Picks & Subscriptions
NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-26-18 | Magic v. Warriors -8 | Top | 110-116 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Orlando is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference road games when playing the second game of a back-to-back in which it won the first contest (upset the Lakers 108-104 yesterday), while Golden State is already 5-2 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: Golden State has struggled without Stephen Curry, but it’s slowly starting to figure things out. After a terrible stretch, there’s no way the home side will “look past” its opponent today. Conversely, we look for the WARRIORS to take full advantage of a tired/complacent Magic side; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-24-18 | Nuggets +5 v. Thunder | Top | 105-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Denver Nuggets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine as a road dog vs. a Western Conference opponent in the +3.5 to +7.5 points range, while OKC is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight in the second game of a back-to-back as a 3.5 points or more favorite. The bottom line: Denver’s depth helps it here in the second game of the back to back for each side and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we’ll recommend grabbing the points; play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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11-23-18 | Celtics v. Hawks +8.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Boston is already just 2-8 ATS on the road and only 1-3 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite, while Atlanta is 5-3 ATS after allowing 115 points or more and 23-15 ATS in its last 38 after three or more SU losses. The bottom line: The Celtics are struggling with consistency and we think the hungry HAWKS have a golden opportunity at the outright upset. That said, grab the points; play on the Atlanta. AAA Sports |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Portland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight when playing on the second game of a back-to-back on the road vs. a non-conference opponent, while Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS at home and 4-1 ATS in its last five trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The BUCKS play with revenge here after getting destroyed in Portland in early November. The Blazers enter off a much tougher than expected win in New York just last night and we expect them to “check out” of this one early. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-20-18 | Raptors -6 v. Magic | Top | 93-91 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors got back to their winning ways with a 122-83 destruction o fthe Bulls in their most recent action and they won’t be “looking past” division leader Orlando after it destroyed New York 131-117 over the weekend. The Raptors average 116.8 PPG and they allow 108.4. The Magic are averaging only 107.5 PPG and they’re allowing 109.5. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success. Note that the RAPTORS are already 5-3 ATS on the road this year and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 85 points or less. Note as well that Orlando is just 5-6 ATS at home this season and a dismal 0-4 ATS in its last four after a three games or more SU unbeaten streak. Lay the points, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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11-19-18 | Cavs +10 v. Pistons | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Cleveland is 6-5 ATS as an underdog this year, 5-2 ATS on the road and 4-2 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Detroit is just 1-5 ATS at home and only 4-5 ATS following three or more days of rest. Look for the CAVALIERS to come in under the radar and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AAA Sports |
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11-18-18 | Warriors v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the San Antonio Spurs (7:05 EST). We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Golden State is just 2-6 ATS on the road this year, while San Antonio is already 4-2 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and 6-3 ATS in its last nine after three or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: The Spurs have lost three straight and five of their last six. The goods news is, is that they’ve had two nights off to prepare for this one. The Warriors on the other hand come in off a loss in Dallas just last night and they’re down a few key pieces, including Curry and Green. Look for SAN ANTONIO to dominate on both ends tonight; lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-16-18 | Kings +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE YEAR on the Sacramento Kings. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when playing with three or more days rest, while Memphis is already 1-2 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. After their epic win in Milwaukee, we’re expecting a letdown from the home side tonight. Grab the points, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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11-15-18 | Hawks v. Nuggets -12 | Top | 93-138 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Denver Nuggets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Atlanta is still just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as an underdog and only 38-40 in its last 78 against good teams which average 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses and 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. The bottom line: Denver comes in desperate for a win and it catches the Hawks tired. Lay the points; play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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11-14-18 | Grizzlies +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Memphis is already 3-1 ATS in non-conference game sand 3-1 ATS against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is 0-2 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and in 13 of its last 27 when playing with two days rest. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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11-11-18 | Pacers v. Rockets -2 | Top | 103-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Houston Rockets. Houston is in San Antonio on Saturday night and while we’d rarely play on a team in the second game of a back to back, we don’t believe that fatigue will be a factor this close to the start of the season. These are World Class athletes. And with a game at Denver up next on Tuesday, followed by a game at home against Golden State, clearly the Rockets need to take advantage of “familiar” surroundings. Indiana on the other hand gets caught “looking ahead” to five whole nights off after this, before a home game against the Heat, the team they just beat on the road Friday. We’re banking on home floor being the difference. Lay the points, play on the ROCKETS. AAA Sports |
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11-10-18 | Bucks v. Clippers +3 | Top | 126-128 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the LA Clippers. The Bucks enter off a big 134-111 road victory at Golden State and with a tough game tomorrow night in Denver, we not only believe that Milwaukee has a “letdown” here, but that it also gets caught “looking ahead.” LA will look to take advantage and to bounce back after a 116-105 setback at Portland. And with Golden State coming to town on Monday, the home side won’t want to leave anything to chance here. Note as well that Milwaukee is just 2-6 ATS In its last eight after scoring 132 or more points in a road victory in its previous outing. Grab the points, play on the CLIPPERS. AAA Sports |
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11-09-18 | Celtics v. Jazz -3 | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Utah Jazz. This is a great situational play and it’s what we’re primarily basing this pick on. The Celtics are in Phoenix on Thursday night and with a tough game at Portland to finish their Western swing on Sunday, there’s no question in our minds that this sets up as a prime letdown spot for the C’s. The Jazz though will look to take advantage, they won’t be taking anything for granted after finally breaking a four-game slide with a convincing 117-102 victory over Dallas. And with a tough road trip starting on Monday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance. Additionally note that the JAZZ are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after scoring 115 points or more. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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11-08-18 | Celtics v. Suns +9.5 | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Boston is already just 1-2 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 14-15 ATS in its last 29 after allowing 115 points or more, while Phoenix is 40-33 ATS in its last 77 following a loss by ten points or more. The Celtics achilles heel remains their play on the road. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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11-07-18 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +3.5 | Top | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF GAME OF THE YEAR on the Memphis Grizzlies. We think the Grizzlies will defend their home court and take down the red hot Denver Nuggets. Memphis may only be 5-4 this year and Denver 9-1, but note that the Grizz have been at their best at home by going 3-0 SU/ATS. After losing back-to-back road games, expect the home side to come in ultra-focused here. Difficult to say anything negative about Denver, but with two nights off before a game at home against the lowly Nets, all signs point to a letdown here in our opinion. