Mike Lundin Handicapper Reviews & Picks

Marlins vs Nationals MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Washington Nationals are 38–20–3 (65.5%) to the over this season, and that number balloons to 20–8–2 (71.4%) at home, highlighting how frequently games at Nationals Park have turned into higher-scoring affairs.

The matchup sets up for more of the same, with an inexperienced Lake Bachar (0–0, 3.77 ERA) expected to open what should effectively be a bullpen game for Miami, and Miles Mikolas (1–4, 5.72 ERA) carrying ugly season numbers and having been particularly hittable in his home outings. With those profiles on the mound and Washington’s strong over trend, this total looks a bit light.

The Bet: OVER (3%).

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4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The New York Yankees return home from a successful road trip filled with confidence, and Cleveland left-hander Joey Cantillo (4-2, 3.57 ERA) has been tagged with four runs in two of his last three starts. The Yankees are 12-6 against the runline as favorites against a left-hander starter.

The Bet: YANKEES -½ (4%)

LATE NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Angle(s): I expect both offenses to bounce back after a low-scoring 4–1 Dodgers win in the series opener. Dodgers left-hander Eric Lauer (2–5, 5.95 ERA) has, as his numbers suggest, had a rough season, and even if he survives early, his profile always seems to invite traffic and run-scoring chances. Arizona’s Michael Soroka (7–2, 3.25 ERA) brings more solid surface stats, his success has largely come against less potent lineups.

The Bet: OVER (3%)

MLB BOOKIE BREAKER

The Angle(s): The Kansas City Royals stopped a six-game slide with a 9–2 win in the opener of this series, and this looks like another good spot to back them. Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott (4–3, 3.88 ERA) has kept the ERA respectable of late, but lingering issues with command, the long ball, and a relatively modest strikeout rate leave him vulnerable against a Royals lineup that just broke out. Royals left-hander Noah Cameron (2–4, 4.61 ERA) brings more of the opposite profile, pairing a solid strikeout rate with fewer walks, and I think Cameron and the Royals are undervalued in this matchup.

The Bet: ROYALS (3%).