8* A'S RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

The Yanks scored three runs in the bottom of the ninth to push their game with Houston into extra innings, and then New York would go on to win 6-3 in the bottom of the 10th with a walk-off home run by Aaron Judge. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a small mental letdown by the home side tonight. Oakland is off a 5-3 win at Kansas City, taking 2 of 3 from the Royals over the weekend, snapping a 4-game slide in the process. Look for Oakland to keep the momentum rolling in the Big Apple this evening. Paul Blackburn is Oakland's best starter this year, as he enters 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA. Jordan Montgomery has been great for the Yanks as well, he' 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA. But I expect Blackburn to match Montgomery inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog; great price here on the visitors on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* BRAVES RUNLINE (BOB)

Tony Gonsolin is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA for the Dodgers. He's been excellent, but I don't believe his sparkling numbers are realistic or that he'll be able to maintain this blistering pace. On the national stage, I finally expect a bit of a letdown here from Gonsolin. He'll be opposed by Spencer Strider, who is 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA. Strider's coming off a shaky start against the Giants, but I believe he'll settle down here at home. The Braves have won four of their last six games and I expect Strider to, at the very least, match the overachieving Gonsolin inning for inning. And in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued home underdog. While the outright is clearly possible, let's lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Atlanta on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* MARLINS RUNLINE (TOP)

Miami had won three in a row and four of its last five before yesterday's 5-3 series opening loss here vs. the Mets. Suffice it to say, I think the home side bounces back here on Saturday and, at the very least, keeps it close enough to earn the comfortable cover on the runline option. The Mets hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, while the home side counters with Trevor Rogers. Rogers is 3-6 with a 5.83 ERA, but he's 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA in 5 starts vs. the Mets in his career. Bassitt is 5-5 with a 4.03 ERA, but the veteran has lost 3 of his past 4 trips to the hill. Look for the regression to continue here and for Rogers to step up and take advantage in familiar surroundings. While the outright win is not out of the realm of possibility, I simply can't turn down the value here with extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Marlins on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* PIRATES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I think the Pirates have much more than just a "punchers chance" this afternoon, so getting the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket at this price is the correct call. Pittsburgh is coming off a 4-3 loss here in 11 innings last night and I expect a similar tightly contested affair this time around as well. The Pirates have been trading wins/losses over their last 4 games and we can look for that pattern to continue here. Overall the Pirates have won 6 of their last 10. The Rays on the other hand have gone 3-7 in their last 10. JT Brubaker has pitched much better than his 1-7 win/loss record would indicate, entering with a very respectable 4.11 ERA. Corey Kluber is 3-4 with a 3.46 ERA for the Rays. I believe these starters are a "wash." Everything points to this one being very similar to yesterday's contest; grab the Pirates on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* PHILLIES RUNLINE (BAIL-OUT)

I expect the hungry Phillies to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to post the comfortable ATS cover (+1.5 runline.) Jose Musgrove is 8-0 with a 1.59 ERA for the Friars. I say this is unsustainable now moving forward and immediate regression is in the cards. The Phillies counter with Ranger Suarez (5-4, 4.43.) Philadelphia is 8-5 this season when Suarez starts and I expect him to match Musgrove inning for inning. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB)

Baltimore split a 2-game home series vs. the Nationals, winning 7-0 yesterday and I like it to keep the momentum rolling on the road in Chicago this evening. The White Sox took 2 of 3 from the Blue Jays, but fell 9-5 in yesterday's finale. The biggest reason though I like this play is that Chicago is dealing with several key injuries. 3 players left yesterday's game because of injury, including SS Danny Mendick, RF Adam Engel and CF Luis Robert. Baltimore goes with Dean Kremer to start and he's 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Chicago goes with Johnny Cueto, who is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA. These guys are a "wash" in my opinion. Look for the surging Orioles to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to cover with spread; the play is the Orioles on the runline option! 

AAA Sports

8* REDS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I'm expecting a much tighter game here in the finale of this 3-game series. The Reds have lost 6 straight. Note that they're 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge 2 or more straight losses against an opponent. They've lost the first 2 games by score of 8-2 and 8-4. The Dodgers have won 3 of their last 4, but with a date at Atlanta tomorrow, they could get caught looking ahead here. That's in fact what I'm banking on happening here, despite Clayton Kershaw on the hill. Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA, while Hunter Greene is 3-7 with a 5.26 ERA. In his 2nd MLB start, Greene faced the Dodgers and was decent, allowing three runs over 6 innings. Look for the complacent Dodgers to get caught looking ahead to their game at Atlanta, and for the desperate Reds to, at the very least, keep this one close enough for the comfortable ATS cover; the play is Cincinnati on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ROYALS RUNLINE (BOB)

I had a play on the Royals on the "runline" option last night and I'm once again back on that horse this evening. The home side turns to Shohei Ohtani, who is 5-4 with a 3.28 ERA. The visitors counter with southpaw Daniel Lynch, who is 3-6 with a 5.19 ERA. Lynch has been "turning the corner" of late, coming off his best performance of the season last Friday vs. the A's, conceding 1 run over 5 innings. The Angels line-up is top heavy, and with Ohtani pitching tonight, I think the Royals' depth prevails here; that said, grab the extra 1.5 runs with the Royals!

AAA Sports

8* RAYS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Tampa lost the first game of this series by a score of 4-2, but the Rays then bounced back yesterday with a the 5-4 victory. This series has so far been tight and competitive and that's exactly what I'm expecting in the finale as well. We have two really good pitchers going head-to-head here. The home side goes with Shane Baz, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA. This is his third start of the season. After stumbling in the first, he allowed no runs over 6 innings in his second. Jordan Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.72 ERA for New York, but note that he's a pedestrian 4-4 with a 5.02 ERA lifetime vs. Tampa. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the Rays on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ROYALS RUNLINE (BOB)

The Royals have been playing well lately and I expect that trend to carry over here. They've won 4 of their last 5. That includes yesterday's series opener here in LA by a score of 6-2. That loss snapped the Angels 3-game win skein. The Royals hand the ball to Johathan Heasley, who is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA, while the home side counters with Reid Detmers, who is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA. These starters are more evenly matched here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Look for Kansas City to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with extra 1.5 runs on the runline option!

AAA Sports

9* RUNLINE Tigers (DESTRUCTION)

Detroit has lost 7 of its last 10. That includes yesterday's series opener here by a score of 5-2. The Red Sox have won 7 of their last 10. I believe Detroit digs deep here though and, at the very least, keeps this one close enough to earn the ATS cover (+1.5). Beau Brieske is coming off B2B scoreless starts. He's 1-5 with a 3.79 ERA for the Tigers and I believe he's coming in "under the radar" here. The home side counters with veteran Rich Hill, who is 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA. He tied his season high with 7 hits allowever over 5 innings vs. the A's on Thursday, allowing 4 runs in the process. In what I expect to be a tight game, the Tigers on the runline option is the play!

AAA Sports

8* REDS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I think an outright win is possible here as well, but in the end I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The Dodgers lost 2 of 3 to the Indians over the weekend, while the Reds enter having lost 4 straight. Tony Gonsolin has been downright amazing for the Dodgers so far this season, but I say he finally has a letdown here. He's 8-0 with a 1.42 ERA, which is unsustainable in my opinion moving forward. The home side counters with the hungry Tyler Mahle, who has pitched better than his 2-5 win/loss record would indicate, entering with a respectable 4.46 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Mahle went 9 innings of scoreless ball against Arizona in his last start and he's thrown to a 3.07 ERA over his last 7 starts combined. In a contest that I seeing being decided late or even in extras, I'm grabbing the Reds on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ARIZONA RUNLINE (GOW)

San Diego is off 3 straight losses at Colorado and I believe it's ripe for the picking here as well for the hungry Diamondbacks. Arizona enters having won 3 of its last 4, including 2 of 3 from Minnesota over the weekend. These starters are evenly matched. Zach Davies is 2-3 with a 3.78 ERA for the D-Backs, while Yu Darvish is 6-3 with a 3.35 ERA for Friars. These teams are evenly matched offensively as well (middle of the pack,) so that means the value here in this contest swings to the undervalued underdog in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Arizona on the runline option!

