Click on a star to rate Sean Murphy as a handicapper.
Sean nailed BOTH of his 10* NBA and NHL big tickets last night, winning with the Heat and Avalanche! He expects more of the same on Sunday with another loaded board including an NHL 3-PACK and his NBA WCF T.O.Y.!
Football Picks (+4464) 549-458 L1007 55%
NCAA-F Totals (+2962) 178-136 L314 57%
NHL Picks (+2844) 362-267 L629 58%
NFL Sides (+2738) 149-107 L256 58%
Top NBA Picks (+2147) 108-79 L187 58%
Top All Sports Sides (+1886) 181-137 L318 57%
Basketball Picks (+1602) 116-91 L207 56%
CFL Picks (+1191) 42-27 L69 61%
MLB Run Lines (+1188) 57-33 L90 63%
WNBA Picks (+708) 28-19 L47 60%
NCAA-B Totals (+400) 4-0 L4 100%
Top NFLX Picks (+400) 4-0 L4 100%
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Sunday NHL Free play. My selection is on Calgary over Edmonton at 8 pm et on Sunday.
We won with the Flames in Game 1 before cashing the Oilers on the puck-line in Game 2. Here, I'll once again switch gears and back Calgary as the scene shifts to Edmonton for Game 3 of the 'Battle of Alberta'. Calgary might have gotten a little ahead of itself after building an early two-goal lead on Friday night on home ice. The Oilers rallied from there, ultimately prevailing by a score of 5-3. Now it's the Flames that are facing some adversity, just as they did on multiple occasions against Dallas last round. I look for them to respond favorably once again. You could argue that Calgary has been one of the most dominant teams in the league in the postseason, regularly firing 40+ shots on goal. The Flames weren't able to match the heroics of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on Friday night but I expect them to relish the role of road warriors here, noting that they've gone 26-18, outscoring opponents by 0.6 goals on average away from home this season. Take Calgary.
Sean nailed BOTH of his 10* NBA and NHL big tickets with the Heat and Avalanche last night and expects more of the same on Sunday with an NHL 3-PACK starting EARLY plus his 10* NBA Western Conference Finals Total of the Year going off in primetime; don't miss out!
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lynx vs Wings | UNDER 164 -110 | Premium | 78-94 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Mariners vs Red Sox | Mariners +148 | Top Premium | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs | Cubs -138 | Free | 7-6 | Loss | -138 | Show |
Heat vs Celtics | UNDER 207½ -110 | Free | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Avalanche vs Blues | Avalanche -161 | Top Premium | 5-2 | Win | 100 | Show |
Heat vs Celtics | Heat +6½ -110 | Top Premium | 109-103 | Win | 100 | Show |
My selection is on Seattle +1.5 runs over Boston at 1:35 pm et on Sunday.
We missed with the Mariners yesterday but certainly deserved a better fate as they built an early 5-0 lead but couldn't make it stand up in a 6-5 defeat. Yesterday's starter Chris Flexen disappointed once again but I don't expect the same from Logan Gilbert on Sunday. Gilbert has been brilliant for the Mariners so far this season, recording a 2.60 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in eight starts. Better still, he's posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in five road outings. It's a much different story for Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi. He has seemingly come down with a case of the 'yips', allowing a whopping 14 home runs in 41 2/3 innings of work this season, including five in his most recent start against Houston. While the Mariners have lost three straight games here in Boston they have managed to plate 14 runs and they have to be salivating at the prospect of facing the struggling Eovaldi here, especially considering they reached him for four earned runs over five innings in an 8-2 victory here at Fenway Park last season. Take Seattle +1.5 runs (6*).
N.L. West Game of the Month. My selection is on San Francisco over San Diego at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.
The Padres are already 'fat and happy' having won six of eight games on their current road trip. They've already defeated Giants starter Alex Wood right here in San Francisco once this season but I don't expect them to turn the trick for a second time here. Note that Wood is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in a pair of previous afternoon outings this season. Meanwhile, Padres starter MacKenzie Gore was used out of the bullpen earlier this week in Philadelphia, missing his turn in the starting rotation. Given how well Gore has pitched as a starter this season it was a bit of a head-scratching move, although I suppose San Diego is looking to limit his workload somewhat. I think there's a good chance we see Gore a little off having not started in nearly two weeks and the Giants are fully capable of taking advantage, noting that they're putting up 5.5 runs per game, going 5-3 against left-handed starting pitching this season. San Diego has won the first two games in this series but only owns a slight 3-2 edge here in San Francisco this season and an 11-10 advantage in games played in this park over the last three seasons. Look for the Giants to answer back here. Take San Francisco (10*).
WNBA Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Washington at 3 pm et on Sunday.
