far flown "over" the number in this series, but we're expecting much more of a defensive affair this time around finally here in LA. Edmonton is up 2-1, but note that LA has in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Fatigue now becomes a factor here for each side. The public is quick to back another high-scoring affair here, but that fact only lends weight for our contrarian nature as well when it comes to this selection. We say that Game 4 will finally be a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

Minnesota has surprisingly dominated this series. The Wolves were favored to win, but still no one expected the Suns to get swept. And we still don't think that'll be the case. They say that winning the fourth game of any series is the most difficult. Note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota is on the cusp of wrapping up this series, but a letdown appears imminent in our eyes. Too much talent and heart still left here on this Phoenix team, much like the Lakers last night, who just delayed the inevitable now heading back to Denver. Either way, the play for us here in Game 4 is indeed on Phoenix!

AAA Sports

10* OVER D-Backs/Mariners.

The Mariners have now won five of their last six after taking the first two games of this series. They've also seen the total go "under" in five straight now, but that's significant to take note of as Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brandon Pfaadt (1-1, 4.97 ERA) goes for Arizona, while Logan Gilbert (2-0, 1.87) counters for the home side. Gilbert looks poised for regression after this blistering start and after getting held to just a single run in each of the last two games, we're expecting this talented hitting Diamondbacks line-up to be there to take advantage. This number is a little low, so the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Knicks (ASSASSIN)

Philadelphia took Game 3, but we're expecting a battle until the final horn here in Game 4 after the 125-114 setback on Thursday. note that the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Both teams have had to deal with injuries and are still dealing with injuries. Home court has so far proven to be an advantage in this series, but we say that trend gets bucked today. In what we suspect will be an all out war, we're grabbing the points!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Nuggets/Lakers (BEST OF BEST)

The first three games of this series have fallen below the number, as the Lakers have fallen apart in the second half of each contest so far. At this point, even if LA does win Game 4, the Lakers would then just clearly be delaying the inevitable. That said, after the first three games all going "under," we're finally expecting this Game 4 to go "over!" Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. LA's bench has been shutdown, but with the home side fighting tooth and nail like we suspect to avoid the sweep, this faster-paced affair will indeed fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW)

Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this matchup. FC Cincinnati is 4-2 and in our estimation, it could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot. It just snapped a three-game winless streak with a convincing 2-1 win at Atlanta and we say that momentum gets carried over here at home. Colorado is also 4-2, but after two straight victories, a predictable letdown seems imminent here to us in this difficult road venue. And with a game at NYCFC up next, it's also a "look ahead" for the visitors; lay the price with confidence, the play is FC Cincinnati!

AAA Sports

10* Lightning (PLAYOFF PAY-OFF)

Florida is no longer the red-headed step-child in this in-state rivarly, as the Lightning are now on the ropes down 0-3. The hardest game to in a seven games series is the fourth one though, and in our opinion, the Panthers are finally poised for a letdown here. Note that Tampa is 7-3 in its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Tampa is still 25-12-4-1 at home this year. We say there's no way the Bolts get swept in this series. Florida packs up the tents early we're expecting, and then wraps this one up at home in Game 5; the play is Tampa!

AAA Sports

10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

We feel that home floor advantage will prove to be just that for the 0-2 Pelicans finally here on Saturday afternoon. An 0-3 hole would be too big to climb out of obviously, so this is the biggest game of the year for New Orleans. OKC was 24-17 on the road this year, while New Orleans was 22-20 at home. Regardless, it's significant to note that the Pelicans are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Yes, Zion Williamson is out for this series, but CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram are going to respond in our opinion. There's no way the Pels are getting swept, as really the Thunder have been anything but impressive to us over these first two games. We just expected more. The Pels shoot over 37 percent from range at home, and we expect that to come into play here as well; grab as many points as you can here in Game 3, the play is on New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

After getting blown out in yesterday's series opener by a score of 12-2, we're expecting Toronto to be much more competitive here on Saturday. It was the Jays' fourth straight loss. It was LA's fifth straight win. Tyler Glasnow is 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA for the Dodgers, while Yusei Kikuchi is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA for the Jays. We expect Kikuchi to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a scenario like that it's the undervalued home dog that does indeed become the savvy wager in our estimation; while the outright is clearly possible, our official call is Toronton the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER)

