Frank Sawyer Handicapper Reviews, Picks, Packages & Subscriptions

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 11/4:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Wednesday is with the San Antonio Spurs minus the points versus the Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio (5-2) has won five games in a row after their 119-97 win against Utah on Monday. The Spurs have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a win at home by 20 or more points. They have also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games at home with the total set in the 220s. Dallas (4-3) had won three games in a row before their 115-100 upset loss at home against Sacramento as a 7.5-point favorite on Monday. The Mavericks have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than 100 points in their last game. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 11 games on the road when playing for just the second time in five days. Take San Antonio minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 12 of 20 (60%) NBA run after CA$HING the Boston-Houston Under on Monday! Now after pushing his NHL play on the Winnipeg-Montreal Under last night, Frank furthers his 6 of 10 (60%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with tonight’s Dallas-San Antonio O/U winner on ESPN at 9:40 PM ET for his 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month! DO NOT MISS OUT!

At 9:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (523) and the San Antonio Spurs (524). THE SITUATION: Dallas (4-3) had won three games in a row before their 115-110 upset loss at home against Sacramento as a 7.5-point favorite on Monday. San Antonio (5-2) has won five games in a row after their 119-97 victory at home against Utah as a 16.5-point favorite on Monday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mavericks shot a season-low 41.0% from the field on Monday — and their 21.2% mark from behind the arc was also a season-low. Terrible shooting nights can be a canary in the coal mine regarding deeper problems with an offense. Dallas has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 100 points in their last game, including all 8 of those games Under the Total on the road. They have also played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total after a straight-up loss at home. The Mavericks allowed the Kings to make 52.4% of their shots and 44.2% of their looks from behind the arc which were both their worst defensive efforts in their last six contests. Dallas has played very good defense in their previous two games which were upset victories against Oklahoma City and Houston. They held the Thunder to 41.4% shooting which resulted in just 96 points before holding the Rockets to 41.7% shooting and only 111 points. The Mavericks have played 5 of their 7 games so far this season Under the Total — and they were an underdog in 4 of those contests. Now after playing their last three games at home, they go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing three or more games in a row at home. They have played 27 of their last 43 games on the road Under the Total. They have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total as a double-digit underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog getting +12.5 or more points. The Spurs are shooting 46.5% from the field this season — and Dallas has played 20 of their last 28 road games Under the Total against teams that are making 46% or more of their shots. San Antonio flexed their muscles on defense on Monday limiting the Jazz to just 35.4% shooting. They rank seventh in the NBA by holding their opponents to 107.7 points per 100 possessions. The Spurs have held four of their last five opponents to no more than 106 points in regulation time. San Antonio has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total after not allowing more than 100 points. They have also played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. The Spurs are scoring 117.6 Points-Per-Game — but their offense can get lulled into relying too much on isolation plays with their group not moving the ball as much as head coach Mitch Johnson would like (that happened to them in the NBA Finals last June as well). Their big acquisition in the offseason was Tobias Harris — but he has yet to take the court for them in the regular season due to a calf injury. San Antonio stays at home where they have played 31 of their last 51 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 5 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when laying 12.5 to 18 points. The Spurs have also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range.

FINAL TAKE: This is the second meeting between these teams this season after San Antonio beat the Mavericks in Dallas by a 122-106 score as a 14.5-point road favorite on October 24th. The Mavericks have played 14 of their last 22 games on the road Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* NBA Southwest Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Mavericks (523) and the San Antonio Spurs (524). Best of luck for us — Frank.