We won with the 'under' in the Mystics gritty road win over Atlanta two nights ago. I won't hesitate to go the other way and back the 'over' as they return home to host Chicago on Sunday. The Mystics were without Elena Delle Donne for Friday's game as she had a scheduled night off as she eases her way back from injury. She should be back in the lineup on Sunday to boost a deep Mystics offense that scored 78 points on Friday despite getting off just 55 field goal attempts and shooting a miserable 3-of-18 from three-point range. Note that Washington has put up 84+ points in all three home games this season. Chicago is coming off a low-scoring contest against Seattle, falling by a 74-71 score. The Sky have had plenty of time to get over that setback on Wednesday and I fully expect a stronger offensive performance here. The extra days off should have certainly served Allie Quigley well. The Sky sharp-shooter has been easing her way back into game action, contributing in just 15 points in 43 minutes of action in her two games back in the lineup. Candace Parker has been held to exactly 11 points in three straight games after scoring 21 in Chicago's season-opener. Like Quigley, I expect Parker to make a more significant contribution against the Mystics on Sunday. The Mystics were fortunate to give up 'only' 73 points in Friday's win considering Atlanta was able to get off 66 field goal attempts. Expect Chicago to improve on that number here. Take the over (10*).
My selection is on Chicago over Arizona at 2:20 pm et on Sunday.
It's a true 'getaway day' for the D'Backs on Sunday as they'll hop on a plane immediately following today's game to head back home and open a two-game set with the Royals tomorrow night. They'll be playing their eighth game in seven days and haven't had a day off since May 12th so credit them for taking the first three games in this series, including yesterday's in come-from-behind fashion in extra innings. With all of that being said, I'm confident we'll see the Cubs, who had been playing well entering this series, salvaging the series-finale on Sunday afternoon at Wrigley Field. Wade Miley will get his third start of the season for Chicago after starting the campaign on the injured list. Remember, he went 12-7 with a 3.38 ERA in 28 starts with the Reds last season and showed signs of returning to form last time out, allowing just one hit while striking out six and not walking a single batter over seven shutout innings in a 9-0 victory over the Pirates right here in Chicago. D'Backs starter Merrill Kelly had the polar opposite experience in his most recent outing, torched for eight earned runs in just two innings of work against the Dodgers. Arizona has now lost his last two starts by a ridiculous 23-6 margin. While Kelly was on the mound for a pair of D'Backs victories over the Cubs last season, it's not as if he pitched particularly well, allowing six earned runs in 14 innings. Take Chicago (8*).
My selection is on Connecticut minus the points over Indiana at 2 pm et on Sunday.
We saw the Sun turn in one of the worst quarters of defensive basketball we've seen them play in years on Friday night, allowing 34 points in the fourth quarter against the Fever. They still ended up winning the game by nine points. I don't expect to see a repeat of that performance here. The Sun not surprisingly had their way with the Fever defense as that game wore on. You'd be hard-pressed to find a weaker defensive team in the WNBA than the Fever as they continue what seems to be a never-ending rebuild. Credit them for shooting the lights out on Friday but with arguably their best offensive player, rookie NaLyssa Smith, likely to miss one more game (she's listed as doubtful for Sunday) I expect them to have a tough time keeping pace with a full-strength Sun squad on Sunday. Take Connecticut (8*).
My selection is on New York over Carolina at 3:30 pm et on Sunday.
The Hurricanes have now won three games in a row - their longest such streak of the playoffs to date. Off a shutout victory in Game 2, I look for the Canes to suffer a letdown in Game 3 as the scene shifts to Madison Square Garden. Note that Carolina is a miserable 1-6 when coming off consecutive games in which it allowed one goal or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here. They're also a miserable 41-70 when coming off 3+ consecutive victories in the long-term picture. The Rangers are an impressive 8-1 when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent in which they were shut out over the last two seasons. They've also 10-2 when coming off consecutive losses this season, which is also the situation here. Take New York (8*).
My selection is on Florida over Tampa Bay at 1:30 pm et on Sunday.
As I've mentioned on numerous occasions previously, long winning streaks just aren't commonplace in the NHL Playoffs. Here, the Lightning will be looking to deliver a fifth consecutive victory after improbably taking Games 1 and 2 in Sunrise. Note that the Bolts are 2-6 after winning 4+ games in a row this season. I look for the Panthers to answer back on Sunday afternoon. Florida has now dropped consecutive games, its longest losing streak since dropping three in a row from February 22nd to 26th. The Cats are 13-2 after being held to one goal or less in their previous game over the last two seasons and 30-15 when playing on the road off a loss over the last three seasons. Take Florida (9*).
Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play.
I love Murph’s free picks, and the fact that he always goes into great detail why he’s making the pick.