We think that a little "home cooking" will turn the tide in this series, as we're expecting the Suns to not only win this essentially must-win Game 3, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Phoenix has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Suns were a lot better at home this year as well, finishing with a 24-16 record. Minnesota has looked solid so far, but we're cautious here with its first game in the playoffs away from friendly confines. A 3-0 hole will be just too big for Phoenix to climb out of; with the home side risking life and limb, the play is indeed on the Suns!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (TOTAL BLOOD-BATH)

The first two games of this series have flown well "over" the number, but we're anticipating a much tighter defensive affair here now that the venue has shifted to the West Coast. Edmonton won Game 1 by a score of 7-4, and hten LA bounced back with the 5-4 OT victory in Game 2. Note though that Edmonton has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent. We think fatigue will also now play a factor here as the series wears on. With each team doubling down defensively like we're suspecting in this one to try and get the upperhand in this series, everything does indeed point to a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Jets/Avs (TOTAL BOB)

The first two games of this series have flown "over" the number, but now with the shift in venue, we're anticipating a much more defensive affair here. Fatigue now at this part of the series takes effect. Altitude in Colorado is a factor. Also note that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss vs. an opponent. Game 3 in Colorado shapes up to be a defensive goaltenders battle in our opinion; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Clippers/Mavericks (SUPER TOTAL)

The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but now with the shift in venue we're anticipating these talented offensive teams to finally eclipse what we feel is now a really low number. Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Dallas was 25-16 at home, while LA was 26-15 on the road. All signs once again point to a very competitive affair here in Game 3, but this time a high-scoring one; this number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Jays runline (ASSASSIN)

We feel that Toronto is really undervalued here. That brings extra value to the runline option overall in our opinion. The Dodgers are 16-11 overall, while Toronto is 13-12. LA has won four straight now after winning three in a row in the Nation's capital this week. Now though travelling North of the border, we're expecting a small step back. Toronto enters on the other end of the spectrum, as it's now lost three straight after falling 2-1 in five innings at KC last night. The Jays have the clear starting pitching matchup in their favor though, with Gavin Stone (1-1, 6.00 ERA) going for the Dodgers, and Chris Bassitt (2-3, 3.90) countering for the home side. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Toronto on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Nuggets/Lakers (TOP PLAY)

The first two games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're anticipating a much higher-scoring shootout this time around with the shift in venue. Note that LA has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer point in. The Lakers closed out the regular season by seeing the total fly "over" the number in five straight games. Now returning home and with their backs against the wall, LA will have to push the pace from start to finish no matter the size of the lead; expect this overall tempo to help in contributing to this total flying "over the posted number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* Magic (BLOCKBUSTER)

We like the Magic to bounce back here at home after going 0-2 SU/ATS over the first two games of this series. Note that Orlando is in fact 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. We liked the Magic going into this series, but they came up short on the road. Home court will for sure prove to be important in this series. Cleveland was just 19-22 ATS on the road this season, while the Magic were 27-13 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Look for Orlando to ride the wave of emotion to a solid win and cover in this essentially "must win" scenario; lay the short points, the play is Orlando!

AAA Sports

10* Panthers/Lightning OVER (GAME 3 TOP)

The first two games have fallen "under" the number, but now with the shift in venue, we're expecting goals to be plentiful here in Tampa on Thursday night. Note that the Lightning have in fact seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. We also expect Florida to be able to, at the very least, match its offensive output over the first two games after winning 3-2 in each. While the first two games of this series have been really defensive, the stage is now set for an explosive offensive affair between these talented offensive clubs in our opinion; this number is indeed low, the play is on the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Brewers/Pirates (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a "duel" here finally in this get-away game. Milwaukee is 14-8, including 10-4 on the road, while Pittsburgh is 13-11, including 5-5 at home. The Brewers have now seen the total go "under" in five straight after yesterday's 3-2 win. Note though that the Brewers have in fact seen the total soar "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Pirates have also seen the total go "under" in five straight, but note that they've also seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Freddy Peralta is 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA for the Brewers, while Mitch Keller is 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA for the Pirates. Two decent starters, but the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to this total going "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Pelicans/Thunder (ASSASSIN)