AAA Sports

9* MARLINS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

This is the finale of a 4 game series. The Marlins will look to even things up after posting the 6-2 victory here yesterday, getting 5 runs in the 7th and another in the top of the 9th to cap it off. Trevor Rogers is 3-5 with a 5.87 ERA for the Fish, while David Peterson is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA for the Metropolitans. Rogers is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in 4 career starts vs. the Mets. Peterson is 1-0 vs. the Marlins, giving up 2 runs over 5 innings back in 2020. I say these starters are a "wash," and that tips the scales in favor of this undervalued underdog side. However, I'm not calling for an outright win here, despite it being a very legitimate possibility. Instead, in a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'll lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Miami on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (BLOOD-BATH)

Chicago won 7-0 yesterday and I think it has a legtimate shot at winning tonight's game as well. However, at this price, I simply can't turn down the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket at this price. Chicago turns to Michael Kopech, who is 2-2 with a 1.92 ERA, while the home side counters with Christian Javier, who is 3-3 with a 3.20 ERA. I say these pitchers are completely evenly matched. Note though that Chicago is 7-2 in its last 9 after a road shutout victory in its last outing. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, the play is Chicago on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Colorado exploded for a 10-4 victory last night and while I feel it has a legitimate shot at winning this game outright as well, in the end I'll recommend laying this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Nick Martinez is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA for the visitors, while German Marquez is 3-5 with a 6.09 ERA for the home side. Marquez has dominated the Friars throughout his career though, going 9-3 with a 4.31 ERA vs. them. Martinez has faced Colorado 3 times and owns a 6.75 ERA against it. Coors Field is the great equalizer for pitchers, but look for Marquez to take advantage of familiar surroundings; the play is Colorado on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (IL RL GOY)

Two hot teams collide. I think Zach Plesac can match Clayton Kershaw inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. The Guardians have won 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 games. Their offense is middle of the pack, but their team ERA is seventh. The Dodgers come in off B2B wins over the Angels. They have their No. 1 offense in the league (5.08 RPG) and the No. 2 collective ERA. Plesac is 2-4 with a 4.70 ERA, while Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Kershaw returned from a month long injury and looked decent in his last start, but the door is open here for the hungry Plesac to match pace. The Dodgers have in fact been struggling somewhat at the plate of late, while Cleveland is arguably playing its best baseball of the season right now. For all the reasons listed above, grab the Guardians on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (TOP AL)

The Orioles have been trading wins and losses over their last 4 games, and off a 7-6 loss here yesterday in Toronto, I'm expecting this pattern to continue. The last 2 games have been very tight, with Baltimore winning 6-5 previously. This is the 4th and final game of this series, and the O's are looking to even things up. They're big dogs here, but I expect another game decided late, or even in extra time. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who has pitched much better than what his win/loss record would indicate, as he's 3-4 despite a strong 3.86 ERA and 33 to 11 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Kevin Gausman, who is 5-5 with a 2.67 ERA. I like Wells to match Gausman here inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, I tend to gravitate towards the under-rated underdog; the play is Baltimore on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The A's have been blown out in 2 straight losses to open this series. That includes yesterday's 10-1 setback. Expect Oakland's best starting pitcher to keep his team competitive in the finale this afternoon though. With an interesting interleague series starting here tomorrow against the Cardinals, Boston gets caught looking ahead. Rich Hill gets the call for the home side and he's 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA. He's been decent, but not perfect this season. Paul Blackburn is 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA for the A's. He's off an unfortunate no-decision against the Guardians, allowing 4 hits over 8 shutout innings. "Times like this are tough on anybody," Blackburn said recently. "We're just trying to come in with a clear mind and taking that one-game-at-a-time mentality. It's tough. But guys are coming in with a positive attitude every day. They're working. Guys aren't complaining. Sooner or later, the results are going to turn in our favor." While I do feel an outright upset is in the cards, I feel more comfortably laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* PIRATES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I like betting on motivated teams. The Pirates will be hungry here to snap a 9 game slide. That includes the first 4 games here in St. Louis, including both games of yesterday's double-header, 3-1 and 9-1. Note that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to avenge 3 or more straight losses against an opponent though. Jack Flaherty makes his long-awaited season-debut for the Cardinals and will be somewhat under a leash. That leaves the door open for Pirates' rookie Roansy Contreras, who is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA and who is making his 6th career start. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, the correct call is the Pirates on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* MARINERS RUNLINE (BOB)

Marco Gonzalez has had troubles with the Twins in the past, but he comes in on fine form and I expect him to match Minnesota's Sonny Gray inning for inning. Gray is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA, while Gonzalez is 3-6 with a 3.63 ERA. Both come in off strong starts and I'm expecting a classic "duel" here in the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday night. Seattle managed the 7-6 win last night and all signs point to a similar battle here; the play is Seattle on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ANGELS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Tony Gonsolin has been unbelievable for the Dodgers. He's 7-0 with a 1.58 ERA. Noah Syndergaard has looked sharp of late for the Angels, he's 4-4 with a 3.69 ERA. Gonsolin's numbers though are just a little TOO perfect if you know what I mean. I can't see him keeping up this pace much longer. Syndergaard is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Dodgers, so I'm expecting a classic "duel" here. I say Syndergaard can match the overacheiving Gonsolin inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I'm laying this small price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Angels on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* A's RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Oakland snapped an 8-game sldie with a 10-5 win at Cleveland, but then promptly fell 6-3 in the series finale. Losers of 9 of their last 10, I love the visiting side to dig deep here and to, at the very least, keep this one nice and close and to post a comfortable ATS cover. Nick Pivetta is 5-5 with a 3.78 ERA for the Red Sox, and while he's been super sharp of late (5-1, 1.96 ERA over his last 7 starts), regression is imminent in my opinion. He's also pitched two career seven shutout innings vs. the A's. I say these sparkling numbers are unrealistic and I like the A's to finally get some revenge at the plate. Jared Koenig is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing 4 runs over 4 innings in his MLB debut vs. Atlanta. I expect him to settle down here though. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the A's on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (TOP)

I had a play on the Orioles on the runline option last night, and that was an admittedly poor call. I love Baltimore to bounce back today though. Jordan Lyles is 3-5 with a 4.97 ERA, while Yusei Kikuchi is 2-2 with a 4.48 ERA for the Jays. I say these vets are pretty much a "wash." The difference today though? Not that Baltimore is 4-1 in its last 5 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 10 or more runs in! But I'm not calling for an outright upset. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'll grab the visitors on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* PIRATES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

In a game that I believe will be decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to suggest laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Zach Thompson (0-0, 2.25 ERA) gets the nod for the Cardinals. This is his first start in the big leagues and second appearance. The Pirates won't be lacking for motivation here on the heels of a season-worst 6-game slide. Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.26) has turned the corner as well for the Pirates and is sneaking in under the radar, as note that he's posted a 2.65 ERA and struck out 18 over his last 17 innings of work, going 2-0 over his last 4 trips to the hill. He's also a very respectable 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA in 5 career starts vs. St. Louis. While the outright is possible, the value here for the hungry Pirates on the runline option is just too good to turn down!