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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11-06-18 | Wizards v. Mavs +1 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Dallas Mavericks (8:35 EST). We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Washington is just 48-61 ATS the last two years as a favorite, including 1-4 ATS this year, while also jet 1-5 ATS in non-conference games this season. The Wizards are also an inconsistent 21-22 ATS in their last 43 following a win by ten points or more. The Mavericks on the other hand are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 after a loss by ten points or more and already 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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11-05-18 | Rockets v. Pacers +1 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. Houston is 3-5 overall, but it’s 3-1 on the road. Indiana is 7-3 overall and it’s 3-1 at home. But with a game at Western Conference foe OKC up next on Wednesday, we expect the visitors get caught “looking ahead.” Indiana on the other hand comes in on top form off three straight wins. No reason not to think that momentum doesn’t get carried over here. Note that the Rockets are a poor 5-7 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 90 points or less, while Indiana is already 4-2 ATS as a favorite this season. Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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11-04-18 | Knicks v. Wizards -6.5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Washington Wizards. Two bad teams go head to head in this one. New York was expected to do poorly, especially with star offensive player Kristaps Porzingis sidelined with injury still. But the Knicks 3-6 record, including going 1-3 on the road sure looks a lot better than the Wizards 1-7 record, including going 0-3 at home. Clearly Washington is reeling right now, but with a tough three game trip starting on Tuesday, we’re expecting the home side to risk life and limb here to get off the schneid with a big victory. Note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last three after four or more straight SU losses. Lay the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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11-03-18 | Cavs +9.5 v. Hornets | Top | 94-126 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs are 1-7 and the Hornets are 4-5. Cleveland finally fired coach Tyronn Lue after an 0-6 start and the team is now 1-1 under interim Larry Drew. Charlotte on the other hand has alternated good starts with bad of late. After beating a tired Miami team 125-113, Charlotte fell 111-107 at home to the Thunder in their latest outing. Cleveland’s a horrible team and it’s without its best player in Kevin Love, but it still has plenty of veteran leadership and I think the team will respond on the road. Charlotte on the other hand will enjoy two nights off before a home game against the lowly Hawks, so we think it’s going to be caught complacent and looking ahead. It’s interesting to note as well that Charlotte is just 9-21 ATS in its last 30 Saturday games. Grab the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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11-02-18 | Clippers v. Magic +1.5 | Top | 120-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Orlando Magic. No need to overthink this one. The Clippers are in action in Philadelphia on Thursday and we think they’ll come in “flat footed” here. Orlando though will be laying everything on the line tonight as it tries to break a three-game slide, before a tough game in San Antonio on Sunday night. Note that the Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games as well in which they come in having lost three or more straight contests. Play on the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Kings v. Hawks +2 | 146-115 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong relevant ATS stats and common sense: The Kings are playing “over their heads” to open the season, but after five straight victories, we’re expecting Sacramento to come up short here against a desperate Hawks team eager to get off the schneid after a three-game slide. The bottom line: Note as well that the Kings are just 4-7 ATS in their last 11 after a four games or more unbeaten streak. Play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Thunder +1.5 v. Hornets | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the OKC Thunder. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong relevant ATS stats and common sense: After starting the year 0-5, the Thunder have won two in a row and we expect it to carry that momentum over here (especially with a game at Washington tomorrow night.) The Hornets are 6-2 to open the year and 3-0 at home, but with Cleveland coming to town next, the Hornets could easily be caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent, and that’s exactly what we expect. The bottom line: Note as well that the Hornets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after scoring 125 points or more in their previous outing. Grab the points, play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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11-01-18 | Clippers v. 76ers -4.5 | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong relevant ATS stats and common sense: Philadelphia’s two game win streak came to an end in a loss in Toronto last time out, but we expect the 76ers to bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup. The Clippers fell at the Thunder last time out and with a game tomorrow in Orlando, we expect LA to get caught looking ahead. Bottom line: Note as well that Philadelphia is a super 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games in which it it gave up 128 points or more and lost in its previous outing. Lay the points, play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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10-31-18 | Pistons v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-120 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* SITUATIONAL REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Brooklyn Nets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense and strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Detroit is just 11-19 ATS in its last 30 when playing on back-to-back days, while Brooklyn is already 4-2 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Nets have lost three straight and their desperate for a victory. They come in off a humbling loss against the Knicks and they play with revenge here after falling 103-100 in Detroit on Opening Night. The Pistons come in tired here on the second game of the back to back after falling in Boston last night. Play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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10-30-18 | Kings v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Orlando Magic. No need to overthink this one. The King clearly look a lot better this season than they did last and they come in off an epic win over the Heat in Miami just last night. This sets up as a natural letdown spot for the young visiting side and we expect it to predictably stumble. The Magic come in focused after having time off to absorb their 113-91 road loss in Milwaukee on Saturday. Note as well that this is a “triple revenge” spot for the Magic, as the Kings have dominated this series of late. The “situational” factors working in favor of the home side here are enormous and they make the difference in the final outcome. Lay the points, play on the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Mavs +6 v. Spurs | 108-113 | Win | 100 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks. San Antonio survived a scare at home against the Lakers over the weekend and while the Mavs played just last night, we think the home side will get caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Note as well that Dallas is 19-13 ATS in its last 32 against the division, while San Antonio is a poor 6-8 ATS in its last 14 off an upset win as an underdog. Grab the points, play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Warriors v. Bulls +13 | 149-124 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Warriors end an extended East Coast trip tonight and while they’ve been winning, they’ve been “hit or miss” as far as being able to cover the spread. We think the defending champs, who will be resting a few starters, leave the back door open wide enough for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the down the stretch. Mostly though note that Chicago has in fact performed very well in this spot for bettors by going 15-9 ATS in its last 24 following a win by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the BULLS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Kings +10 v. Heat | 123-113 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. After their big win over the Blazers on Saturday, we think the Heat get caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Kings are vastly improved from last season and we think they match up well against the veteran home side. Additionally note that Sacramento is already 4-2 ATS as an underdog. Grab the points and the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Hawks +12.5 v. 76ers | 92-113 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. We think the 76ers get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent today. The Hawks are 15-8 ATS in their last 23 off an upset loss as a favorite, while Philadelphia is just 1-3 ATS as a fav this season. The 76ers slow start continues to go unrecognized by the bookmakers. Let’s take advantage. Play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -3.5 | 103-93 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. Portland’s hot start to the year came to a crashing halt in Miami last time out and we expect the Pacers to continue that trend. Indiana is off a win on Saturday and it’ll be out