For the most part we're primarily a "situational" cappers and we think that handicapping style is a great one to use during the playoffs. To be successful in the playoffs, both for these teams and also for us handicappers, it's important to make adjustments from game-to-game. You can have a good idea about how a game or series is going to go, but then after the first game or the second game if they don't go as you originally thought, it's important to make adjustments on your direction and learn from those initial mistakes. Either way, this is another great "situational" play overall and it's not really about who is or who isn't on the court. We're going to steer clear of a side on this one and instead focus on the total and we just think Game 2 will be much more wide open than what we saw in Game 1. Including their two Play In games, the Pelicans have now seen the total to "under" in all three of their playoff games so far this year, but that's significant to note because New Orleans has in fact seen the totla go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Oklahoma City earned the 94-92 win, but it was anything but impressive. The Thunder looked great in the regular season to earn the No. 1 seed but now that the Playoffs are here this high-octane offense looked pretty medicore. That said, overall we think there's been a bit of an overreaction with this Over/Under line here in Game 2. We've seen a lot of really low-scoring games in both the NBA and NHL Playoffs so far this year, but everything finally points to a shootout here in our opinion in this Game 2; the play is indeed on the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Leafs (EAST-CONF RND. 1 GOY)

As primarily situational cappers, nothing changes in our approach for the most part once the playoffs get going. We're looking for great situations and we're looking for what we feel are good or suspect lines that we can take advantage of. And that's the case here: Boston blew out Toronto 5-1 in the opening game of this series, but the Leafs battled tough and got the home ice advantage now after holding on for the 3-2 win in Game 2. The Bruins were great on the road this year finishing 23-9-7-2, but the Leafs were great at home as well with a 22-15-3-1 record North of the border. Auston Matthews is coming off a huge regular season for the Leafs and he had the go-ahead goal in the their Game 2 victory, and now back at home we think Matthews and company will carry that momentum over. We think Boston is fantastic obviously and on any given Sunday it can beat any team on any night. But getting the Leafs at home at this price in the playoffs no matter who their opponent or the situation has to be considered a legitimate investment option every time in our opinion. That victory snapped an eight game losing streak in the series between the clubs Lenny...so great to get the monkey off their backs, but now back at home I think Toronto will take advantage. Ilya Samsonov is great at home as well and has the upper-hand in net; all this considered, a really great price on the hungry Leafs in Game 3!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Phillies/Reds.

We base our picks on many different things. We're giving this one the old "eye test" here, as we don't feel there's any need to overthink it. We're expecting a classic "duel" here between two starters that enter on top form, and because of that, we're going to recommend a play on the "under" here. The Phillies hand the ball to Spencer Turnbull (2-0, 1.23 ERA), while the home side counters with Nick Lodolo (2-0, 0.75.) Regression will happen at some point obviously, but everything points to a classic "duel" here in our opinion. Look for these two starters to "take center stage" and to be the main storylines in tomorrow's summaries; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Manchester United -1.5 (GOW)

We're expecting the home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish, making the spread option the correct call as far as the side is concerned in our opinion. Sheffield United is at the bottom of the table and is coming off a disheartening 4-1 defeat by Burnely last weekend. Manchester United on the other hand is in seventh spot in the table and still needing victories here to close the game. If recent history is any precedence though, then Man U has to be liking its chances here, as it's won eight of the last ten in this series. We say that streak continues here with another convincing blowout victory; lay the goals for Man U to win in a blowout in regulation!

