Pound The Under In The NBA Playoffs
Posted 9 years ago | NBA | 0 comments
Mike Lundin is taking a look at totals trends in the NBA playoffs for the past couple of seasons.
The NBA postseason is a terrific time to make some serious cash. More people are watching the playoffs than the regular-season grind, and an influx of recreational gamblers who are more than happy to make a couple of bets to add to the excitement enters the stage. This often forces the bookies to move the lines, giving the sharps plenty of opportunities to take advantage of public misconceptions.
The public (and the bookmakers) have gotten the totals all wrong in recent seasons.
Going back to the playoffs in 2014 the total went over in 51 of the 89 playoff games (57%) with an average total of 196.4.
For the 2015 season the average total for the 81 postseason games was a much higher 201.3 points, but that year the under dominated with 54.3 percent of the contest failing to reach the closing total.
In 2016 we are seeing a similar trend. We have an even higher total average of 202.9 per game so far with 10 of 13 games, close to 77 percent, going under the total.
While it’s a small sample, I think we should be wise to keep betting the under until the bookmakers adjust and set the totals much much lower than they currently are.
Raw Statistics:
2014 Playoffs O/U: 51-37-1 avg total: 196.4
2015 Playoffs O/U: 36-44-1 avg total: 201.3
2016 Playoffs O/U: 3-10-0 avg total: 202.9
3 weeks ago | NBA
10 of the 14 victories came in the first 14 games of the season, and the Lakers are now just one of eight teams in the middle of the Western Conference hoping to get some momentum. Not exactly what Laker Nation had in mind.
4 weeks ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
Colorado came into the 2024 season with a season win total of 5. It's fair to say that Deion Sanders exceeded all expectations with this team in just his second year in Boulder. It didn't start out that well with poor offensive line play a lingering issue from the previous…
4 weeks ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The ReliaQuest Bowl (formerly the Hall of Fame Bowl) has traditionally been played on New Years Day. The last time this game was played in the month of December was back in 1986 when Boston College beat Georgia 27-24.
2 months ago | NBA, News
Doc Rivers has never had the stomach for building an NBA team. You want him to coach? No worries. He would coach in the East (Boston and Philadelphia), coach in the West (Los Angeles Clippers) and coach somewhere in between (Milwaukee).
2 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions
UNC comes in with some confidence after putting up 41 on Virginia last week. They have had an underwhelming year themselves, but they’ve showed far more signs of good play than the Seminoles.
5 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The LSU Tigers will play USC in Las Vegas in a rare Sunday night game in Week 1. These teams face similar challenges heading into the 2024 season. Both teams will replace their starting quarterback, and not just any starting quarterback. Jayden Daniels won the Heisman last year, and Caleb…
5 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The defending champion Michigan Wolverines come into the 2024 season projected to finish 4th in the BIG10. The bookmakers have set their regular season win total at 8.5, and they are priced as a +$115 underdog to make the College Football Playoffs.
5 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
The defending champion Michigan Wolverines come into the 2024 season projected to finish 4th in the BIG10. The bookmakers have set their regular season win total at 8.5, and they are priced as a +$115 underdog to make the College Football Playoffs.
5 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
Penn State is a betting favorite to make the College Football Playoff, priced at -140. West Virginia is a longshot at 12-1 to make the playoffs. The Mountaineers are oddly an even bigger longshot to win the BIG12, priced at 18-1.
5 months ago | Betting Previews and Predictions, NCAAF
Mike Elko comes over from Duke to take the head coach job for Texas A&M, and he will face his former quarterback Riley Leonard who transferred from Duke to Notre Dame in the off-season. Elko had previously worked as the defensive coordinator at both Texas A&M and Notre Dame.
