Vanderbilt vs Hawaii NCAAF Week Zero Preview and Prediction August 27, 2022


Vanderbilt vs Hawaii August 27, 2022 @ Honolulu HI

Opening Betting Odds

Spread: Vanderbilt -6.5. Hawaii +6.5
Moneyline: Vanderbilt -250, Hawaii +210
Total: 55

Preview

This will be the first of a home and home series between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, who have never faced each other. When Vanderbilt plays at Hawaii on August 27, 2022 it will be the Commodores first football game out of the continental United States. The two teams will play again in Nashville on September 30, 2023.

This will be the first time the Rainbow Warriors have played an SEC team since opening the 2008 season with a 59-10 loss to the Florida Gators. Hawaii has an all time record of 1-7 versus SEC teams, and the average margin of defeat in those games is more than 20 points.

Vanderbilt has only faced teams from the Mountain West three times previously, going 2-1 in those games. The Commodores won at Colorado State by a a score of 24-21 last September. They lost to UNLV 34-10 in 2019, and defeated the Nevada Wolfpack 41-10 in 2018.

Vanderbilt

  • 2-10 overall in 2021
  • 0-8 in the SEC in 2021
  • 6-6 against the spread in 2021

This will be the second season for Clark Lea in his second stint at Vanderbilt. It’s fair to say that last year was a disaster, opening the season with a loss to East Tennessee State (FCS). and failing to win a game in the SEC.

If the Commodores are to improve in 2022 it will be in spite of their offensive line. The unit ranked dead last in the SEC a year ago, and has since lost left tackle Tyler Steen who transferred to Alabama.

Junior Ken Seals is back at quarterback, but he threw for just 1,181 yards with five touchdowns and eight interceptions on 57 percent passing last year. He will be challenged by fellow junior Mike Wright, who threw for 1,042 yards with eight touchdowns and six interceptions last year, but completed just 53 percent of his passes.

If there is a strength on this team it would be the defense that could have as many as 10 players with starting experience. Senior linebacker Anfernee Orji is expected to be a potential NFL draft pick in 2023.

Hawaii

  • 6-7 overall in 2021
  • 3-5 in the Mountain West in 2021
  • 5-7-1 against the spread in 2021

The Rainbow Warriors bring in former star quarterback Timmy Chang as head coach, despite the fact that he has never been a head coach at any level. He’s worked as an offensive coordinator at Jackson State, and a positions coach at Nevada. Expectations are low for a team that had 21 players transfer to other schools.

Hawaii has to replace starting quarterback Cheven Cordeiro as well as five of their six leading receivers from 2021. Making matters worse, they lost all four of their ball carriers from last season.

Personnel losses on defense could hit the team even harder than on offense. That said, they did rank dead last in the Mountain West allowing 446 yards per game last year, and had one of the worst pass defenses in the country. Perhaps change could be a good thing?

Relevant Trends

  • The Commodores are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • The Rainbow Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
  • The under is 5-1 in the Commodores last six road games.
  • The over is 19-9 in the Rainbow Warriors last 28 non-conference games.
  • The over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five games in August.

Prediction: Vanderbilt 37 – Hawaii 17

The Hawaii program appears to be a dumpster fire, and the hiring of Timmy Chang was likely due to the fact that nobody else wanted the job. A mass exodus of players through the transfer portal, a condemned stadium and a complete overhaul of players and coaches doesn’t bode well for Week 1, and the rest of the season.

Before you dive into the Week 1 betting action, you might want to consult Ricky Tran. His impressive resume includes consecutive Top 5 finishes with college football the last two seasons. He’s also ranked near the top of the leaderboards for ROI as well as win percentage for all sports in 2022.

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2 comments on Vanderbilt vs Hawaii NCAAF Week Zero Preview and Prediction August 27, 2022


Vandy Vance

Some dude named Mark sounds like he just loves Hawaii, but WTF does he base his comments on. Not a single piece of useful info on why he thinks UH is going to be good. Come on Mark, you can do better?


Mark

Bad Hawaii reporting! Commodores will be in for their lives! This UH team will surprise many, starting with Vanderbilt!!!

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