to avenge the two losses to Portland last season. Additionally note that Portland is just 19-23 ATS in its last 42 after allowing 115 points or more, while Indiana is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 after playing three consecutive road games. Lay the points, play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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10-27-18 | Lakers v. Spurs -1.5 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the San Antonio Spurs. After going 0-3 to start the year the Lakers have won two in a row and we think they’re suddenly getting far too much respect here. San Antonio already be LA in OT earlier in the week and it’ll be out to duplicate that feat and to atone for a lacklustre home loss to the Pacers on Wednesday. LeBron has plenty of talent around him, but for the most part its quite young and still unproven. Not so for San Antonio, which is loaded with veterans and who will be out to prove a point tonight. Note that the Lakers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after two or more consecutive SU victories. Lay the points, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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10-26-18 | Bucks v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 125-95 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Bucks have looked strong early, especially at home. Milwaukee’s achilles heel though has been its play on the road and we think it’ll predictably stumble here to open its Western swing. The Wolves are just 2-3 overall, but they’re 2-0 SU up at home. After a tough setback in Toronto and with the Lakers coming to town on Sunday, we think the home side rallies and takes advantage of this favorable matchup. Note that Milwaukee is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is already 2-0 ATS this year against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. Play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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10-22-18 | Grizzlies +10.5 v. Jazz | Top | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Memphis Grizzlies. After an embarrassing 111-83 Opening Night loss in Indiana, the Grizzlies bounced back with a convincing 131-117 destruction of the Hawks at home two nights later. The Grizzlies will look to keep the momentum rolling against a Jazz team which is 1-1 as well, earning a come from behind 123-117 win in Sacramento on Opening night, before then giving up a massive lead late in a crushing 124-123 setback at home to the Warriors two nights later. With a big Western road trip starting on Wednesday at Houston followed by New Orleans, Dallas and Minnesota, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking past its lowly opponent today as well. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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10-19-18 | Kings v. Pelicans -11 | 129-149 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense: New Orleans steam-rolled the Rockets in Houston on Opening night and it right away hits a very “vanilla” part of its schedule, with the game against the Kings tonight, followed by two nights off before games at home against the Clippers and Brooklyn. With a big chance to jump out to an early lead in the season, we look for New Orleans to make the most of this opportunity. The Kings on the other would come up short in a heart-breaking 123-117 setback to Utah on Opening night and with a tough game at OKC on Sunday, we think the visitors also get caught “looking ahead.” Play on the PELICANS. AAA Sports |
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10-19-18 | Celtics +3 v. Raptors | 101-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats: As note that Boston is 63-42 the L2 years against clubs with winning records, while Toronto is just 41-43 ATS in the same position. The bottom line: In what could very easily be an Eastern Conference Finals preview, we’re expecting a battle down to the final second. Grab the points, play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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10-18-18 | Bulls +11.5 v. 76ers | Top | 108-127 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Chicago Bulls. We like the Bulls to keep this one close. This is Chicago’s first game of the year, so the team comes in focused on the task at hand, also avoiding the spot light of having to play at home right away. Philadelphia fought hard on opening night, but it was all for not in its 105-87 loss to the Celtics. Note though that the 76ers are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games as a favorite in the 11 to 13 points range. Look for the BULLS to hang around late and grab all those points. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Rockets | 131-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. Last year Pelicans big man Anthony Davis posted his best season ever and he’d open the campaign with a monster first month of production. We expect a similar type thing to happen this season as well and we think he alone is a big difference maker in this contest as well. The Rockets are healthy and ready for another run at the Warriors, but we think they come out flat on Opening night. Grab the points, play on the PELICANS. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Hawks +3.5 v. Knicks | 107-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. New York is still without forward Kristaps Porzingis, while Tim Hardaway Jr. is a question mark heading in. Atlanta was terrible last year, but it made some significant off-season moves. Clearly the outright win isn’t out of the question, but we’re going to grab the points. Note that the HAWKS are 55-45 ATS the last two years as an underdog. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Cavs +12 v. Raptors | 104-116 | Push | 0 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland clearly won’t be the cream of the crop anymore in the Eastern Conference, but it still has talent in Kevin Love. The Cavs will be a different team moving forward, but they’re still loaded with talent and experience. They won’t go down without a fight most nights and certainly not on Opening night. The addition of Kawhi Leonard to the Raptors is likely going to improve the team, but then again, who knows? Chemistry could be an issue. No outright, but grab the points and expect a competitive affair. Play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Pacers | 83-111 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense: We think the Pacers will be a popular pick, as they were one of the most improved teams last year. Memphis on the other hand declined perhaps more than any other team from last year to the season previous. The Grizzlies come in with a HUGE chip on their shoulder this year and they also come in healthy. On opening night, we’re expecting a battle. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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10-17-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +2 | 113-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets. Milwaukee features one of the best young talents in the NBA, but we think a healthy Charlotte with Kemba Walker will defend home court. The Bucks achilles heel the last few seasons has been their play on the road (just 41-46 ATS last two seasons away from friendly confines and only 39-51 ATS as a favorite in the same span.) Grab the points, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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10-16-18 | Thunder +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 54 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC was 48-34 last year and fourth in the Western Conference, while Golden State was 58-24, eventually going on to win its second straight championship. These teams split four games last year, which includes a 111-107 road win for the Warriors back on April 3rd. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting a similarly hard fought and competitive battle here as well. OKC averaged 107.9 PPG and it allowed 104.4. Golden State averaged 113.5 PPG and it allowed 107.5. The cast of characters is well known on both sides, but we think there are many external distracting factors working against the Warriors. We like the hungry THUNDER to take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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05-25-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -7 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 38 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense. Clearly the Cavs will be risking life and limb to push for a Game 7. Home court has meant everything in this series and there’s no reason not to think that that strong trend won’t carry over here. Note as well that Boston is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 85 points or less in its previous contest, while Cleveland is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 when trailing in a playoff series. Lay the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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05-19-18 | Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -105 | 92 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Boston Celtics. We had a play on the OVER in Game 1 and then we came back with a play on the Celtics in Game 2. We’re predicting another “nail biter” in Game 3 and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect this one to come down to the wire. Boston is doing its best to slow down LeBron James, effectively doing that in Game 1, before allowing The King to do his thing in Game 2. The key of course is that the Celtics have been able to shut down LBJ’s role players. And we don’t think anything will change here. Cleveland on the other hand is unable to make any big stops whatsoever and we have a hard time seeing it simply “flipping a switch” in a matter of a couple of days and suddenly reversing that trend of futility. Boston is the deeper and more talented team despite not having a player of James’ caliber and it’s also receiving much better coaching. When you add it all up, another upset seems imminent, but as mentioned off the top, we’re grabbing the points. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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05-16-18 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 105-127 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors. We had a play on the Warriors in Game 1 and we think they’ll find a way to get the job done in Game 2 as well. If you didn’t get a chance to read our analysis on that one, we think it’s worth a second look here, because for the most part it also directly pertains to our selection this evening: To be the champ, you have to beat the champ. The Rockets may have taken two of three in the regular season series, but now that the playoffs are here, we expect the fully healthy Warriors to up the ante and find a way to steal the momentum of this series right out of the gate. The difference will come from each team’s bench. As good as the Rockets looked in the regular season, they simply lack experience at this level. Not so for the Warriors, who come in seasoned and prepared. We’re expecting the outright victory, but in the end we’re going to grab as many points as we can. Play on GOLDEN STATE. All signs point to another blowout, but grab as many points as you can. Play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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05-14-18 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 119 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Warriors. To be the champ, you have to beat the champ. The Rockets may have taken two of three in the regular season series, but now that the playoffs are here, we expect the fully healthy Warriors to up the ante and find a way to steal the momentum of this series right out of the gate. The difference will come from each team’s bench. As good as the Rockets looked in the regular season, they simply lack experience at this level. Not so for the Warriors, who come in seasoned and prepared. We’re expecting the outright victory, but in the end we’re going to grab as many points as we can. Play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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05-08-18 | Jazz +12 v. Rockets | Top | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Utah Jazz. Would this series have been different if Ricky Rubio was playing? It did in the first round, but probably not in this one. Will the Rockets close out this series in front of the home town crowd as they gear up for their inevitable matchup with the Warriors? Almost assuredly. But all of that said, we expect Donovan Mitchell and company to go down fighting. The Jazz responded with a win in Game 2 after getting blown out in Game 1 and with their backs against the wall, we’re expecting a similar performance here as well. Note as well that Houston is still just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 after allowing 90 points or less. While we’re stopping short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to the JAZZ making the Rockets earn this one. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia 76ers. Do we really need to overanalyze this one? We’ll be the first to admit that we’re shocked at how well the Celtics are playing. Coach Brad Stevens will surely win the Coach Of The Year Award. Fantastic guard play and big man Al Horford have been the difference makers so far in this series. Despite all of that though, and with the knowledge of being able to wrap this one up at home in Game 5, we are now finally predicting a mental/physical letdown from the over-achieving Celtics. Note that despite the Game 3 loss, Philly is still 10-7 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The 76ers are talented, deep, hungry and desperate. No sweep in this series. Lay the points, play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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05-03-18 | 76ers -3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 103-108 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Philadelphia 76ers. We had a play on Philadelphia in Game 1 and obviously that didn’t turn out too well. We like the visiting side to make the necessary adjustments to score the road win in Game 2 though. Boston seemed to have plenty left in the tank after it’s seven game opening round series win over the Bucks. We believe that fatigue does finally become a factor tonight though. Conversely, the deep and talented 76ers should have no problem erasing Game 1 from their memories and getting back on track here. Note as well that Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Boston is just 21-30 ATS in its last 51 after scoring 115 points or more. This series gets tied up as it heads back to the City of Brotherly Love. Play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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05-02-18 | Jazz +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 37 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz lost terribly to the Thunder in Game 1 of their opening round matchup, but then bounced back in fine fashion to win Game 2 and then the series in six. Of course that was with Ricky Rubio, but regardless of that, we like the Jazz to find a way to get the job done here. Utah was quick to make adjustments last time out and we expect the same thing here as well. Note as well that Utah is 10-6 ATS this year when playing on two days rest, while Houston is just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Play on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 116-121 | Win | 100 | 60 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the New Orleans Pelicans. We had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, but we think that the hungry Pelicans will do enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the points they’ve been afforded. Stephen Curry is coming back to the line-up for Golden State, but we still think New Orleans will play much better this time around. The Pelicans were flat footed after sweeping the Blazers, but with that rust shaken off, we’re expecting a much better effort on both ends of the court. Note as well that the Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 120 points or more, while Golden State is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous outing. Play on NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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04-30-18 | 76ers -2 v. Celtics | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Philadelphia 76ers. Philadelphia steamrolled the Heat in five games and it would have been in four if it weren’t for some improbable heroics from Dwayne Wade in Game 2. When Joel Embiid returned to the line-up though in Game 3 then it was all over for the Heat. Boston advanced by beating the Bucks in a tough seven game series and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here from this over-achieving Celtics side. Philadelphia is rested and healthy and it should have no problem stretching the Celtics, working the inside and the outside, something that Milwaukee wasn’t able to do at all. Both teams have been great against the spread, but we believe that Boston comes in flat and tired, while Philadelphia will be looking to run from start to finish. Lay the points, play on the 76ERS. AAA Sports |
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04-29-18 | Pacers +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* TV GAME OF THE YEAR on the Indiana Pacers. We played the Cavaliers on the money line in Game 7 of the NBA Finals when LeBron and Kyrie and Love and company went on to win the Championship. We think that the Pacers have much more than just a “punchers” chance in this one as well. To win this game the home side will once again need an epic outing from LeBron James. That’s expected though. Cleveland’s bench players and backups, especially Love, have been very inconsistent in this series. James needed a last second buzzer beater in Game 5, or this series could have already been over for the Cavs. We think Indiana is the better overall team, with better defense and a deeper offensive core. Also note that the Pacers are 27-13 ATS against poor defensive teams this year, while Cleveland is just 5-16 ATS after a loss by ten points or more. Upset shocker alert. Play on the PACERS on the MONEY LINE. AAA Sports |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors -7.5 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Golden State Warriors. Sweeping the Blazers is one thing, but beating the defending champs at home (with or without Stephen Curry), is quite another. New Orleans big man Anthony Davis presents a major problem, but Golden State has experienced big men that’ll be much more effective than what Portland presented. The Warriors are going to be able to stretch the Pelicans as well defensively, something that the Blazers weren’t able to do at all. We think New Orleans finally has a letdown here after its romp over Portland. Lay the points, play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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04-27-18 | Thunder v. Jazz -5.5 | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz had a prime opportunity to wrap this series up in Game 5, but let’s face it, they had a complete letdown in the second half and allowed the Thunder to get back into this series. We’re not going to read too much into that one shoddy half of play though and we fully expect this deep, talented and confident Jazz team to take care of business and bounce back on its home floor. The Thunder have been consistently inconsistent all year and note that they’ve been particularly feeble in this spot for bettors all season by going 18-24 