NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

By Al McMordie

The NBA season enters this Christmas holiday week with last year’s two Finalists — Cleveland and Golden State — atop the Eastern and Western Conference, respectively.  They’ll square off against each other in the featured game on Sunday’s five-game slate.  And, as we sit here today, it likely will be the first of at least six meetings this season, given the paucity of contenders.  Let’s check out the other goings-on in the NBA.

Spread Watch

The Utah Jazz are 18-10 on the season, a testament to the great coaching job being done by Quin Snyder.  Utah was beset by multiple injuries early, but Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors are now back on the court (though George Hill and Alec Burks are currently sidelined).

The balance being displayed by the Jazz is impressive, as it currently ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, and 7th in offensive efficiency.  Only three other teams rank in the Top 10 in each category:  Golden State, San Antonio and the Los Angeles Clippers.

Utah is now 9-2-2 ATS its last 13 games, a stretch bested only by Toronto, which is on an 11-2 ATS run.

This week, the Jazz will surely be tested as two of its three games are against the NBA’s best team (Golden State) and hottest ATS team (Toronto), with a game vs. Sacramento sandwiched, in between.

The Jazz actually met Golden State less than two weeks ago, but was severely short-handed in that game, with four starters out with injury.  Thus, the game on Tuesday night at Golden State will be a much better measuring stick for Utah.  But it will be tough, given that the Warriors have won 12 of the last 13 in the series (8-5 ATS), and will also be playing at home with 2 days of rest (31-16 ATS in that situation).

Totals Watch

If you quizzed NBA fans, most would be surprised to learn that the Golden State Warriors are not #1 in offensive efficiency this season, given that they are averaging 117.9 ppg.  But it’s the Raptors who actually lead in that category.  Even more surprising is Golden State’s defensive efficiency ranking.  They lost their center, defensive stalwart Andrew Bogut, to the Mavericks.  And they opened the season by surrendering 129 points to San Antonio.

We all know that first impressions die hard, so most fans would be shocked to find out that the Warriors rank 3rd in defensive efficiency right now (the only team in the Top 3 of both offensive and defensive efficiency).  And this newfound defensive prowess paying dividends at the betting window, as Golden State has gone ‘under’ the total in seven straight games, and 13 of its last 17.

This week, the Warriors host Utah, before embarking to Brooklyn, Detroit and Cleveland.  That meeting at Cleveland will be a heated affair, as it will be the first team the two rivals will have met since their epic 7-game series last June.

Not surprisingly, given their intense nature, rematches from Playoff Series have gone ‘under’ the total more often than not.  Last season’s Christmas Day meeting between these two teams easily sailed ‘under’ the total by 35 points, with the Warriors winning 89-83.  And 11 of the 15 rematches since 2001 between NBA Finalists have gone ‘under,’ including five of six when the O/U line was greater than 193 points.

Schedule Watch

The Houston Rockets are on fire, as they’re riding a 10-game win streak.  Houston’s now 21-7 this season, a feat made even more impressive by something I touched upon in this column last week — the Rockets have played the most difficult schedule in the league, thus far (14 of their first 20 games were on the road).  Notwithstanding that initial obstacle, the Rockets currently have a margin of victory of +7.3, which ranks 5th in the league, ahead of such teams like San Antonio (+6.3) and Utah (+5.6).

This week, the Rockets will host their South Texas rival, on Tuesday, before hitting the road to play the Suns and Grizzlies.  Houston already defeated the Spurs in San Antonio, so don’t be surprised if the Spurs return the favor, and upset Houston at the Toyota Center.  For technical support, consider that the Spurs are 47-25 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a home loss, including 32-12 ATS vs. a foe off a win.

Injury Watch

The Los Angeles Clippers are 20-8, and have the league’s 3rd best margin of victory (+8.0).  Many thought this might be the year when the star-crossed franchise would finally put it together to make a run at the NBA Finals.

