There’s no doubt that betting on sports is a tricky business, but there are plenty of tools that professional handicappers use to give them an added edge over the bookmaker. Some guys like to focus on situational handicapping, while others might use a contrarian approach.
Ricky Tran is primarily a “numbers guy”, with a keen eye for exploiting relevant trends and statistics. Ricky will tell you that finding hot trends is the easy part, the hard part is figuring out which of those trends to use, and which to ignore. Here are a few games that Ricky is looking at today:
1: NBA Brooklyn Nets (+11) vs. Atlanta Hawks (Nets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record)
The Nets have been underrated as road dogs this season, often failing to win but at least managing to cover the spread. They travel to Atlanta to do battle with the Hawks Saturday night, and the Hawks are a solid 13-7 SU home at Philips Arena this season. They’re off back to back losses at Charlotte and Milwaukee and will be very motivated to end that skid in front of the home crowd. Atlanta can play very good basketball on its day, and backing the unreliable Nets are always a risky proposition. Ricky says: TOSS IT!
2: NHL Ottawa Senators vs. Los Angeles Kings -205 (Senators are 1-9 in their last 10 road games, Kings are 9-2 in their last 11 home games)
The Kings have been dominant home at Staples Center all season and they’ve won seven of their last nine overall as well. The Sens have just two wins over their eight overall so this should be an easy Kings win right? WRONG, this is a typical look ahead spot for L.A. who will play their local rivals the Ducks at Anaheim tomorrow. There is no value backing the Kings at this price. Ricky says: TOSS IT!
3: NHL Washington Capitals vs. Buffalo Sabres (Capitals are 8-2 in their last 10 road games)
The Caps are boasting the best road record in the NHL and they’re entering this game on the back of six consecutive wins overall. The Sabres lost 4-1 against the Bruins here at First Niagara Center last night and they’ve lost five straight games in front of the home crowd. The Caps have won four of the last five meetings at Buffalo and should be worth a small play tonight. Ricky says: TAKE IT!