Matt Fargo Handicapper Reviews & Picks

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Evening Double Play. The Twins are close to being done as they have fallen 7.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League after losing the first two games of this series but we will back them tonight being a good number with a big pitching advantage. Joe Ryan had a surprisingly poor start against Washington three outings back but has gotten back to his strong form with a pair of solid starts against Cleveland and Kansas City. Overall he has a 2.79 ERA and 0.92 WHIP and his numbers are better on the road with a 2.55 ERA and 0.88 WHIP and has posted quality outings in eight of 11 road starts. The Yankees are tied with Boston for the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the American League which puts them 4.5 games behind Toronto in the East. Cam Schlittler has been decent in five starts as he has yet to allow more than three runs but he has to make it to six innings. He has a 4.91 ERA in three home starts covering just 14.2 innings. 10* (965) Minnesota Twins

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Evening Double Play. We fell short with Baltimore last night as it lost a 1-0 pitching duel and we come back with the Orioles tonight in another solid buy low spot. It has been a lost season for the Orioles which makes the season that Trev Rogers is having harder to take. He came over from Miami and finally got fully into the rotation in late June and through 10 starts, he has a 1.44 ERA and 0.83 WHIP and while his sample size at home is small, he has allowed only one run in three starts. Seattle has won eight straight games and has caught Houston in the American League West and we feel this is another sell high spot. Logan Gilbert continues to shine near the top of the rotation after coming in late and as per usual, he has dominated at home with a 2.27 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in 10 starts but he has struggled on the road with a 5.28 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in six road outings, allowing four runs in four of those. 10* (964) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. Cincinnati came through for us Tuesday and remains two games behind the Mets for the third Wild Card spot in the National League. The Reds get their ace back as Hunter Greene returns after missing two months with a groin injury. In four minor league rehab starts, he allowed 10 hits and nine runs while striking out 24 and walking five and he is in a true buy spot here as getting him at home at plus money is rare. He has a 2.12 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in five home starts. The Phillies remain in first place in the National League East, holding a five-game lead over the Mets. They are 16 games over .500 at home but the loss Tuesday dropped them to three games over .500 on the road and are favored again because of Cristopher Sanchez. He has been great with a 2.36 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and hits the road where his numbers are slightly worse than at home. Philadelphia is 9-1 in 10 home starts but just 8-5 in 13 road outings. 10* (958) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. The Giants have taken a big fall after a great start to the season but are in a buy low spot here. Kai-Wei Teng will return to the mound to make his second start of the season after working behind opener Matt Gage on Friday at home against Washington where he tossed five scoreless innings while striking out four. Over two outings, Teng has a 5.40 ERA and 1.32 WHIP after having a rough season debut against the Mets which was in New York. The Padres are now tied for first place with the Dodgers in the National League West. Nick Pivetta is having a career season with a 2.94 ERA and is overpriced on the road here. Despite getting dominated against Boston at home in his last start, he has been awesome there with a 2.41 ERA but his ERA jumps to 3.67 in 10 road starts and in two starts against the Giants this season, he has a 6.35 ERA. This is his first daytime start to his routine could be an issue. 10* (956) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Afternoon Triple Play. Milwaukee has won 11 straight games and the Brewers have won 26 of their last 30 games to build a 7.5-game lead in the National League Central over the Cubs after trailing by four games prior to this 30-game streak. No one wants to step in front of this but we will. Brandon Woodruff has been excellent since his return as he has a 2.29 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in six starts and while a small sample size, that ERA is 3.48 in three home starts. The Pirates have lost four straight games and will not be popular but they are catching a great number with a strong starting pitcher, not far behind Woodruff. Mitch Keller was expected to be traded at the deadline but was not and he then threw an FU game toward the Pirates by allowing five runs but bounced back with another great start against the Reds. He has a 3.81 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 10 road starts and dominated the Brewers in the lone start this season. 10* (951) Pittsburgh Pirates