AAA Sports

10* Mavs/Clippers OVER (1ST RND WEST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went under the number, but we're expecting Game 2 to be much more wide-open. The Mavericks only scored eight points in the second quarter of that first game, and the total still almost went "over" the number. The Mavs scored 34 points in the third quarter and 33 in the fourth and while Luka and Kyrie looked good, the rest of the team struggled. We don't see that happening again. We're expecting the Mavs to be much more efficient here across all four quarters. LA looked great and will look to keep the momentum rolling. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Avs/Jets (RND 1 WEST-CONF TOY)

No need to overthink this one for us. The "zig zag" theory is in full effect here as far as the total is concerned in our opinion after the Jets won the opener 7-6. Note that Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Both regular season games these teams played against each other also went "over" the number, but after the high-scoring shootout in the first game, we're absolutely expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. The bookmakers know the public will be quick to back this being another high-scoring shootout, because that's what the general betting public wants. But we're going the other way and expecting a much more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Giants (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been playing well of late. Each starter has done well to to open the season, but we're expecting Luis Severino to finally take a step back here on the road. Severino is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA this year, but this is his first road game. The Mets have won five straight series, but they dropped the opener of this one last night, and we like San Fran to build off that victory with Logan Webb (2-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill. Webb has the clear advantage throwing at home here, so much so in our opinion, that it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is indeed on San Francisco!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Isles/Canes (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY)

While the first game stayed well "under" the number in this Eastern Conference Opening Round NHL series, we say that the second one will be much more wide-open offensively, and we'll therefore be recommending a play on the "over" in this one. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. New York has responded well in this spot for "over" bettors, and we're banking on this strong trend continuing here in this important game. This O/U line is now definitely TOO low, so the play is the "over" 

AAA Sports

10* OVER Magic/Cavaliers (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went well "under" the number, but we're expecting a much faster-pace here in Game 2 of this Opening Round Eastern Conference Final matchup, at least one that'll help push this total "over" this very low O/U number that's been set. Note that Orlando has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/aTS road loss vs. an opponent. Despite this series shift back to Orlando next, the Magic will have to change their game-plan from the get-go here in Game 2 to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later

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10* Predators (BLOOD-BATH)

With nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely "going the other way" with this one and fully embracing our contrarian nature. Just a great spot for this undervalued underdog to pull off an upset here in the opener in our opinion of all of these opening round games. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as Vancouver took all three games in the regular season. Note though that the teams haven't played since mid-December. These teams though are more evenly matched now and we're expecting the Canucks to fold now that the Playoffs are here. At least in Game 1 anyways! The play is indeed on Nashville!

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10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN)

Whether Zion plays or not, we like the Pels to give the Thunder a run for their money. New Orleans has experience in its core, while the Thunder come in with plenty of talent and a great regular seaosn record. New Orleans went 1-2 against the Thunder thi syear. OKC closed with five straight wins to close out, but will "rest" lead to "rust?!" In our opinion, "yes!" Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum look unbelievable right now and they won't be going down without a fight. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans!

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10* Rangers runline (ASSASSIN)

After two straight losses to open this series, we like the Rangers to, at the very least, take the finale "right down to the wire," meaning that the "runline option" becomes the savvy call in our opinion. Michael Lorenzen is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after shutting out the Tigers over five innings in his last outing. He's off a career-high 153 innings last year. The Braves counter with Darius Vines, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA after allowing one run over four innings in a win over Houston. He's filling in for Spencer Strider for at least one more start, and regression feels/seems imminent to us now moving forward. Look for the revenge-minded visiting side to fight tooth and nail; the play is Texas on the runline option!

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10* Pacers (ASSASSIN)

The Bucks stumbled down the stretch and we believe that regression continues here in the first round of the playoffs, despite finishing third in the East and with home floor advantage over No. 6 Indiana. Giannis Antetokounmpo is injured, hence the Pacers being favored here. Milwaukee lost eight of 11 to close the year, while Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers won six of eight to stay out of the Play-In Tournament. Indiana won four of the five regular season games and we see this dominance continuing; the play is indeed on Indiana!

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10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW)

Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa is once again a force to be reckoned with and it's now aiming to finish in the top four of the table. Most recently the Villains got the better of Arsenal on the road by a score of 2-0. Andoni Iraola's men started slowly this year, but there's now a chance the Cherries could finish in the top half of the table. Bournemouth is off a satisfying 2-2 draw with Man U at home though and is now primed for a predictable letdown here on the road. We're predicting a dominant all-around win for the home side, so lay the price with confidence!