AAA Sports

9* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Kyle Bradish (1-3, 6.45 ERA) gets the nod for the underdog visiting side and he'll face Alek Manoah (7-1, 1.81) of the Jays. Bradish hasn't faced the Jays yet. The Orioles have won each of his last 3 starts, so he's sneaking in under the radar here. Manoah went 6 scoreless in his last outing. He's faced the Orioles in the past and had success, but I believe Bradish can in fact match his opponent inning for inning tonight. In a scenario like that, I absolutely love the underdog in that situation. And for this pick, we're going grab the visitors on the runline option (+1.5) instead! 

AAA Sports

6* METS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Mets have lost 3 of their last 4. They snapped a 2-game slide with a 7-3 win in this series opener, before then falling 11-6 last night. I'm expecting a much tighter game in the finale though, so beause of that, I'm going to lay this larger price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The starters here are a "wash" in my opinion. Taijuan Walker is 3-2 with a 3.28 ERA for the Mets, while Patrick Sandoval is 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA for the Halos. The Angels offense revolves around Trout and Ohtani, while the Mets are solid 1 through 9. Expect Walker to keep Trout and Ohtani limited here and for the Mets to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; the play is New York on the runline option!

AAA Sports

9* RANGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I believe the Rangers have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but at this very fair price, I'm going to grab the visitors on the runline option. Martin Perez (4-2, 1.56 ERA) has been superb for the Rangers this season. He'll be opposed by Lucas Giolito (4-2, 3.54.) Giolito is coming off a win over the Rays on Sunday, despite allowing 5 runs off 8 hits. The current form of Perez makes the Rangers on the runline the correct call on Saturday afternoon!

AAA Sports

10* TIGERS RUNLINE (BOB)

The Jays have been playing great, but I still feel they're over-priced here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I think Detroit with the extra run-and-a-half is the wise move. Jose Berrios is 4-2, despite an elevated 5.24 ERA. Elvin Rodriguez will look to bounce back after his MLB debut vs. the Yankees didn't go to plan, allowing 10 runs over 5 innings. He learned after that he was tipping his pitches: "I didn't realize I was doing that, but I saw the video," Rodriguez said. "Yeah, I was tipping. They figured me out. I'm going to work in my next bullpen at trying to do the same movement." After getting swept by the Yanks, the Tigers enter with momentum here after B2B wins over the Pirates. Toronto took 2 of 3 from KC, but enters off an 8-4 series finale loss on Wednesday. Berrios is 5-2 lifetiome against the Tigers (11 starts), despite a 5.28 ERA. Give me the hungry home side on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (TOP)

It's the rubber match of this 3-game interleague series. The Dodgers broke their 3-game slide with a 4-1 win yesterday, but I think they'll once again have their hands full here on Thursday. Tyler Anderson is an unrealistic 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA for the Dodgers. Can anyone say "regression!" Dylan Cease counters for the home side and he's 4-2 with a 3.39 ERA. He hasn't won since May 17th, so he won't be lacking for motivation here either (is 4-4 with a very respectable 3.24 ERA in 10 career interleague starts.) In a contet that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying what I deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (BOB)

Colorado snapped a 4-game slide with a 5-3 win here in yesterday's series opener and I think it can keep the momentum rolling on Wednesday. Antonio Senzatela is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA. The Rockies are actually second in MLB with a team average of .261, third in on base-percentage with .327 ad 11th in slugging percentage with .402. The Giants are 12th in team batting average at .244. They're also 24th on the mound with a collective 4.30 ERA. Alex Wood is just 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA. Senzatela was rouged up in his last outing, but I expect the vet to settle down and bounce back here after that "outlier." Grab the Rockies on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* ROYALS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

I had a play on the Royals on the runline option yesterday and that unfortunately was a bad call, as Toronto won by a score of 8-0. However, I love how this sets up for KC to bounce back, but at this price, I'm once again going to grab the extra 1.5 runs. Alek Manoah is 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA for the Jays. He's been unbelievable, but regression is now imminent. He'll be opposed by Brad Keller, who despite having just a 1-6 record, has posted a very respectable 4.15 ERA. I say these starters are more evenly matched that what their records would indicate, so in a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm going to recommend playing KC on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (GOM)

While I do think the hungry home side has a legitimate shot at winning outright, I feel the value of grabbing the extra 1.5 runs at this price is just too good to turn down. I like this pitching matchup, as I definitely feel it favors the home side. The visitors go with Mitch White, who is 1-1 with a 4.79 ERA. He hasn't been very impressive. He'll be opposed by Michael Kopech, who is 1-2 with a 2.20 ERA (he pitched 4 scoreless innings vs. the Cubs in his only other interleague start this season.) Kopech looks to bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* ROYALS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Jays won 8 in a row, but they dropped 2 of 3 to the Twins at home over the weekend. I say they struggle here on the road against this hungry KC side though. The Royals will be motivated here to get back on track after losing 7 of their last 10. That includes a 7-4 setback here yesterday to the Astros. Ross Stripling is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA for the Jays, while Daniel Lynch is 2-4 with a 4.81 ERA for the Royals. I give the slight nod in advantage here between equally matched starters to Lynch, because of the friendly confines. In a game that I see possibly even going to extra innings, I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is KC on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Seattle has won 3 of its last 4. It took 2 of 3 at Texas over the weekend, including yesterday's 6-5 victory. I think the Mariners keep the foot on the gas here vs. the high-powered Astros. The M's go with Robbie Ray, who is 4-6 with a 4.93 ERA, while the Astros counter with Christian Javier, who is 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA. I like Ray to settle down here and to match Javier inning for inning. Look for Seattle to carry over its recent offensive momentum and, at the very least, deliver a solid ATS cover; the play is the M's on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* CUBS RUNLINE (NL RL BOB)

The Cubs have been trading wins and losses over their last 4 games and after a 7-4 defeat here yesterday, I'm expecting this pattern to continue tonight. St. Louis has a night off before an IL series at Tampa and I expect it to get caught looking ahead. Adam Wainwright is 5-4 with a 2.75 ERA for the Cardinals, while Justin Steele is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA for the Cubs. Look for Steele to get back on track here at home and to, at they very least, match Wainwright inning for inning. In a scenario like that, the pendulum swings in favor of the underrated underdog. In this case, let's lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Chicago on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB)

Cleveland swept the Royals at home and then took the first game of this series in Baltimore yesterday by a score of 6-3. The Orioles have lost 2 in a row, but I expect them to bounce back here. Tyler Wells gets the call for the home side, and he has a solid 3.71 ERA. The visitors counter with Triston McKenzie, who sports a 2.65 ERA (tempered though by his 3.85 FIP.) This one is evenly matched according to the bookmakers, which makes the "runline" option at this great price the savvy call in my opinion; the play is Baltimore on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* TIGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Detroit swept Minnesota in three straight before yesterday's humbling 13-0 defeat here. Note though that Detroit is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. I expect this one to be much more competitive though. Beau Brieske is 0-4 with a 5.25 ERA for the Tigers. Thankfully for Brikeske, he has a solid bullpen which has posted a 3.01 ERA (2nd best in the majors.) The Yanks turn to Luis Severino, who is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA. I say Brieske brings his "A" game today and matches his counterpart. Look for the hungry Tigers to sneak in under the radar this afternoon; the play though is Detroit on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* A'S RUNLINE (ROUT)

