Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Take Steelers -10.5
By Brandon Shively
The Steelers basically had a bye last week when they rested all of their fantasy studs…Big Ben, Antonio Brown, and Le’veon Bell. They are playing with revenge also when the Dolphins beat them earlier this season. Pittsburgh had New England on deck and were caught looking ahead. That shouldn’t be the case today. I am looking for them to put up a big number here.
This is a big number to lay I understand, but NFL home favorites of 10 or more points are 8-3 ATS since 2002. Eight of the last 9 have had a margin of victory of 11 points or more. In these 11 games, the average margin of victory has been 16 points.
The Steelers were a 10 point favorite earlier this year and beat the Jets by 18 points. They are 4-0 ATS their L4 when a home favorite of 8 or more points winning by an average of 20 points. So the Steelers have done well when laying a big number.
The Dolphins defense has been shredded for the most part this year. They have been outgained in 5 of their last 6 games. They have gotten shed for 6.1 yards per play and 448 yards per game their last 3 games.
The Steelers have dominated the stats this year when all of their offensive players have been playing and at the end of the day, it will be way too much offense for the Dolphins to try to match. They are outmatched in every category in this game and it can’t help that the warm weather Dolphins will be playing in very cold weather with expected temperatures to be in the 15 degree range.
Brandon’s NFL Playoff Game of the Year goes this Weekend! He is 9-2 his L11 NFL Games of the Week/ Month/Year. Brandon is also 14-4 the L2 years in the Playoffs. Saturday he also has a 9* Money Maker going in the NFL and has several plays in College Basketball also, looking to build on a 6-1 run his L7 NCAAB releases and 11-4 run in All Sports his L15 Releases.