But sobering news arrived this past weekend when it was learned that forward Blake Griffin will have minor surgery on his right knee.  He’ll be out until mid-January, at the least.  And in the ultra-competitive Western Conference, that will no doubt doom Los Angeles to eventually finish behind the Spurs (22-5) and Rockets (21-7) in the Playoff seeding, if not also Utah (18-10).

Admittedly, the Clippers did better than expected last year when Griffin was sidelined.  But this is a different season, and Los Angeles has already started to significantly lose against the spread, as it’s 4-13 ATS its last 17 games.

This week, the Clippers will host Denver, San Antonio and Dallas, before playing the Lakers.  The game on Thursday vs. the Spurs will be critical for Los Angeles’ psyche, but the advantage must go to revenge-minded San Antonio (see our paragraph above), given that the Clippers gave San Antonio its worst loss (116-92) this season, and worst home loss since March 8, 2013 when the Trail Blazers blew them out, 136-106.

Good luck, as always…Al McMordie

And be sure to join our award-winning service today for a week or a month.  I’m on a 17-4 run in hoops, 52-32 in Football, and 75-40 in hockey!  And our 10* College Football Game of the Year is coming shortly, so don’t miss out!

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.

More Reading

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

Betting on Stocks? 5 YouTube Channels You Should Consider Following

7 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report

Perhaps getting your investment advice from a group of millennials on a Reddit forum isn't a very well thought out plan. That's particularly true when their top stock pick (GME) is a company that is currently trading at 20 x pre-Covid levels, despite a failing business model.

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

UpickTrade - Who Are They? Sponsorship Deal With Vegas Golden Knights

8 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report, Service Plays Reviews

Never heard of UPickTrade? You are most likely not alone. On Wednesday, February 24, 2021, the NHL team Vegas Golden Knights announced an eyebrow-raising multi-year partnership with Mexico-based UpickTrade, a service selling sports picks recommendations to sports bettors

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

Steve Stevens Calling Out Vegas Dave is Like Cardi B Slut Shaming Nicki Minaj

8 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report, Featured

The fact that Darin Notaro, AKA Steve Stevens would launch an attack on Vegas Dave seems almost comical, considering all they seem to have in common.

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

The Hottest Female Handicappers On The Internet In 2021

9 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report

Who are the hottest women in sports betting 2021? We have compiled a list of accomplished women with their finger on the pulse for you to keep your eye on.

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

The Best Sports Handicappers on Twitter 2021

9 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report

we now live in an era where many of the things we used to pay for are now available for free. Things like music, movies, books, recipes and so much more are all available for free online. Some people have decided to turn to Twitter for free sports tips

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

Who's The Best Sports Handicapper in America Over The Last Decade? - Meet Kyle Hunter

10 months ago |  Featured, Service Plays Reviews

The soft spoken and mild mannered Hunter doesn't fit the mold of your typical fast talking, obnoxious touts that sell their wares on Twitter and "The Gram".

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

Who's Making Money With Colin Cowherd's "Blazin' 5" NFL Picks? (Week 14, 2020)

11 months ago |  Capper Reviews Report, Service Plays Reviews

This weekly segment on Fox Sports features one of the most recognizable personalities in sports media (Colin Cowherd), providing his Top 5 NFL gambling picks each week.

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

The Best NFL Handicapper in the World in 2020!

1 year ago |  NFL

Some of the most recognizable names in the industry are nowhere to be found on the leaderboards. Legendary professionals like Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach, Jim Feist and Jesse Schule are off to slow starts by their standards

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

Professional Handicapper Wins Big With NBA Finals 2020

1 year ago |  NBA

There will be a long list of guys cashing winning Lakers tickets this year, but how many of those guys also had the Raptors last year? Or the MVP winner in both the last two years? Or a perfect NBA Finals card in three of the last four years?

NBA Betting Roadmap, Week 9, 2016

The Truth About Buying Sports Betting Picks - Why Buy Picks Online?

2 years ago |  Capper Reviews Report, Featured

Should you pay for picks? Before answering this question, you need to be honest with yourself about what your expectations are. The fact is (and this isn't really a secret) that gambling isn't designed to be profitable for the player.

Get Expert Free Picks Straight To Your Inbox

Holler Box