ATS on the road, while Utah is a money-building 24-19 ATS at home. Lay the points, play on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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04-27-18 | Cavs +1.5 v. Pacers | 87-121 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The difference in this series so far hasn’t been the play of LeBron James (which has been spectacular of course. But we pretty much expected that James would dominate in this series before it started, so that’s no big surprise), but the way the Cavs adjusted their defense to handle Pacers’ star Victor Oladipo, who has been completely shut down after a decent Game 1 showing. We don’t see anything changing here and we expect the rest of the Cavs stars to show up tonight as well. Indiana is gassed and dejected and we think it’s ripe for the picking. In a contest which we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we’re going to grab the points. Play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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04-27-18 | Raptors +2.5 v. Wizards | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. You could argue that this is one of the Raptors biggest games in franchise history. Toronto has put together some awesome teams over the years, but it’s failed to do anything in the playoffs. Over the last five years Toronto has been extremely competitive, but it’s fizzled out each time in the second round, due almost entirely because of its poor play on the road. Tonight is an opportunity to once and for all exorcise those demons though. Toronto is the better and deeper team here. It’s struggles on the road at this point are completely mental. Washington has put up a hell of a fight, but we think that Wall and Beal come up short here. Note that Toronto is 9-6 ATS as an underdog this year, while Washington is just 19-33 ATS as the favorite. Grab the points, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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04-25-18 | Wizards v. Raptors -7 | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 54 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors. Home floor advantage. Sometimes it can be over-rated and other times its a huge tangible factor. And that can be especially true in a playoff series. So far that’s been the case in this one and we’re expecting Game 5 to follow suit. Toronto already owns a big home court advantage, but doubly so in the Playoffs. Washington’s weakness has been its play on the road all year and note that it’s just 7-10 ATS already this season when playing on two days rest. The Raptors on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing on two days rest. Look for TORONTO to bounce back after back-to-back duds. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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04-25-18 | Pacers +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 54 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. This series has been anything but predictable. Note though that Indiana has responded well in this spot all year by going 20-13 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 25-18 ATS on the road. Conversely this is a position in which the Cavs have struggled mightily in of late by going just 13-29 ATS at home, only 20-45 ATS as the favorite and just 6-13 ATS when playing with two days rest. With their backs against the wall, we look for the PACERS to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points, play on INDIANA. AAA Sports |
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04-24-18 | Spurs v. Warriors -11 | 91-99 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors put up a hell of a fight in Game 4 to stave of elimination. But with that heroic effort out of the way for grieving head coach Gregg Popovich, we believe that everything points to a predictable letdown here for the aging Spurs. San Antonio big man LaMarcus Aldridge has been a disappointment so far and we think he’ll struggle again on the road against the more athletic bigs of Golden State. Note as well that the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS already this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Golden State is 8-5 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more. All signs point to a blowout, play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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04-24-18 | Heat +10 v. 76ers | 91-104 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. Other than Game 2, Miami has been unable to hang in the second half of their games with Philadelphia. The 76ers have a strangle-hold on this series now, but we think Miami won’t be going down without a fight tonight. The 76ers are a dangerous team, but Miami has a lot of veteran experience and heart and while we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, the stage is definitely set for another epic battle. Note as well that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five when trailing in a playoff series. No outright upset, but closer than expected war. Grab the points, play on MIAMI. AAA Sports |
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04-22-18 | Raptors -1 v. Wizards | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors took Game’s 1 and 2 at home and then suffered a predictable letdown in Game 3. Toronto is a seasoned road tested team though and we’re fully expecting the Raptors to get back on track and take command of this series with a big winning effort. A 4-0 sweep was never in the cards, but a 4-1 or 4-2 outcome is what we predicted. Note that Washington is a terrible 16-24 ATS at home this season still and a brutal 9-13 ATS after a win by ten points or more. The Raptors on the other hand have excelled in this spot for bettors by going 5-2 ATS in their last seven after allowing 115 points or more. We look for TORONTO’S depth to prove to be the difference tonight. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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04-22-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -5 | 102-104 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. We were surprised by Boston’s performance in Game’s 1 and 2. We think the Bucks will build off their Game 3 victory though and once again take care of business on their home floor. The Celtics shut down the Bucks’ at home, but they were unable to contain Milwaukee’s depth on the road. Suffice it to say, we have a hard time seeing the undermanned and exhausted C’s keeping pace in Game 4 either. The Bucks are ready to take advantage. And note, Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after allowing 92 points or less in its previous outing, while Boston is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing. Lay the points, play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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04-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1.5 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards. Toronto was the cream of the crop in the East over the regular season. The Raptors also looked pretty good in taking the first two games of this series. That said, we fully expect the desperate Wizards to bounce back in Game 3. Toronto’s achilles heel, especially in the playoffs, has been its play on the road. We think that the shift in venue is going to have a big effect (in Game 3 at least). Additionally note that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS in its last six when leading in a playoff series, while Washington is 8-4 ATS following a loss by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after allowing 130 points or more. Lay the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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04-19-18 | Blazers +3.5 v. Pelicans | 102-119 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ART OF THE GAME on the Portland Trailblazers. It’s now or never for the 0-2 Blazers. We’ve been on Portland over the first two games and so far the difference has been the Pelicans’ tough defensive play on Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Portland has a big body to throw at Anthony Davis (Nurcic), but the key will be to slow down Rondo. We have a hard time though seeing Lillard being held down for a third straight game. Portland has the talent to get right back in this series and that’s exactly what we’re expecting to witness tonight. Note that Portland is 22-16 ATS on the road, 16-11 ATS as an underdog and 7-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while New Orleans is just 19-21 ATS at home. Clearly the outright, straight-up isn’t out of the question, but in the end we’ll recommend grabbing the points. Play on PORTLAND. AAA Sports |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -8 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Cleveland Cavaliers. NBA fans have a way of overreacting to one game in the Playoffs. We won’t be making that mistake here. Indiana has already won four of five against the Cavs, including the outright victory in Game 1, but with their backs against the wall, we think that LeBron James and company come to play tonight. The main goal of any visiting team in the Opening Round of the playoffs is to earn a “split” over the first two games on the road, so as to steal the “home court advantage” moving forward. With that mission accomplished for Indiana, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. James’ leadership has once again been called into question after the Game 1 loss and both he and the rest of the team will be using that as fuel to motivate them in Game 2. We think the situational factors working in favor of the Cavs tonight absolutely warrant a spread of this size. Also note though that the Pacers are just 6-14 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more. Play on CLEVELAND in a big time blowout. AAA Sports |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -102 