Boston is on the West Coast this weekend. This pitching matchup is more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Great value here laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. I can easily see this game going to extra innings. James Kaprielian is 0-2 with a 5.93 ERA this season for the A's. Expect the veteran to settle down here at home. And I think the A's can get a few runs off of Boston's Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Oakland. For all the reasons listed above, grab the home side on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* PADRES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

The Padres are 30-21 and they're sending Joe Musgrove to the hill. He's 5-0 with a 1.86 ERA. The home side counters with Corbin Burnes, who is 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA. I expect these starters to battle DEEP into the latter innings. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, my official recommendation for this selection will be to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Padres on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* TIGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

While I do think an outright victory is possible, in the end I'll recommend to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Minnesota has lost 3 of the first 4 games of this five-game series vs. the Tigers. Rookie Alex Faedo is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA for the Tigers and he's making his 6th start of the year. Most recently he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings in an unfortunate loss to the Guardians: "I was happy with the way I threw the baseball," Faedo said after. "Going up against a guy like (Shane) Bieber, you've got to be sharp. He's a Cy Young guy. He had a good day, and he beat us." The visitors counter with the erratic Chris Archer, who is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA. He's not pitched more than 4 1/3's innings in any of his 9 starts. Look for Detroit to take advantage; the play is the Tigers on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Justin Verlander is 6-2 with a 2.03 ERA, but he's coming off his worst start of the season, allowing 6 runs off 10 hits in a 6-1 loss to the Mariners on Friday. I think Verlander will struggle to maintain his rosey numbers moving forward. The A's are the "hungrier" revenge-minded dog in this fight. I say that Cole Irvin is equally matched here, as he's 2-2 with a 3.15 ERA. Oakland is off B2B losses here to open this series, but note that it's 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to revenge B2B home losses against an opponent. Great value here with the A's on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* CUBS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pockets. The Brewers have won 3 straight, including a 7-6 victory in the opener of this series, and then 3-1 in yesterday's contest. That's 2 straight tight games, and all signs once again point to a "nail-biter" here too in my opinion. And after 3 straight losses, clearly Chicago is the "hungrier" dog in this fight. Eric Lauer (5-1, 2.31 ERA), has been unbelievable so far for Milwaukee, but I think his sparkling numbers are unsustainable. Regression is imminent here vs. these revenge-minded Cubbies. Chicago counters with Justin Steele (1-5, 5.40), who like his team, won't be lacking for motivation today as he tries to get untracked. In a contest that'll "come down to the wire," I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* NATIONALS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Washington fell 13-5 to the Mets yesterday, but I'm expecting a much closer battle on Tuesday. After 4 straight victories, I expect the Mets to have a bit of a letdown here (note as well that Washington is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it allowed 10 or more runs in as well.) Patrick Corbin (1-7, 6.30 ERA) won't be lacking for motivation here today. His offense hasn't been a problem, so expect the Nats' to take advantage here in this revenge spot. The home side counters with Trevor Williams (0-3, 4.73), who also hasn't been anything special this season. I think Corbin gets back on track here; that said, the official play is the Nationals on the runline option!

AAA Sports

RANGERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

The Rays have the better starting pitcher on the hill, but I like the Rangers to dig deep here and deliver. Drew Rasmussen (5-1, 2.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, while Glenn Otto (2-2, 4.91) gets the nod for the home side. Note that Texas is 6-4 the L10 in this series. The Rangers are surging, playing their best baseball of the year, as they're going for their 5th straight win tonight. Texas has scored 23 runs at home over its last 3 games. Look for that impressive offense to once again, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Texas on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

While I do think the outright win is possible, I feel more comfortable here laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pockets. Yes, the Astros are out for revenge after dropping the first 2 games of this series, but Seattle is still the "hungrier" team in my estimation. Houston hands the ball to Luis Garcia (3-3, 3.38 ERA), while the home side counters with southpaw Marco Gonzalez (3-3, 3.74.) These starters are a "wash." Look for the surging M's to keep the pedal to the metal on Sunday; the play though is Seattle on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ROYALS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm going to grab the visitors on the runline option. Kansas City hands the ball to Zack Greinke (0-3, 4.53 ERA), while the home side counters with Sonny Gray (2-1, 2.60.) Greinke got out to a hot start, but he's cooled off a bit since. Here's a great opportunity to get untracked though against this middle of the pack Twins offense. Gray's sparkling numbers appear unsustainable for much longer. I say a step-back is in order here for the veteran. While I do think the outright win is possible, my official recommendation is indeed KC on the runline! 

AAA Sports

10* PHILLIES RUNLINE (RD)

I play favorites. I play underdogs. I play totals. Here I think we're in fact getting great value laying the slightly higher price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Congrats to everyone that joined me with the Mets last night, my 10* MLB GAME OF THE YEAR. Saturday though I'm going the other way, as I think this one'll be decided late, or even in extras! These starters are evenly matched. Zach Wheeler is 1-3 with a 3.65 ERA for the Phillies, while Taijuan Walker is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA for the Mets. Regression seems imminent for the veteran Walker though. I'm banking on this being a very tight game, that's why I'm laying the price with the Phillies on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* CARDS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

The Cardinals dropped the opener of this series by a score of 4-3, before then bouncing back in yesterday's 4-2 victory. We've had a couple of lower-scoring tighter battles to open this series, and all signs point to a similar result here as well. Matthew Liberatore is 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA for the Cards. This is his 2nd career outing. He gave up 4 runs over 5 innings to the Pirates in his first start, striking out 3 as well. I expect him to settle down here. Adrian Houser is 3-4 with a 2.98 ERA for the Brewers. He gave up 1 run over 6 innings vs. the Braves in his last outing. Off B2B gems though, I think regression is now in order. In a contest that I see being decided late or in extra innings, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Cards on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Great value here on the home side with the runline option. The 29-14 Dodgers are at the 23-22 Diamondbacks. The Dodgers enter off a 1-0 loss to the Nationals. This is the final series of a 10-day, 3-city road trip for LA. Arizona will look to take advantage, as it comes in on top form, having won 5 of its last 6. The D-Backs had yesterday off to prepare for this one, after sweeping the Royals in 2 games. The Dodgers go with Mitch White tonight. He's 1-0 with a 6.17 ERA. He gave up 3 runs over 2 1/3's innings vs. the Phillies on Saturday. Arizona goes with Humberto Castellanos, who is 3-1 with a 4.29 ERA. In 4 starts this month he's gone 2-0 with an 18:3 K:W. While the outright is possible, the value is just too good to turn down for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Arizona on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Cleveland won the opener by a score of 6-1, before the Astros bounced back with a 7-3 victory last night. These starting pitchers are evenly matched though and I'm expecting a much more competitive battle in the finale. Cal Quantrill is 1-2 with a 3.48 ERA for Cleveland. He most recently allowed 1 run over 7 innings in a win over the Reds. Christian Javier is 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA for the Astros. He gave up 1 run over 6 innings to the Raners in his last outing. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* REDS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Both teams are struggling at the plate. I think this opening matchup is much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. I like Luis Castillo here for the REds starting. He 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA, but he's faced Toronto 7 times in his career and has gone 4-2 with a 3.70 ERA. The Jays only average 3.68 RPG, so here's a perfect opponent for Castillo to get untracked against. The home side goes with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and who has never faced Cincinnati. I say this one gets decided late, or even in extras; because of that, let's grab the Reds on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* RANGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

The Rangers fly in under the radar here. They're off a 3-game sweep of the Angels, which featured a dramatic walk off win on Wednesday. The Astros come in with little momentum after going just 1-2 in Boston. Texas plays with revenge here after losing 3 of 4 at home to the Astros at the start of the season. But this Rangers line-up is raking now, led by Corey Seager with 8 home runs. Glenn Otto is 1-1 with a 6.38 ERA for the Rangers. He was lit up at Boston in his last start, but I think he settles down here. Framber Valdez is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA for the Astrros. Texas comes in with confidence. It's seeing the ball well. I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing this; the play is Texas on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* TIGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

The Tigers won the first game of this series by a score of 3-2, beore Tampa responded in yesterday's 8-1 victory. For the finale, I'm expecting a much tighter game. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the call for the Tigers, and he just threw 6.2 shutout innings in a win over Baltimore in his last outing. The home side counters with Drew Rasmussen, who also comes in off a gem, holding the Jays to just one run over 5.2 innings of work. These pitchers are evenly matched. As stated off the top, all signs point to this contest perhaps even going into extra innings; beause of that, let's lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket!

