Pound The Under In The NBA Playoffs
Posted 9 years ago | NBA | 0 comments
Mike Lundin is taking a look at totals trends in the NBA playoffs for the past couple of seasons.
The NBA postseason is a terrific time to make some serious cash. More people are watching the playoffs than the regular-season grind, and an influx of recreational gamblers who are more than happy to make a couple of bets to add to the excitement enters the stage. This often forces the bookies to move the lines, giving the sharps plenty of opportunities to take advantage of public misconceptions.
The public (and the bookmakers) have gotten the totals all wrong in recent seasons.
Going back to the playoffs in 2014 the total went over in 51 of the 89 playoff games (57%) with an average total of 196.4.
For the 2015 season the average total for the 81 postseason games was a much higher 201.3 points, but that year the under dominated with 54.3 percent of the contest failing to reach the closing total.
In 2016 we are seeing a similar trend. We have an even higher total average of 202.9 per game so far with 10 of 13 games, close to 77 percent, going under the total.
While it’s a small sample, I think we should be wise to keep betting the under until the bookmakers adjust and set the totals much much lower than they currently are.
Raw Statistics:
2014 Playoffs O/U: 51-37-1 avg total: 196.4
2015 Playoffs O/U: 36-44-1 avg total: 201.3
2016 Playoffs O/U: 3-10-0 avg total: 202.9
[wp_social_sharing social_options='facebook,twitter,googleplus,linkedin,pinterest,xing' twitter_username='capperreviews' facebook_text='Share on Facebook' twitter_text='Share on Twitter' googleplus_text='Share on Google+' icon_order='f,t,g' show_icons='0' before_button_text='' text_position='' social_image='']
4 days ago | NBA, News
Doc Rivers has never had the stomach for building an NBA team. You want him to coach? No worries. He would coach in the East (Boston and Philadelphia), coach in the West (Los Angeles Clippers) and coach somewhere in between (Milwaukee).
3 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The LSU Tigers will play USC in Las Vegas in a rare Sunday night game in Week 1. These teams face similar challenges heading into the 2024 season. Both teams will replace their starting quarterback, and not just any starting quarterback. Jayden Daniels won the Heisman last year, and Caleb…
3 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
Mike Elko comes over from Duke to take the head coach job for Texas A&M, and he will face his former quarterback Riley Leonard who transferred from Duke to Notre Dame in the off-season. Elko had previously worked as the defensive coordinator at both Texas A&M and Notre Dame.
4 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The Wolverines may be defending champions, but they will look different this year. Head coach Jim Harbaugh went to the NFL, as did quarterback JJ McCarthy. The exodus doesn't end there, the entire offensive line, star RB Blake Corum and the majority of the receiving corps will also be playing…
4 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The Longhorns should beat the pants off this Rams team, and if they really wanted to they could cover a 36-point spread. We expect them to dominate the first half, but when you look up at the schedule and see a road game at Michigan the following Saturday
4 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The Badgers defeated Western Michigan by a score of 24-16 in the Cotton Bowl back in 2017 the last time these teams met. Wisconsin will be a significant favorite in this Week 1 matchup on a Friday night.