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Portland Trailblazers. The Blazers flopped in Game 1, as both CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard struggled for the most part. Still, Portland closed strong and even had an opportunity to win the game late. We don’t foresee Lillard and McCollum struggling so much in back-to-back games and we expect the Pelicans to come in a bit complacent here, satisfied with earning the opening split before heading home. Note that New Orleans is still just 20-27 ATS in its last 47 off an upset win as an underdog, while Portland is 7-4 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. All signs point to a comfortable bounce back cover for the home side. Lay the points, play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | 119-130 | Loss | -101 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 9* BIG TIGER on the Washington Wizards. Toronto pulled away for the win/cover in Game 1, but it was anything but easy. It was a back and forth war until the end and the home side only managed the cover late on free-throws. With their backs against the wall though, we’re expecting Bradley Beal and John Wall to at the very least, take Game 2 down to the wire. The Wizards had their shot, at times dominating defensively. Both Beal and Wall had poor shooting nights and the visitors were still competitive. Note that Washington is 18-12 ATS as an underdog this year, while Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five when leading in a playoff series. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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04-16-18 | Heat v. 76ers -6.5 | 113-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER is on the Philadelphia 76ers. Miami looked like it would be able to compete in this series after the first half of Game 1, but then the second half started and the Heat were simply unable to keep up with the much deeper and more talented 76ers. And that of course was without main offensive weapon Joel Embiid. Note that Miami is just 2-4 ATS in its last six and only 9-10 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while Philadelphia is 28-13 ATS at home and 21-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more. We look for Ben Simmons and company to once again pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points, play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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04-15-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 34 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Oklahoma City spilt its final ten games of the year, while the Jazz enter the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league. The postseason is finally here though and we can’t see Utah slowing down Russell Westbrook tonight. Utah predicates itself on its tough defensive play, among the league leaders in almost every defensive statistical category there is. The Thunder though are also one of the better defensive clubs and with Westbrook and they equally as dynamic Paul George on the offensive attack, we simply can’t see Utah keeping pace down the stretch. For all the reasons listed above, play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -5.5 | 97-95 | Loss | -102 | 37 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Portland Trailblazers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that New Orleans is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog, while Portland is 29-19 ATS this season as the favorite. The bottom line: Portland has the a big body (Nurcic) to throw at Davis and we think the home side will ride the wave of emotion to a solid victory behind a big game from Damian Lillard. Lay the points with confidence, play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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04-09-18 | Thunder -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 115-93 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Miami is currently tied with Milwaukee, 14.5 games behind Toronto for the Eastern Conference lead and in the sixth spot, with the Bucks in seventh. If the playoffs started today, the Heat would play the 76ers and the Bucks would play the Celtics. Which of those two teams would you rather play in the first round? It’s a delicate balance, as Washington sits 15.5 games back itself. However, a loss wouldn’t be the absolute worst thing in the World for Miami today. No such luck for OKC though, which sits in eighth spot in the West, but tied with three other teams sitting 18 games back of Houston. The Wolves sit 19 games back. It’s a log-jam and the Thunder can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point of the season. We think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the points, play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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04-08-18 | Mavs +13 v. 76ers | Top | 97-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Dallas is 30-17 ATS against clubs with winning records this year and 36-28 ATS the last two seasons revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Philadelphia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 130 points or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: Philadelphia has won 13 straight and it just beat the Cavs 132-130. Can anyone say “letdown spot?!” The 76ers have a night off after facing their lowly non-conference opponent tonight, before finishing up with games at Atlanta and at home against the Bucks. Clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the red hot home side getting caught looking ahead here (note as well that several starters will be given the night off here.) Dallas isn’t in the playoffs and it has nothing to play for, but it remains competitive after falling 113-106 in OT at Detroit in its latest matchup. We’re not calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much closer than expected battle. Play on the MAVERICKS. AAA Sports |
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04-05-18 | Warriors -1.5 v. Pacers | 106-126 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Golden State Warriors. Stephen Curry is out for the Warriors, but Golden State hasn’t really missed a beat to this point as it enters off three straight victories, including a 111-107 road victory at Oklahoma City in its latest. The Warriors are looking up at the Rockets in the Western Conference and can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point of the season. They’re also out to avenge a 92-81 loss to the Pacers on March 27th. Indiana’s five game win streak was just snapped in a 107-104 loss at Denver, the finale of a four-game trip, setting this one up as a classic “letdown” spot for the home side. Also note that Indiana won’t be able to help itself “looking ahead” to its game at East leading Toronto tomorrow night. Additionally note that the Warriors are 10-7 ATS in their last 17 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Indiana is just 14-15 ATS this year in non-conference games. We’re expecting a blowout from start to finish, play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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04-04-18 | 76ers v. Pistons -1 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF MONTH on the Detroit Pistons. Both teams “stars” are sitting this one out, as Joel Embiid will be given the night off after the 76ers hammered the Nets 121-95 last night. Philadelphia has now won ten straight, but we think it’ll finally have a letdown here. Detroit’s chances for a playoff spot are slim, but the team won’t be going down without a fight here, despite Blake Griffin not being in the lineup tonight. Note that the Pistons play with revenge here after a humbling 114-78 defeat to Philadelphia in early January. Also note that this sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for the 76ers, with a home game against the suddenly red hot Cavaliers on Friday night. Detroit though comes in on top form as well as it’s won seven of its last ten, including five straight. Note that Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after scoring 120 points or more in its previous contest, while Detroit is 19-13 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. For all the reasons listed above, play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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04-03-18 | Hawks +10.5 v. Heat | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS UPSET BLOWOUT SPECIAL on the Atlanta Hawks. This is the opener of a home and home set. Atlanta comes in off a 94-88 win at Orlando and it would love to throw a monkey wrench into the postseason plans for the Heat, who are currently locked in a tight battle with Milwaukee for the seventh and eighth seed, one game back of Washington for sixth spot and four games up on Detroit. Note that ATL is 18-11 ATS in its last 29 after allowing 90 points or less, while Miami is just 16-20 ATS at home this season and only 4-7 ATS when playing on two days rest. Expect ATLANTA to keep this one competitive. AAA Sports |
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04-03-18 | Raptors +2 v. Cavs | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors. Toronto lost to Cleveland 132-129 on March 21st and it comes in having trades wins/losses over its last eight games, most recently falling 110-99 at Boston as a 4.5 point favorite. Fatigue is a very real factor for everyone at this point of the season, but with a couple of days off to re-focus for this one and tomorrow night at home against the Celtics, we think that Toronto finds a way to avenge the earlier setback. Cleveland has won eight of ten, but note that it’s still only 12-25 ATS at home this year and only 6-9 ATS after a win by ten points or more. Toronto on the other hand is 9-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 20-15 ATS against poor defensive clubs which allow 106-plus points per night. Grab the points, play on the RAPTORS. AAA Sports |