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10* Seattle (MLS GOM)

It's another Cascadia Cup clash here this weekend at Lumens Field in Seattle, and we believe that the home field advantage will indeed prove to be a big difference-maker for the Sounders. Seattle is off a 0-0 draw with Dallas last time out, while the Whitecaps took a major step back with a 3-1 home loss to the Los Angeles Galaxy. The Sounders have taken big steps over the last few weeks and have cleaned up their defensive issues that we saw earlier on, and despite the Caps having lots of scoring potential, they're just not the same team on the road, as they are at home. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done in regulation and lay the price with the Sounders!

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10* UNDER Lakers/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER)

The Nuggets won the NBA championship last year and they have a legitimate shot at duplicating that feat here this season as well. To get to the Finals last year, Denver steamrolled the Lakers in four straight. This season the teams meet in the first round. The Lakers got past New Orleans in the Play In Tournament, and we think they're going to be fatigued here now in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets took all four of those Playoff games over the Lakers last year, but by a combined 24 points. The Lakers have had a few days off after the win in New Orleans, but they lost all three games to the Nuggets in the regular season. With the home side looking to clamp down and control the tempo and pace of this one, we're expecting a very defensive affair right out of the gates and considering all of the situational factors listed above here, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* Bruins PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN)

We think that home ice will prove to be an advantage for each team in this series. We think the Bruins will not only win this game, but do so by at least two goals. We think the Bruins will be able to do that without having to rely on an empty-netter. The Leafs always show great potential throughout the regular season, but then fold like a house of cards in the playoffs. The Bruins put together one of the best regular season performances of all time last year, but then completely fell apart and lost in the first round last season. They'll be out to make sure that doesn't happen this season. Look for Boston to post a big win here in Game 1 at it sets the early tone vs. the Leafs!

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10* Cardinals (TOP REVENGE PLAY)

We like the Cards to break their two-game slide and to avenge yesterday's series-opening loss. DL Hall (0-1, 7.11 ERA) goes for Milwaukee and he most recently allowed five runs off eight hits including three dingers over just three innings in a fortunate no-decision. The home side counters with Miles Mikolas (1-2, 5.82), who will hope to get some run support here finally after his team has scored a total of four runs in three of his four starts. Mikolas is 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career appearances vs. Milwaukee; look for St. Louis to figure out a way to bounce back here as we think Mikolas at home at this price in this matchup is fantastic!

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10* Magic (EAST-CONF FIRST RND GOY)

The Cavs did go on that massive run in the middle of the season, but they looked very pedestrian down the stretch. Orlando was 29-12 at home, but it also features the No. 3 defense in the NBA. Cavs' star Donovan Mitchell missed time down the stretch and Cleveland coach JB Bickerstaff's team just looked out of sync over the last month. The Magic went 16-10 down the stretch, while the Cavs went 12-16. Look for Orlando to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments and grab as many points as you can!

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10* Pels (ASSASSIN)

Despite Zion sitting, with nearly 75% of the public money on the Kings, we're going full on contrarian here and taking the still dangerous home side, which we expect will find a way to deliver the goods and move on further into the Playoffs. The Kings got by their nemesis the Warriors and are now primed for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. New Orleans fought tooth and nail and fell 110-106 to the the Lakers. We think LA would have smashed Sacramento if they had to play the first game. Despite that though, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum are going to step up and fill the void here left by Zion's injury. The Pels were 7-5 in games without Zion this year and New Orleans has dominated this series all year long, going 5-0 SU in the regular season. HOME COURT ADVANTAGE DOES MATTER HERE! Grab the points, the play is NEW ORLEANS.

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10* UNDER Angels/Rays (ASSASSIN)

These two teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including the first two of this series which they've split, but all signs finally point to a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion, as each side will be leaning on these capable starters to go deep. Neither has looked great to open the season, but with a couple of awkward games under their belts, we're looking for each to settle down here. The Angels turn to Griffin Canning, who is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA, while the home side counters with Ryan Pepiot, who is 1-2, with a 5.40 ERA. Canning is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four career games vs. the Rays, who has had one good start and two pedestrian ones. He's never faced the Angels. However, when taking into account the overall situational factors listed above, and also noting that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these two hungry starters to battle into the latter frames and then also look for this total to stay well "under" once it's all said and done!

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