10* Over Senators/Blackhawks (8:35 ET): These two teams are tied for the most goals allowed per game in the league, which is quite the dubious distinction. Therefore, it's no shock to see a high total for this game. But it's still not high enough. Ottawa is really "generous" when they're the road team, giving up a whopping 4.25 goals per game. Chicago has seen its last eight games all go Over the total and this one should be no different. Take the Over.

So Ottawa is actually off a rare win here and a shocking one at that as they won in Winnipeg on Saturday, 4-3 (in OT). That was obviously an Over as the Senators were able to pepper the Jets w/ 41 shots on goal. Incredibly, they were still able to win despite giving up TWO short-handed goals in the first period. Like I said, the Sens are no stranger to giving up their fair share of goals as they've allowed a total of 10 in just the past three games. In addition to being tied w/ Chicago for the most goals per game allowed, Ottawa also allows the most shots per game (36.3).

The Blackhawks aren't too far behind in the shots allowed department, giving up 35.3 per game. That's the second highest number in the league. Lately, Chicago has been giving up a ton of shots on goal w/ the L5 opponents averaging nearly 40 per game. Columbus won here in the Windy City, 5-2, on Saturday night. That marked the 8th consecutive Blackhawks game w/ at least seven total goals scored. They had 41 shots on goal themselves vs. the Blue Jackets. This has all the makings of a real high-scoring affair. 10* Over Senators/Blackhawks

10* West Virginia (9:00 ET): Back on January 9th, a result took place that set both Kansas State and West Virginia on their respective paths in the Big 12. K-State rallied back from a 21-point deficit to defeat WVU, 71-69, as four-point favorites in Manhattan. The Wildcats, despite losing Saturday to Iowa State, still lead the conference w/ a 9-3 SU record. West Virginia, plagued by injuries all season, is having a down year and is just 2-10 SU in conference play. But the line for Monday's rematch looks like a classic "overlay" to me and I'm taking the points here. 

I mentioned that WVU has been hit hard by injuries this season. Well, Kansas State just had a brutal week in that department itself. Already w/o sixth man Cartier Diarra, the Wildcats lost preseason Big 12 Player of the Year Dean Wade to a foot injury in the loss Saturday to Iowa State. Wade's absence was immediately felt as the from the time he went out of the game, KSU was outscored 23-14. They lost the game by a final score of 78-64. This isn't the first time this year that Wade has been injured. He missed several weeks earlier in the year and that played a big role in the team starting slow. The Wildcats lost two of the six games Wade missed previously. Also, three of their four wins without him were by four points or less. One was the aforementioned West Virginia game.

I think it's interesting that the Mountaineers were only four-point underdogs in Manhattan, but now are catching an even bigger number in Morgantown. Yes, it's been a down year here and yes the team is short-handed. But now so too is Kansas State, who is w/o two of their top six rotation players. Given that, I wouldn't want any part of laying this many points on the road, especially since this is just the 2nd time K-State will be a road favorite in Big 12 play. The Wildcats are just 1-5 SU/ATS all-time in Morgantown w/ that one win coming back in 2013. WVU is going to be highly motivated here, not just because of revenge, but also after being embarrassed at Kansas over the weekend. They are 6-1 ATS the L3 seasons when off 3+ ATS losses, including 3-0 ATS this season. 10* West Virginia