AAA Sports

8* MARINERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

Toronto took Game 1 of this series last night by a score of 6-2, but I expect a much tighter affair here on Tuesday. Both teams are in need of a win here, but in a contest that I think'll be decided late or in extra innings, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The bottom line here is, I think Logan Gilbert is the correct call in this starting pitching matchup over Jose Berrios. Gilbert is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA, while Berrios is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA. The M's have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one; the play is Seattle on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOW)

The Angels just took 3 of 4 from the A's over the weekend, while the Rangers dropped 2 of 3 to Boston. Texas was blown out in the first 2, but then bounced back with a blowout win of its own on Sunday. LA took 3 of 4 in early April, so the Rangers are out for revenge this week. Noah Syndergaard takes the mound for the visitors, an dhe owns a 2.45 ERA over 5 starts. He'll be opposed by Jon Gray, who owns a 5.51 ERA. Texas has actually done well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 in its last 9 after scoring 10 or more runs in its previous game. This one will be decided late, or even in extras, so I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Rangers on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* MARINERS (RL BOB)

The Mariners are 16-19 and the Blue Jays are 18-17. Toronto is off a series loss in Tampa, and fell 3-0 on Sunday. The M's took 2 of threa the Mets over the weekend. Chris Flexen is just 1-5, despite a decent 4.24 ERA for the Mariners this year. Overall the Mariners have posted a decent 3.74 collective ERA. The Jays return home after a poor 2-7 road trip. Yusei Kikuchi is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA for the Jays. I believe these starters are a "wash." In a scenario like that, and in a contest that I expect to be decided late (or perhaps even in extra innings), let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Seattle on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The lowly Baltimore Orioles won't be lacking for motivation today after 3 straight losses to Detroit over the weekend. The Yanks come in complacent after winning 7 of their la 10, including a 5-1 win at the White Sox yesterday. Luis Severino is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA over 6 starts for New York, while Kyle Bradish is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA over 4 starts for the Orioles. Baltimore though has done exceptionally well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in its last 9 at home. Conversely, the Evil Empire has gone just 4-6 ATS in its last 10 overall. Look for Baltimore to jump on on this complacent Yanks side and to possibly even win outright; the play is the Orioles on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* CARDINALS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

San Fran won the opener 8-2 and then St. Louis won 4-0 yesterday. I expect a much tighter game here in the finale, and that's why I'm going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. Carlos Rodon is 4-1 with a 1.80 ERA for the Giants, but I expect regression to kick in sooner, rather than later. The Cards counter with veteran Adam Wainwright, who is 3-3 with a 3.18 ERA and who I like here in friendly confines. Note as well that St. Louis is actually 8-3 in its last 11 off a shutout home victory. For all the reasons listed above, the play is St. Louis on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The White Sox had won 7 of 8 before dropping the first 2 of this series. They fell 15-7 in the first game and 10-4 yesterday. I expect a much tighter affair here. Jordan Montgomery is 0-1 with a 2.90 ERA for the Yanks. He's been solid. Dallas Keuchel is 2-3 with a 6.86 ERA for the White Sox. He's uncharacteristically struggled so far. Let's not overreact to either starters' performance to this point though. Note that Chicago is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to avenge B2B losses to an opponent. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be an understatement, as the Yanks have won 8 of the L9 in this series. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the ChiSox on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

I had a play on the Phillies on the runline last night and did not need the extra 1.5 runs. This game on Friday between the Mariners and Mets may follow suit, but once again the value here with getting the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket is just too good to turn down in my opinion. Max Scherzer is 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA for the Mets, while Marco Gonzalez is 1-4 with a 3.91 ERA for the Mariners. The Mets are 9-0-1 in series this year, but regression is imminent at some point. Both starters are coming off losses. I think they're more evenly matched than what this large line is suggesting though. This one gets decided late or even in extras, so let's grab the Mariners on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* PHILLILES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Philadelphia won 4-2 at Seattle yesterday, taking 2 of 3 from the Mariners, I believe the hungry visiting side will keep the momentum rolling here. The Dodgers just lost 2 of 3 to the Pirates, including yesterday's 5-3 setback. These pitchers are a "wash" in my mind essentially. The Phillies see Zach Wheeler toe the slab, while the home side counters with Tyler Anderson. Wheeler is 1-3 with a 4.10 ERA, while Anderson is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA. In fact, regression appears to be in order for Anderson in my estimation. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Phillies on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ORIOLES (IL RL GOY)

The bottom line here is, I believe that the over-achieving Miles Mikolas is poised for some regression here after his sparkling start for the Cardinals. The Orioles have been decent, especially on the mound. They're 4th in the AL East currently. Spencer Watkins gets the nod to start things off for the visitors and he's 0-0 with a 3.22 ERA over 5 starts this season, posting 10 K's and 10 walks. Mikolas is 2-1 with a 1.53 ERA over 6 games, with 28 K's and 7 walks. Interestinly though, the Cards are just 1-6 in their last 7 vs. the AL East. Watkins has been at his best on the road with a 2.70 ERA and in a contest that I believe could even go to extra innings, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the exrta 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Orioles on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (GOW)

Cleveland has won 7 of its last 8. It just took 3 of 4 from Toronto. The Guardians fly in under the radar here as well. The White Sox have won 5 in a row. They just finished sweeping the Red Sox, all tight games, including yesterday's 3-2 victory. Zach Plesac is 1-3 with a 4.44 ERA for the Guardians, while Michael Kopech is 0-0 with a 1.17 ERA for the White Sox. Two good pitchers. Let's not overreact to their numbers at this point of the season, and instead classify them as a "wash." Chicago is overpriced here if that's the case. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* NATIONALS RUNLINE (BOB)

Washington managed the 7-3 win here yesterday. I think the home side is overvalued here as well on Sunday, and I expect some regression here finally as well from Patrick Sandoval. Sandoval is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA so far this season for LA, but I expect his sparkling numbers to take a hit today. At the very least, I expect Erick Fedde to match Sandoval inning for inning. Fedde is 2-2 with 22 K's and 10 walks over 25 frames of work. He's also 3-1 with a 3.61 ERA in his career against the Junior Circuit. This one will be decided late or in extra innings, the play is the visitors on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Seattle won't be lacking for motivation here after losing 9 of its last 10. That includes both games to open this series. First they lost 4-3, then 8-7 last night. The M's allowed 3 runs in the top of the 9th and scored just 1 themselves to lose by 1 run again. While I do think an outright is possible here, I'm going to lay what I think is a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in our back pocket. The Rays come in on the other end of the spectrum, primed for a letdown after 5 straight wins. Drew Rasmussen is 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA for the Rays, while Marco Gonzalez is 1-3 with a 4.05 ERA for the Mariners. These starters are essentially a "wash" in my eyes. In what should be another competitive affair, let's look for the desperate Mariners to find a way to deliver on the runline option tonight!

AAA Sports

10* GIANTS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extra innings, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The Giants hand the ball to Carlos Rodon, who is 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA, while the Dodgers counter with Julio Urias, who is 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA. The Giants won 10 of 19 games in the season series last year and 6 of 10 at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers ended San Fran's season in a 5-game NL Division series, so it's payback time tonight. I like Rodon to, at the very least, match Urias inning for inning. Because of that, the play here today is the Giants on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* A'S RUNLINE (GOM)

Tampa Bay lost 2 of 3 to the Twins over the weekend and it's now scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 9 games. Oakland fans can empathize, as the A's are looking to rebound from 3 straight losses to the Guardians. They've now lost 6 of their last 8. Oakland took 3 of 4 from Tampa from April 11-14 and I expect the home side to find a way to deliver in the opener here as well. Tampa goes with Drew Rasmussen, who is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA. He's off the best start of his career, going 6 shutout innings and striking out 9 in a win over the Mariners. Regression is now imminent after that gem in my opinion. The A's see Daulton Jefferies, who is 1-3 with 3.26 ERA, toe the slab. He gave up 5 runs over 4 innings in a loss to the Giants on Tuesday. I look for him to settle down here at home, where he posted a 2.90 ERA last year. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra's let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Oakland on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* CUBS RUNLINE (BEST OF BEST)

Chicago comes in desperate for a win, as it's dropped 8 of its last 10. That includes both games to open up this series, falling 11-1 and 9-1. I'm expecting a much better effort here from the Cubs on Sunday. Milwaukee enters complacent after 5 straight wins. Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 1.75 ERA for the Brewers. Regression is imminent in my estimation though. Marcus Stroman is 0-3 with a 6.98 ERA so far for Chicago. I say that Stroman settles down here and gets back on track with his best effort of the season. Brewers' star Christian Yellich said it best himself after yesterday's win: "The thing about baseball is you have to keep grinding, keep putting in the work and keep trying to get better." Expect that logic to pay dividends for the visiting side today though. That said, let's grab the Cubs on the runline option!

AAA Sports

8* ASTROS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Toronto took the first game by a score of 2-1. I had the Astros on the runline in that one. Houston then responded with an 11-7 victory yesterday. I think the Astros are the sharp wager again here, but once again I'll recommend to play on the runline option. Houston goes with Framber Valdez, who is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA, while Toronto counters with Kevin Gausman, who is 1-1 with a 2.19 ERA. Guasman faced the Astros once last year and allowed 3 earned runs and 6 hits with 2 walks over 4 1/3's frames of work and in 4 career outings against them he's just 1-3 with a 5.16 ERA. Valdez is just 1-1 with a 6.17 ERA in 2 career starts against Toronto. These pitchers are a "wash." Look for Houston's strong bullpen and hitting line-up to put it in another position to win this game outright; that said, the official play is to grab the Astros on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* CUBS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Chicago looks to bounce back after yesterday's humbling 11-1 defeat. Note that the Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge an 8 runs or greater road loss against an opponent though. Milwaukee on the other hand is interestingly just 2-6 in its last 8 after a 10 runs or greater victory in its last outing. Chicago sends lefty Justin Steele to the hill, and he's 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA, while the home side counters with Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA. Lauer though is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 4 career outings against the Cubs, which includes 3 starts. I like the hungrier visiting side here, but for this price, I can't turn down the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Chicagao on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* RANGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

Bryce Elder is 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA for the Braves. He'll have hundreds of friends and family members in the stands today watching the Texas native. Dane Dunning is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA for the Rangers and he'll look to play spoiler on the rookie. Elder had a decent debut, but in 2 starts since he's struggled big time, not getting past the 5th inning, walking 11 and striking out 7 over a cominbed 9 innings of work. Dunning makes his 5th start of the year and he's held his opposition to 3 or fewer runs in each of those outings. Look for Dunning to go deeper than his counterpart and for the Rangers to make this one exciting; grab Texas on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ASTROS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

Houston's offense got back on track in a big way in yesterday's 11-7 victory. I think it can keep the foot on the gas here. But for this reasonable mid-sized price, I think we're getting unreal value on the visitors on the runline option. Luis Garcia is 1-0 with a 4.60 ERA with 14 K's over 12 innings for Houston. Garcia coughted up 5 runs off 5 hits with 6 K's over 6 innings in what turned out to be a no-decision vs. the Jays on Sunday. He's 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in 2 career outings vs. Toronto though. The home side counters with the erratic Jose Berrios, who is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA this season, but who is a sub-par 3-3 with a 5.46 ERA in six career starts vs. Houston. I think an outright victory is possible, but in the end let's take on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

I think that Madison Bumgarner and the Diamondbacks have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Madison Bumgarner is 0-1 with a 1.00 ERA for Arizona, while Adam Wainwright is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA for the Cards. Arizona sneaks in under the radar here after winning 3 of its last 5. Bumgarner gave up just 1 run over 5 innings in his last outing. In his last start Wainwright was shelled for 4 runs off 8 hits over 5 innings. Recent form is a factor that's being overlooked here and we're going to take advantage. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Arizona on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* MARLINS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

In a game that I believe will be decided late, or even in extra innings, I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The Mariners hand the ball to Matt Brash, who is 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA. He's a rookie with 3 career appearances and who has yet to pitch past the 5th inning. The home side counters with Elieser Hernandez, who is 1-1 with a 5.87 ERA. He's never faced Seattle. I like Hernandez here though, who has a 6.05 ERA on the road, but a 3.60 ERA at home. The Marlins are riding a 5 game win streak, while the M's have lost 2 in a row. Great value here getting the extra run-and-a-half; the play is Miami on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (BOB)

Chicago has lost 7 in a row. I say that streak ends in emphatic fashion this evening. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as KC has lost 4 in a row. The Royals just got swept by the Mariners over the weekend. They hand the ball to Daniel Lynch, and he's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA over 2 starts. He went a disastrous 1-2 with a 16.20 ERA over three appearances vs. the White Sox last year. The bullpen has a collective 4.11 ERA and they average just 3.1 RPG. The White Sox have been swept by the Twins and Guardians. I like Dallas Keuchel here though at home in this important game. He's 1-1 with 15.00 ERA so far this year (gave up 8 runs in his last start.) I think the veteran settles down here though. Chicago is also 4-0 in its last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Look for the White Sox to not only win this game, but to do so big a significant margin; the play is Chicago on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Dodgers have won 3 of their last 4. The Diamondbacks have lost 2 of their last 3 games. Arizona has yet to win a series yet this year, so they'll be hoping to catch the Dodgers a bit complacent here in the opener. And with Merrill Kelly on the hill for them tonight, I say that the D-Backs have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. The Dodgers are doing great. Their stats confirm that they're among the best in almost every facet, but betting on baseball is not only about betting on strong or weak stats, it's about picking and choosing great "spots" and "situations." This is a great spot bet on the runline for a number of reasons. I think LA is primed for letdown, while clearly Arizona is desperate to get a win streak going. These pitehrs are evenly matched too. I think Kelly can match Walker Buehler inning for inning. Buehler is 1-1 with a 4.02 ERA. He gave up 3 runs and 8 hits over 5 innings in a 3-1 loss to the Braves in his last outing. Kelly is 1-0 with a 0.59 ERA for Arizona, who has given up just 1 run over 3 starts spanning 15 1/3's innings of work. I think this is a great spot and situation overall to pull the trigger on the hungry D-Back on the runline option!