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03-31-18 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards. Charlotte’s four-game win streak was snapped in a 118-105 setback to Cleveland and we think it’s going to suffer another letdown here as well. The Wizards play with revenge here after falling to Charlotte 122-105 on February 23rd. Washington has lost four of its last five and it’ll be desperate here. Note as well that the Wizards are 6-3 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more, while the Hornets are just 7-12 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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03-30-18 | 76ers v. Hawks +6 | Top | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Atlanta Hawks. Philadelphia has won nine straight, including three in a row at home. It’s hit a “vanilla” part of its schedule though, with the game against the Hawks tonight, followed by Charlotte and Brooklyn up next. While the Hornets present a challenge, it’s still not too hard to imagine the contented visitors in some small way coming in contented and looking past their lowly opponent. The Hawks play with revenge here after falling 119-109 to Philly in early November. While ATL won’t be in the postseason, it’ll still be eager to snap its four game slide (has lost nine of ten overall.) Note as well that Philadelphia is just 3-6 ATS this year after playing three consecutive home games, while the Hawks are 13-8 ATS this season after three or more consecutive losses. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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03-30-18 | Bulls v. Magic -6 | 90-82 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Orlando Magic. A couple of bottom feeders fighting for a lottery position go head-to-head on Friday night. Chicago has lost seven straight, while Orlando has lost four of its last five. The Magic though play with revenge here after falling to the Bulls 105-101 in mid February. Also note that Chicago is just 7-11 ATS in its last 18 against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Orlando is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 against poor defensive clubs which allow the same amount of points. Home court is the difference here, play on the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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03-28-18 | Mavs v. Lakers -7 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on ATS trends/statistics: As note that Dallas is just 12-22 ATS this year against poor defensive tams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while LA is 9-3 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: The Mavericks come in off the highly satisfying 103-97 win at Sacramento just last night and we’re expecting a predictable letdown here. The Lakers have been scuffling of late after a stretch of decent play and we expect them to take advantage. Play on LA. AAA Sports |
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03-28-18 | Cavs v. Hornets +3 | 118-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS trends/statistics: As note that Cleveland is just 16-21 ATS on the road this year and only 10-20 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 points per contest, while Charlotte is 11-7 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest. The bottom line: The Cavs come in off a loss in Miami just last night and we’re expecting them to come in flat footed here against the revenge minded Hornets, who come in off a big OT win over the Knicks. Grab the points, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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03-27-18 | Spurs v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. The Spurs’ Kawhi Leonard and the Wizards’ John Wall are both still injured. San Antonio’s six game win streak was snapped in a 106-103 road loss in Milwaukee last time out and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another letdown here. And with a night off before home games against Western Conference leading foes OKC and Houston up next, it’s obviously not too hard at all to envision the visitors getting caught looking ahead. Washington plays with revenge here after falling 98-90 in San Antonio last week. It’s also going to be desperate to break a three-game slide. And with a tough game at equally as hungry Detroit on Thursday, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. Note as well that San Antonio is just 10-11 ATS in its last 22 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Washington is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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03-24-18 | Pelicans v. Rockets -8.5 | 91-114 | Win | 102 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets. The Pelicans have won four straight, but this is their fourth game in the last five nights (because of a “make up” game with Indiana) and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a classic letdown here. Normally we wouldn’t play on a team like Houston, as it also comes into this one off seven straight wins, needing OT to get the better of Detroit 100-96 last time out. The Rockets defense was impressive and they came through in the clutch offensively when they needed too. This is the first of four games against “lesser” competition, with Atlanta, Chicago and Phoenix all coming to town next. The Rockets won’t be taking the foot off the gas this year until home floor is secured and they should have no problem at all running up the score here against the fatigued Pelicans. All signs point to a blowout, lay the points, play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports |
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03-23-18 | Suns +13 v. Cavs | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH on the Phoenix Suns. Are the Suns going to win this one outright? Probably not. We do however believe that they’re going to keep this one extremely competitive against a Cavs team which will be resting players and which comes in complacent off three straight victories, including an epic come from behind 132-129 win over rival Toronto in their last one. Cleveland stomped Phoenix just two weeks ago, but with a three-game road swing starting in Brooklyn on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side also getting caught looking ahead. Phoenix has lost nine straight and it’s in Orlando tomorrow night, but we’r expecting it to put up a fight in the nationally televised contest. Grab the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 32 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Sacramento Kings. The Kings are a team which knew from the start that it wouldn’t be playing in the postseason. Sacramento has a mix of veterans and rookies and it’ll still need some time to develop chemistry and talent. That said the Kings will be looking to snap a two-game slide and the Hawks present the perfect opportunity to do just that. With Boston coming to town next, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. The Hawks on the other hand come in off a rare 99-94 win at Utah and with a game at Golden State tomorrow night, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to that much more high profile contest. For all the reasons listed above, play on the KINGS. AAA Sports |
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03-22-18 | Lakers +3 v. Pelicans | 125-128 | Push | 0 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the LA Lakers. New Orleans is in the midst of playing five games in six night (because of a “make up” game thrown in with the Pacers last night). The Pelicans have won three in row now after the 96-92 victory over Indiana, but with one night off before a game at Houston, followed by contests against Portland, Cleveland and OKC, there’s no question that this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the Pelicans. The Lakers on the other hand will be eager to return to form after three straight losses, but with two nights off to prepare, while also out to avenge 139-117 setback to the Pelicans in mid February, all signs point to LA keeping this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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03-20-18 | Rockets v. Blazers +4 | Top | 115-111 | Push | 0 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Portland Trailblazers. Portland is red hot and with Boston and Oklahoma City up next, this next three game stretch will be a telling one for the Blazers. First things first though is the Rockets. Note that the Blazers play with revenge here after falling 121-112 in Houston in the most recent matchup on January 10th. Houston is on a big run as well. After losing to Toronto the Rockets have now won five straight, including two straight on the road. But with a night off before an extended home stretch and with “cream puffs” Detroit, New Orleans, Atlanta and Chicago all coming to town, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught looking ahead here. Note that Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Portland is 9-5 ATS after scoring 115 points or more. An outright upset isn’t out of the question, but we’re still going to grab the points. Play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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03-13-18 | Thunder v. Hawks +5.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 9* REVENGE BLOWOUT on the Atlanta Hawks. OKC has won three straight over Western Conference opponents. But we’re expecting the streaky Thunder to have a bit of a mental lapse here on the road against their lowly non-conference opponent tonight. And with two nights off before an important home game against the surging Clippers, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead.” This is a classic “trap” scenario for the visitors. And the hungry Hawks will look to take advantage and to also avenge a 120-117 setback in OKC in mid December. Atlanta has lost three straight, but note that it’s already 11-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses (it’s also 3-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.) And note that the Thunder are a poor 19-23 ATS the last two seasons when playing on back-to-back days. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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03-11-18 | Cavs v. Lakers +2 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 9* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the LA Lakers. Cleveland lost the services of Rodney Hood and Cedi Osman in Friday’s 116-112 loss to the Clippers and we think the improve Lakers, who have won eight of their last ten, will take advantage. LA came up short in its latest contest, falling 125-116 to a desperate Nuggets team, but there’s no reason to think the team won’t be able to continue its offensive dominance of late against this injured Cavs team. While we wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points in the end. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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03-10-18 | Wizards v. Heat -2.5 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat. Miami has won three of its last four, including a 108-99 victory at home over Philadelphia in its most recent. Miami plays with revenge after falling 117-113 to Washington just last week. And with an extended road trip starting on Monday at red hot Portland, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. Washington is at New Orleans on Friday night and with a much more “winnable” game at home against the injured Wolves on Tuesday, there’s no question that this sets up as a classic look-ahead spot for the visitors as well. This line could easily be a lot larger in our opinion. Lay the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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03-09-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets -6.5 | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 32 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Denver Nuggets. Denver’s big win streak is a thing of the past as it comes in having lost four of its last six, including two straight. Most recently the Nuggets fell 113-108 to the Cavaliers. With Sacramento coming to town next, followed by a game at the Lakers again, the Nuggets have a legitimate shot at getting back into the winners circle and going on another run. The Lakers have been one of the hottest teams in the league of late, with victories in seven out of their last ten, including a 108-107 victory over Orlando in their most recent. But with a game at home against Cleveland on Sunday, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the young visiting side getting caught “looking ahead.” Note as well that the Lakers are interestingly just 5-8 ATS against the Northwest division this year, while Denver is 27-21 ATS in its last 48 against the Pacific. Lay the points, play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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03-06-18 | 76ers v. Hornets +2 | Top | 128-114 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BLOWOUT DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets. Philadelphia has won seven of its last ten, but it’s coming off a 118-110 loss at Milwaukee. It’s a tough part of the schedule for the 76ers, with a game at Miami up next on Thursday. Charlotte plays with revenge here after falling 110-99 to the 76ers just last week. The Hornets are the much hungrier team though as they come in having lost three straight. With upcoming home games against the Nets and Suns though, Charlotte has a big opportunity to start a new win streak this evening. Note that Philadelphia is already just 3-8 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last five against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. All signs point to a comfortable cover, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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03-03-18 | Lakers v. Spurs -4 | Top | 116-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs won’t be taking anything for granted here after losing seven of their last ten. San Antonio most recently fell 121-116 to New Orleans at home. Note the San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling to the Lakers 93-81 in January 11th. LA has been playing its best ball of the year, getting consistent scoring up and down the line-up, but we feel that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the young Lakers, who enjoy a night off before a date at home against the red hot Blazers. Note that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a four games or more unbeaten streak, while San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 82 points or less. For all the reasons listed above, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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03-02-18 | Wolves v. Jazz -6.5 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 31 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Wolves enters off a 108-99 loss in Portland just last night and all signs point to another letdown here in our opinion. Note that Minnesota won’t be able to help itself looking ahead to its five day lay off before welcoming Boston and Golden State to town on back-to-back nights. Utah plays with revenge here after falling to the Wolves 109-98 in mid November. The Jazz have split their last four contests, but with a game at Sacramento tomorrow night, clearly Utah won’t want to leave anything to chance this evening. Note that the Wolves are just 8-10 ATS as an underdog this year, while Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per night. Minnesota is without offensive star Jimmy Butler this time around as well (lost to injury). All signs point to a rout, lay the points with confidence on the JAZZ. AAA Sports |
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03-01-18 | Lakers v. Heat -5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Miami Heat. Miami comes in off consecutive victories and with dates at home against Detroit and Phoenix, the Heat will be looking to string some victories together against some lower-seeded competition. But first up is a potentially dangerous Lakers side which comes in hot having won three in a row, including two straight away from friendly confines. But with a day off before a game at San Antonio, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. Note that LA is just 3-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 5-3 ATS in its last eight against teams that score 106-plus points per night. Lay the points, play on the HEAT. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Pacers v. Hawks +4.5 | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks. Indiana had its four game win streak snapped in a 109-103 defeat at Dallas in its most recent action and suffice it to say, we’re expecting a letdown here as well. The Hawks won’t be playing in the postseason, but they they do enter this game as the “hungrier” team after four straight losses. And with Golden State coming to town next on the 2nd, tonight’s contest clearly takes on added importance for the home side. Note that the Pacers are just 36-43 ATS the last two seasons after a non-conference game, while ATL is already 10-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses. Grab the points, play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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02-28-18 | Bucks v. Pistons -2 | 87-110 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons (7:05 EST). Milwaukee played and lost 107-104 at home to the Wizards just last night and we predict a predictable letdown here. The Pistons have already lost two of three in this season series, including in the most recent, a 104-100 setback in early December. The Pistons are still in the playoff picture despite losing six of their last seven. Detroit will be especially motivated here after a humbling 123-94 setback at Toronto. Note that Milwaukee is just 4-6 ATS against the division this year, while Detroit is 6-4 ATS against the division. We like the rested home side to “right the ship” with a big effort tonight. Play on the PISTONS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Lakers v. Hawks +2.5 | 123-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 9* EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that LA is still just 13-14 ATS in its last 27 after playing to three consecutive OVERS, while ATL is 15-5 ATS in non-conference games and 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. The bottom line: LA has been playing very well of late with two straight wins out of the break, but with three whole days off before a game in Miami, we think the visitors finally have a letdown here. ATLANTA won’t be taking anything for granted and while the outright upset isn’t out of the question, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on the HAWKS. AAA Sports |
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02-26-18 | Grizzlies +12 v. Celtics | Top | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based almost entirely on strong/relevant ATS statistics/trends: As note that Memphis is 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after allowing 115 points or more, while Boston is just 18-27 ATS in its last 45 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: The Grizzlies are wounded and tanking, but we think they’re going to give the Celtics much more of a fight than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Boston returns home after back-to-back road victories, but we expect a bit of a lapse here against the hungry visitors. No outright upset, but all signs point to a battle, so grab the points. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |