NFL Line Watch Week 9

NFL Line Watch Week 9

Each week during the pro football season, AAA Sports looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Game to bet on now

New Orleans at San Francisco (+3.5)

Early bettors have pounded the Saints on this one, and why not? New Orleans is coming off a solid performance in a win over Seattle that has kept New Orleans alive in a wide-open NFC South. It was the third win in four games for the Saints, who are now 5-2 ATS. Early-week betting forced books to move the number to 3.5 from 3, but it figures to only slightly deter Saints backers. San Francisco has lost six straight after beating up on Los Angeles in the season opener, and even the home games (Tampa Bay, Dallas, Arizona) have been routs. These teams are headed in the opposite directions.

Game to wait on

Pittsburgh at Baltimore (-1)

It looks like Ben Roethlisberger will be a go, just two weeks after undergoing minor knee surgery. The Steelers are coming off their bye week, which gave the entire team a physical and mental respite before what is looking like a very important matchup in the NFC North. Cincinnati’s tie will probably gum up the works somehow as the Bengals, Steelers and Ravens sort things out over the second half of the season. The Ravens are an interesting favorite despite losing four in a row by a grand total of 15 points. Baltimore has five games left in the division – a division which always seems to produce close games.

Total to watch

Indianapolis at Green Bay (54)

Over the last few years the Packers have had success in high-scoring games, and this one seems to set up very nicely for the Aaron Rodgers A.C. Only Cleveland has given up more points than the D-less Colts (and just by 8), who over the first half of the season weren’t able to stop anyone. Indy is keeping its head above water with a decent offense, but who knows how long that can continue to happen before the bottom falls out? Both the Packers and Colts are in winnable divisions but need to hit the accelerator pedal to get things done as the weather turns warm. And speaking of weather, the forecast is for unseasonably warm temps this coming weekend, so expect a fast track. Defensive coordinators on both sides of the field should have their hands full.

By Art Aronson

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