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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
Basketball Picks (+14391) 2407-2054 L4461 54%
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Football Totals (+3979) 199-145 L344 58%
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NCAA-F Totals (+3193) 96-58 L154 62%
MLB Money Lines (+2966) 560-489 L1049 53%
CFL Picks (+2256) 116-83 L199 58%
Top NHL Money Lines (+2142) 52-30 L82 63%
WNBA Picks (+1796) 123-93 L216 57%
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I went 67-39 (63 percent) in college football in 2022 as verified by Vegas Insider by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key. I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years. I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win.
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Notre Dame hasn't lost since Week 2. The Irish have gone 13-0 SU, 12-1 ATS. It's rare to find such a public team as Notre Dame being so mispriced and undervalued week after week. I find that once again to be the case in this title game matchup with Ohio State favored by too many points.
Ohio State has looked fantastic in the playoffs since getting upset by Michigan. The Buckeyes have rolled over Tennessee, Oregon and Texas. They've built quite a betting bandwagon by accomplishing that. But I don't see them doing that to Notre Dame.
The two teams had three common opponents - Indiana, Penn State and Purdue. Both went 3-0 SU and ATS against those foes. Ohio State's winning margin was 25 points against those three schools. Notre Dame's winning percentage versus them was 24 points.
I consider the quarterback close to even along with the offensive and defensive lines. Ohio State has the better skill position talent, but Notre Dame has the edge in special teams and coaching.
The turnover margin is heavily in Notre Dame's favor. The Irish are plus 17 in takeaways/giveaways while the Buckeyes are plus 5.
These are the two best defenses in the country with the numbers to prove it.
Ohio State gave up the fewest points, total yards, yards per play and also was No. 1 in pass defense. Oregon was the only team to score more than 17 points on the Buckeyes. Ohio State has permitted an average of only 13 points during its last nine games, while going against Tennessee, Texas, Oregon and Penn State during this span.
Notre Dame's offensive line has been banged-up. The Buckeyes have two potential first-round choices in their defensive line with Jack Sawyer and J.T. Tuimoloau.
The Irish have the No. 2 scoring defense in the nation. They rank 12th in pass defense and have 19 takeaways, which was the fifth-highest. Benjamin Morrison is in the discussion for best cornerback in college football.
Notre Dame has given up 14 or fewer points in seven of its last 10 games.
Neither quarterback, Will Howard nor Riley Leonard, is a downfield gunslinging threat.
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.
4 comments on Stephen Nover
With so much basketball in March I knew it would be the right call to get a Stephen Nover subscription this month. Good job so far Stephen and keep the winners coming.
I highly doubt any handicapper out there knows as much about college and pro basketball as Stephen Nover. Solid plays every day, every week.
I am glad I finally have come across a site where I can review handicappers! I have been a happy subscriber to Nover’s basketball for a long long time through other sites and believe me, this guy knows what he is doing.
Nover’s hoops is the nutz!
Can really recommend Novers basketball. I will probably buy a package if he’s off to a good start with the college hoops.