AAA Sports

10* BREWERS RUNLINE (RED DRAGON)

Ultimately, I think we're getting great value with the Brewers on the runline option here. This is a very reasonable mid-sized price to have to lay to have an extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Milwaukee hands the ball to Eric Lauer, who is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA, while the home side sees Aaron Nola toe the slab. If this was four years go, Nola would be a -250 favorite. Now he enters with a 1-2. 5.52 ERA record. Milwaukee has won five of six, including yesterday's contest 5-3 and while an outright victory obviously isn't out of the realm of possibility today either, the play is Milwaukee on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB)

I think Syndergaard is overvalued here. LA is 8-5, while Baltimore is 4-9, but I believe these starting pithers are more evenly matched than what this huge line is suggesting. Spencer Watkins is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA for the Orioles, while Noah Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA for the Angels. Yes, the Orioles have struggled to plate runs this season, but off yesterday's 5-3 victory, I say the visiting side builds momentum off that performance. Let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pockets; the play is Baltimore on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* OVER (ASSASSIN)

The Cardinals are 7-4 and the Reds are 2-11. The Reds only managed 5 hits in a 6-0 loss at the Padres on Wednesday, but Cinncy has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 10 after a shutout road loss. St. Louis is off a 5-0 road loss at Miami, after taking the first 2 games. The Cards though have seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of their last 8 off a shutout road loss. The Reds hand the ball to rookie Hunter Greene, who is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA (allowed 3 homers in 10 1/3's innings so far), while the Cards go with Steve Matz, who is 1-1 with a 7.26 ERA after getting shelled for 7 runs over his first 8 2/3's innings of work. Considering all of the above information, the play is the OVER.

AAA Sports

8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Orioles are hungry to snap a 2-game slide. Baltimore has played better in "day" games this year, going 2-3 with wins over the Yanks and Brewers. They're just 1-5 in night contests. The A's are 3-3 in day games. The A's hand the ball to Daulton Jeffries, who is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA, while the Orioles counter with Jordan Lyles, who is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA. Lyles is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA in 3 road starts vs. Oakland and I think he can easily match Jeffries inning for inning today. And in a scenario like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. In this case though, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Baltimore on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* BRAVES RUNLINE (8*)

I think the defending champs are well worth the price of admission to grab the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. They've lost 2 straight, so they'll be eager to reverse their fortunes here in Chavez Ravine. Max Fried is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA for Atlanta, while Walker Buehler is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA. Let's not read too much into either pitchers early numbers. All stats, both good and bad, have to be taken with a small grain of salt over the first month. I say Fried settles down here. The Dodgers have won 6 straight, but I think they'll have their hands full today with this determined home side; the play is ATL on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* CUBS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

The Rays just dropped 2 of 3 games at the White Sox, and I think they'll have their hands full here today at the Cubs. Previous to that the Rays lost 3 of 4 to Oakland, getting outscored 31-16 in the process. Further regression here on the road as a favorite is imminent in my opinion. Shane McClanahan is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA for the Rays after allowing 3 runs over 4 innings in a loss to Oakland. Kyle Hendricks is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA for the Cubs. This is his 3rd start. He gave up 6 runs over 4 innings in a loss to the Pirates last time out. I say that there's major room for improvement obviously from the Cubs' ace, and there's no better opponent to get back on track than against these struggling Rays. While I feel the outright is a possibility, in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cubs on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

I had a play on the Orioles on the runline yesterday, but did not need the extra 1.5 runs, as Baltimore ended up winning 2-1 in the bottom of the 10th inning. I expect another tight game here today as well, one that will once again be decided late or even in extra frames, so because of that, I'm once again back in the saddle and going to recommend a wager on the home side on the runline option again. Jameson Taillon and Tyler Wells are essentially a "wash" as far as the starting pitching is concerned in my opinion. Note though that the Twins are a near-perfect 6-1 in their last 7 off an extra-innings victory in which they held their opponent to 1 or less runs in. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the Orioles on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* TWINS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Twins managed an 8-4 win here yesterday and I think they can keep the good times rolling on Saturday afternoon. Keep your eyes on Luis Arraez for Minnesota, as he is hitting .350 for the Twins over his first 20 at-bats. Sonny Gray gets the nod for the Twins and he'll be looking to get out to a good start for his new team. Last year he was 7-9 with a 4.19 ERA. He made 1 start alrady and gave up 2 runs over 5 innings. The Red Sox have given up 15 runs over their last 2 games. Tanner Houck gave up 3 runs over 3 innings in his debut for the Red Sox this year, so the advantage on the mound today definitely lies with the visiting side in my opinion. Yes, the outright is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Minnesota on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* RAYS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

Tampa went just 1-2 at home against Oakland, including falling 6-3 yesterday, but I say it'll give the White Sox everything they can handle this evening! Chicago went 2-1 against the Mariners, but it enters off a 5-1 loss yesterday. That snapped a 4-game win skein and I believe further regression is in order here. Tampa hands the ball to Drew Rasmussen, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA, while Chicago counters with Dylan Cease, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. Rasmussen allowed two runs over four innings in what turned out to be a win for Tampa over Baltimore in his debut, while Cease gave up 1 run over 5 innings against Detroit. Cease is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one career outing vs. the Rays. Rasmussen is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA in 11 career starts. While I do think the outright is possible, the official is grab the Rays on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ATHELTICS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

I had a play on the A's on the runline in their outright win at Tampa and I believe they have a legitimate shot at pulling off another big upset on the road today. The Jays are off a 3-0 loss at New York. Toronto went just 1-2 in the Big Apple, while Oakland went 2-1 in Tampa. Daulton Jeffries is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the A's. He's making his 2nd start of the season and 3rd of his career. He's off a 4-1 win over the Phillies, giving up two hits over 5 scoreless. I think he can easily match Jays' starter Ross Stripling, who enters 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA. He's given up 2 runs over 2 innings of relief and he went a sub-par 5-6 with a 4.69 ERA over 19 starts last season. Great price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

The Yankees are coming off a 3-0 win over the Jays at home yesterday, winning that series 2-1. I say a small letdown is now in order here against the lowly Orioles. Jordan Montgomery is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA for the Yanks after allowing 3 earned runs off four hits over 3 1/3's innings of work. The Orioles go with Jordan Lyles, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing 5 runs over 5 innings in a 5-3 loss to Tampa on Saturday. Lyles signed a 1-year contract worth 7 million, and I say he bounces back at home. In a contest that I envision being decided late or even in extra innings, let's grab the home side on the runline option; the play is Baltimore on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* CUBS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I think the Cubbies can keep this one close. The Rockies swept the Rangers in two games in Texas and then had a day off. They send Kyle Freeland to the hill and he's 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. Freeland struggled in his first start, allowing 5 runs off 5 hits over 3 innings in a loss to the Dodgers. Steele makes his second start of the season. Last year as a rookie he went 4-4 with a 4.26 ERA over 20 games (9 starts.) He blanked the hard-hitting Brewers over 5 innings and I say he carries that momentum over here. The outright is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The play is the CUBS on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* RANGERS RUNLINE (AL RL BOB)

Dane Dunning gets the call for the Rangers here. He's 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA, giving up five hits and three runs over five innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Jays on the road in his opener. I think he'll bounce-back in friendly confines though. Look for a new pitch from Dunning today: "The slider that I normally throw is a bit more vertical," he said. "This new slider I throw is probably more like a sideways curveball. ...The numbers are actually really good on it, so it's something I wanted to incorporate into my repertoire. It's something different that hitters haven't seen." He'll go up against Shohei Ohtani, who is 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA. He looked decent as well in his first start, allowing one run off four hits over 4 innings in a loss to Houston. This one is going to come down to the latter frames, and because of that, I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option today!

AAA Sports

9* A'S RUNLINE (DESTROYER)

The A's won 4-2 last night and I expect another competitive effort from the visiting side today as well. Wander Franco and Randy Arozarena went a combined 0 for 9 yesterday for the Rays and I think they'll struggle again here against Cole Irvin, who enters hungry after starting 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. He gave up 4 runs off 7 hits over 5 1/3's frames in a loss to the Phillies. Irvin has a big opportunity bounce back here throwing opposite Josh Flemming, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings in relief against Baltimore on Saturday. Let's not read too much into either pitchers first start. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN)

Tampa managed the 9-8 win yesterday, but I think that the A's bounce back here. Yes, I do think that the outright win is possible, but in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Frankie Montas got rocked in his debut for Oakland, allowing five runs off six hits over five innings. Last year he was 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA on the road. I say he definitely bounces back today. The Rays go with Shane McClanahan, who gave up no runs over 4 innings in a 2-1 win over Baltimore in his opener. The A's have smashed lefties this year early, averaging .346 collectively thus far. Look for that trend to continue here; the play is Oakland on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (BOB)

The Astros go with right-hander Luis Garcia, who finished 11-8 with a 3.48 ERA last season. He was the runner-up for American League Rookie of the Year. The Diamondbacks go with Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA after throwing 3 innings on Opening Night. The Astros come to town after going 3-1 at the Angels. It was the opposite for Arizona though, which dropped 3 of 4 games at home against the Padres. That included a 10-5 loss here Sunday in which the team made 3 unearned errors: "Three unearned runs to me is unacceptable," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said afterward. "That game should have been a lot closer than it was. We've got to get better. We've got a day off (Monday). We can turn the page. That's all we can do. We can learn from it, move on, keep pressing and teaching. Do what we can to make something good happen on Tuesday." I like the veteran a home here and I believe the hungrier home side will, at the very least, keep this one competitive late; grab the 1.5 runs with the Diamondbacks on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* ANGELS RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

I don't only like the Angels to win this game, I like them to win by a significant margin. Because of that, let's lay the 1.5 runs for the decent "plus money return." Michael Lorenzen will make his debut for his new team tonight: "I'm meant to be here," Lorenzen said. "This is my home. And when you're gone for seven years, you really realize 'I miss my home.' You go a little extreme and I guess I've gone a little extreme, but I love being here." He's 6-10 with a 4.95 ERA overall in 26 career starts, but a much sharper 1-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 14 career games (three starts) vs. the Fish. The visitors counter with Eliser Hernandez, who was 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA over 11 starts last season. It's already been noted that Hernandez will be held to just 75 pitches or 5 innings tonight as well. Look for the Angels to take advantage! The play is LA on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* ATHLETICS RUNLINE (GOW)

Tampa swept Baltimore, but I think it'll have its hands full today against the Atheltics, who avoided a three-game sweep at Philadelphia with a 4-1 victory yesterday afternoon. Paul Blackburn will take the mound to start for the visitors. He owns a pedestrian 5.74 lifetime ERA. Tampa counters with Luis Patino, who owns a slightly better 4.47 lifetime ERA. Oakland proved yesterday that it still has talent in its lineup, and I say the A's hang around late and make this one interesting. While I do believe the outright victory is a possibility, let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline!

AAA Sports

9* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION)

After starting 0-3, the Orioles are desperate to break into the win column. Here's a great opponent to possibly do that against, as the Brewers struggled in their opening series loss to the Cubs. Adrian Houser gets the call for the Brewers, and he was 10-6 with a 3.22 ERA last year, while the hungry Orioles turn to Bruce Zimmerman, who was 4-5 with a 5.04 ERA. Milwaukee though is a putrid 1-11 in its last 12 on the road. The Brewers bullpen has to be called into question as well, as Milwaukee's team ERA is 7.88, while Baltimore's is 3.94. This one will be tight, so I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Orioles on the runline!

AAA Sports

8* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL)

In what I believe will be a very competitive contest, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The A's always seem to start slow and then find ways to win, and that could be the case again this season after 2 straight losses to open the season in Philly. The Phillies go with Zach Eflin, who was nothing special last year, finishing 4-7 with a 4.17 ERA. The visitors go with Daulton Jeffries, who makes his third major league start here. He's 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA so far. I say these starters are equal. I also say the A's get out to an early start here as well finally. The outright is possible, but the official call is to play the A's on the runline!

AAA Sports

10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOM)

The Blue Jays have made a lot of moves in the offseason which have many believe that they're now the team to beat in the American League. That may turn out to be the case, but on Opening Day, almost anythign can happen (just ask the Braves!) I see this one being decided late or even in extra innings, so I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Sonny Gray was 8-12 with a 4.59 ERA in 29 starts for the Rockies last year and in 2 career outings vs. the Jays he's 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Jose Berriors was 12-9 with a 3.52 ERA in 32 starts betwen Toronto and Minnesota last year. He's 2-1 with a pedestrian 5.47 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Jays; the play is Texas on the runline!

AAA Sports

This is a 10* on LAD -1.5 (money line)

They won 106 regular season games with a near $300 million payroll. But the Dodgers have to win a one-game playoff to move on. They finished one game back of the Giants in the NL West. San Francisco had the best record in the majors. If LA wins Wednesday, then they will move on to face those Giants in the NLDS. But first they must concern themselves with a St. Louis team that’s won 19 of its last 22 games. It was an incredible run for St. Louis to get here but they are pretty clearly outclassed in this matchup. The Dodgers are 18-3 in their last 21 games and have won the last seven. So they are every bit as hot as St. Louis is, if not hotter. They’ve also been much better over the full regular season. Max Scherzer was an unbelievable midseason acquisition for LA as they’ve won all 11 of his starts since he came over, even the last two when he didn’t pitch all that well. Scherzer has a 2.46 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over the full year. We understand that Adam Wainwright of the Cardinals has an 8-0 team start record his previous eight trips to the hill. But he did allow four runs the one time he faced the Dodgers. The last time Scherzer faced St. Louis, not only was it only an unearned run allowed in eight innings but he also had 13 strikeouts. The Dodgers have outscored teams by 1.8 runs/game at home, so we will gladly play the run line. Play LA DODGERS -1.5 (RUN LINE)

AAA

This is a 10* on WASH +1.5 (RUN LINE)

At the most critical point of the season, Boston is not playing like a team that wants to be a part of the postseason. They just lost two of three to a Baltimore team that has the worst record in the American League. That leaves them tied for the second Wild Card (with Seattle) and a game in front of Toronto. The Red Sox also got swept by the Yankees last weekend at Fenway Park. The final series of the regular season will be in an unfamiliar place, the Nation’s capital, as they take on the Nationals. Given Boston’s sudden inability to score runs, we will take the home team +1.5 on the run line. As far as the schedule is concerned, Washington has a slight edge heading into tonight’s opener as they were off on Thursday. They’re also going to have Jesse Rogers on the hill and he has given up no more than three runs in any of his five starts. He has a 0.84 WHIP at home. Boston goes with Eduardo Rodriguez. They’ve lost three of his last four starts and truthfully he’s not pitched as well as his 18-12 TSR for the year might indicate. The Red Sox have dropped five of their last seven series openers while the Nationals are 9-0 in their L9 interleague home games. Play WASHINGTON +1.5

AAA