NCAAF Free Picks
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Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Nevada -14
The Key: I was on Nevada last week in their upset win over Wyoming. And I’m on them again this week for many of the same reasons. This Nevada team is good enough to win the Mountain West or at least challenge Boise State for the title. They returned 17 starters this year under Jay Norvell, have a dominant offense with 10 starters back and have a huge defensive line that can stop the run. They racked up 496 total yards on a good Wyoming defense and held the Cowboys to 361 yards, including just 128 rushing on 35 carries. Now they want to avenge their upset loss to rival UNLV last year. This is a horrible UNLV team in transition under first-year head coach Marcus Arroyo. They lost 6-34 to San Diego State last week while getting outgained 186 to 424 yards. Nevada is better than San Diego State this season, if not on par with them at the very least. The Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Take Nevada.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Michigan State +24.5
This line is an overreaction from last week’s results. Michigan State lost outright as a double-digit favorite to Rutgers. But the Spartans turned the ball over seven times in that game and Rutgers scored 38 points despite managing just 276 total yards against what is still a very solid Sparty defense. Michigan won 49-24 at Minnesota last week as just a 2.5-point favorite. So instead of this line being closer to 14 where it would have been this offseason this line has been jacked up to 24.5 points in a huge rivalry game. You know the Spartans are going to show up for Michigan, and they should be able to stay within this massive spread. Michigan was a 24.5-point favorite a few years back and only won 32-23 over Michigan State. The Spartans are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, including 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Ann Arbor. Give me Michigan State.
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Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' and Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 3-2 last Saturday in NCAA play and is a 'Documented 28-9 76% the past SEVEN weeks in NCAA Best Bet action. Saturday, get his Top-3 Triple-Play of NCAA winner including his Highest-Rated Power Play winner between Ohio State and Penn State, his Top-Rated Megabucks winner between North Carolina and Virginia and his Money Game winner between Notre Dame and Georgia Tech. Get Chip's 3-Best a 'Guaranteed' to 'Profit' Triple-Play of NCAAF Best Bet winners for only $99.
Chip's FREE NCAA Winner
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State 12:00 ET
Panthers (+) over Chanticleers- I must admit from what I have seen I m very impressed with the Chanticleers as they are solid on both offense and defense. They have committed just two turnovers in their five wins going 4-1 ATS and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games and are looking for revenge for last season's home defeat to the Panthers 31-21. Georgia State has scored at least 30 points in each of their four contests including a 34-31 overtime loss to then No. 19 Louisiana. I respect the 'Roosters' but this price is way too low. The oddsmakers give the Panthers a punchers chance an so do I. Take GEORGIA STATE!
Chip's 'Guaranteed' FAB-5 NCAAF Best Bets
Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' and Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 3-2 last Saturday in NCAA play and is a 'Documented 28-9 76% the past SEVEN weeks in NCAA Best Bet action. Saturday, get his FAB-5 of NCAA winner including his Highest-Rated Power Play winner between Ohio State and Penn State, his Top-Rated Megabucks winner between North Carolina and Virginia, his Money Game winner between Notre Dame and Georgia Tech, his Vegas Hotline winner between Texas and Oklahoma State and his Chip Shots winner between Virginia Tech and Louisville. Get Chip's FAB-5 'Guaranteed' to 'Profit' NCAAF Best Bet winners!
$$ Saturday Featured Free Play $$
The Saturday Comp play is on the Under in the Miss. St at Alabama game at 7:00 eastern. Miss St is the number one defense in the SEC under offensive minded coach Leach whose offense has looked inept thus far. Miss St has gone under in 5 of 6 if they had 275 or less yards last out, 13 of 16 if they allowed 170 or less yards passing and 5 of 6 under off a 10+ point home loss. Alabama is a staggering 2-23 under at home after allowing 7 or less points and 4 of 5 under after a game where they had 450+ yards. These two have gone under in 10 of 12. Bama will win easy here but the games stays under. For the Comp play. Play Under Miss. St and Alabama. Rob V- GC Sports.
Saturday card has an executive Level Tier 1, the College Dog of the Year and a 6* Perfect System Blowout. CFB 6-0 last Saturday. We also have the Breeders Cup Classic, and UFC.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #112 Syracuse Orange +11 over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12p.m., Saturday, October 31 ACCN) Just do not believe Wake Forest should be favored by this many points by anyone in the conference, especially on the road. Wake Forest has won three straight games, the last two as an underdog but I still am not sold on their defense and feel Syracuse will be able to move the football and score some points in this game. Wake Forest is 0-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. Syracuse is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Wake Forest. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 49 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Rotation #152 Saturday Free Pick Air Force Falcons (+) vs Boise State Broncos @ 6 ET - This is all about the value. I know the Falcons had major roster turnover coming into this strange season but getting two TDs at home here when coming off an embarrassing loss is simply too much. I am sure Air Force is going to respond after an embarrassing effort on offense against the Spartans at San Jose State last week. The Falcons defense has played well this season and they are allowing only 12 points and 267.5 yards per game. I know Boise State is a very strong team but they faced a Utah State team last week that has plenty of issues and that game was in Idaho. Now the Broncos play their first road game of the season and plus one could argue that they are in a bit of a lookahead because they have BYU on deck. No, that is not a conference game like this one is but the Cougars are undefeated and highly ranked and the Broncos might already be thinking about that game. That will prove to be a mistake as the Falcons were also a sizable dog in their other home game this season and they won that game 40 to 7. Now I am certainly not suggesting that they will win this game outright as Boise State is one tough customer. But each of the last two meetings between these teams were decided by 11 or less points and I expect the Falcons to lose this game by a single score and, if not, then no more than 11 points just like each of the last two meetings. FREE PICK Air Force
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Texas A&M -12
The Texas A&M Aggies are the second-best team in the SEC in my opinion behind Alabama. They have opened 3-1 this season with their only loss coming to Alabama. They were only outgained by 94 yards by the Crimson Tide as it was a much closer game than the final score would suggest. They also beat Florida at home this season.
It’s a great time to ’sell high’ on the Arkansas Razorbacks now. The Razorbacks are 2-2 SU and a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as they have greatly exceeded expectations. But it’s worth noting the Razorbacks have been very fortunate as they have been outgained in all four of their games thus far. Texas A&M has outgained every opponent outside Alabama by 108 yards or more.
I think the Razorbacks get a dose of reality here as they take a big step up in class against the Aggies. This will be similar to their 10-37 home loss to Georgia to open the season. I think Georgia and Texas A&M are neck-and-neck for the second-best team in the conference and I’d give a slight edge to the Aggies. So they should be able to cover this 12-point spread coming off their bye week.
The Aggies are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games as favorites. The Razorbacks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record. The Aggies should have no problem winning this game by two touchdowns or more. Bet Texas A&M Saturday.
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After a pair of losses, UCF came back with a win over Tulane but has a stiff test this weekend. The Knights are trying to distance themselves from their early-season stumbles, issues unfamiliar for a program that had grown accustomed to success. The offense has been unreal but the defense has been letting them down as they are ranked No. 88 in total defense. The Knights have failed to cover their last four games yet they come in as road favorites here. Houston is coming off a win over Navy to move to 2-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against 6-0 BYU. Houston head coach Dana Holgorsen said that he hopes to have running back Mulbah Car back after missing the last two games with an ankle injury and that would be a big boost against a UCF rushing defense that is allowing 195.6 ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a home win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 80-40 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. Play (178) Houston Cougars
Another full Saturday College Football schedule is here, and Matt is ready to take advantage of some great matchups. He has FIVE Winners this Saturday so do not miss any of the action by getting a weekly or monthly package to keep the winners rolling in.
161 Northwestern vs. 162 Iowa
3:30 PM EST, October 31, 2020
Bookmaker makes Northwestern a 3.5-point road favorite.
Bet the Northwestern Wildcats for a 4% or 7-Star amount using the Money Line.
The Northwestern Wildcats are coming off an impressive 43-3 straight-up (SU) win over the Maryland Terrapins. The result marked the first time since 1970 that the Wildcats had defeated a conference foe by 40 or more points. Since that 40+ point win in 1970, the Wildcats suffered 29 games they lost by at least 40 points and failed to cover the spread in everyone game.
Northwestern quarterback Payton Ramsey transferred to Northwestern as an Indiana Hoosier post-graduate and making the most of this opportunity. He posted the best QBR by a Wildcats QB in 10 seasons and can repeat a similar performance against the Hawkeyes.
The box score reveals many favorable team trends supporting another winning bet on the Wildcats. After the Wildcats played a game and forced four or more turnovers, has earned a solid 7-4 ATS record for 64% winning bets. Under head coach Pat Fitzgerald the Wildcats are an impressive 31-17-3 ATS dressed as a road dog and 27-13-3 ATS as a road dog facing a conference foe.
My machine learning models project that the Wildcats will gain 300 or more rushing yards in this matchup. Note that the Wildcats are 23-3 ATS over the last ten seasons when they have gained 300 or more rushing yards. Take the Wildcats for a 4% amount using the Money Line.
Ricky's Free play on B.C.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Eagles are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
- The Eagles are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.
- The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Verdict: A lot can go wrong for Clemson without starting QB Trevor Lawrence.
My free play is on North Carolina at 4:00 ET.
Mack Brown began his coaching career at Appalachian St (one season) and then three at Tulane, before arriving in Chapel Hill beginning in 1988. He went 1-10 his first two seasons but then led North Carolina to EIGHT consecutive winning season, the last six ending with a bowl appearance. His final season (1997) saw North Carolina finish 10-1 and ranked fourth in the AP's final poll. He ten had a VERY successful run at Texas, before resigning in 2013. He found a home in the TV studio but then surprised most by returning to coach at North Carolina in 2019. A 6-6 regular season was followed by a Military Bowl win, giving the Tar Heels a 7-6 record. Big things were expected for North Carolina in 2020, as the Tar Heels were ranked 18th in the AP's preseason poll. Carolina has opened 3-0 and were ranked No. 5 in the AP poll (the school's highest ranking since 1997), but were upset 31-28 at FSU on Oct 17. The Tar heels rebounded with a 48-21 home win over NC State last Saturday and are 4-1 and ranked 18th as they visit Charlottesville to play Virginia on the final day of October.
Bronco Mendenhall came to UVa after 11 seasons at BYU where he led the Cougars to a bowl game each season. He took over in 2016 and the Cavs finished 2-10 (so much for his 11-year bowl streak). However, he led the Cavs to three straight bowl games from 2017-19 and last season, won the school's first-ever ACC Coastal title plus ended an embarrassing 15-year losing streak to Va Tech with a 39-30 victory. UVa open the 2020 season with a 38-20 win over Duke but it's been all downhill from there, with the Cavs losing FOUR in a row, allowing 39.7 PPG in the team's first three losses, before losing 19-14 at Miami last Saturday in a game played in heavy rain.
North Carolina QB Sam Howell passed for 353 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions against Virginia in last year's meeting but the Tar Heels lost 38-31 loss at home to the Cavs (UVa has won THREE straight over North Carolina). The sophomore QB is having a good season so far, completing 64.2% for 1,403 yards with 10 TDs and just four INTs. The good news for Carolina fans is that Howell will face a Virginia team with the ACC's worst pass defense (286.0 YPG). Howell also gets terrific help from an OUTSTANDING pair of RBs in Carter (584 yards / 7.9 YPC / 3 TDs) and Williams (562 yards / 6.9 YPC / 10 TDs).
Virginia can't match North Carolina's offensive 'punch,' with two mediocre QBs in plus a running game that's top rusher (Taulapapa) has just 301 yards on 4.9 YPC and three TDs. Then, there a VERY shaky defense that I'll already discussed (see above), which will have to contain a North Carolina offense that has topped 500 yards in THREE straight games!
This is the 125th meeting of "The South's Oldest Rivalry," with North Carolina holding a 63-57-4 edge in the series. Virginia has won the last three meetings but exactly 50 years ago, the Tar Heels won the only previous time they met on Halloween, 30-15 on Oct 31, 1970. A two-TD margin of victory sounds about right on Halloween 2020!