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Larry's off a four-year, +$24,326 at $100/unit NFL run (preseason through the Super Bowl). He jump starts NFL 2022 on Friday. 5-1 MLB run the L2 days. Thursday afternoon doubleheader. See ALL promos!
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My 9* Situational Stunner is on the Mil Brewers at 2:10 ET.
The Dodgers opened a four-game series in Milwaukee against the Brewers. LA won 4-0 Monday, Milwaukee bounced back with a 5-4 (11 inn) win on Tuesday and then the Dodgers won 2-1 last night. Los Angeles is now 36-7 since June 29, and with MLB's best record, are headed to 10th consecutive postseason come October (LA is 81-35 and leads SD in the NL West by 17 games!). The Milwaukee Brewers entered the current season having made the last four postseasons, winning the NL Central in 2021 and were favorites to do so again in 2022. The Brewers topped the NL Central at the break but after beginning the second half 7-1, they've lost 10 of 15 since to fall three games behind St Louis in the division race. Milwaukee is also TWO games behind the Padres for the NL's final wild card spot.
Andrew Heaney (1-0, 1.16 ERA) will get the start for LA, while Milwaukee counters with Corbin Burnes (8-5, 2.39 ERA). Heaney has been sidelined much of the season due to left-shoulder inflammation and will make his eighth start of the season, but just his FIFTH since coming off his second injured-list stint in late July. The Dodgers are 4-0 in his first four starts, without Heaney getting a decision. The reason being that he's not lasted more than 4.2 innings in ANY of those four starts. Burnes won the National League Cy Young Award last season, posting an 11-5 record with a league-leading 2.43 ERA. He had 234 strikeouts and a 0.94 WHIP. He's a more modest 8-5 in 2022 (team is 14-9 in his 23 starts) but note that since June 15, Burnes is 5-1 with a 2.30 ERA over 11 starts (Brewers are 8-3).
I'll back last year's Cy Young winner over Heaney, who basically serves as an "opener!"
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Hou Astros at 2:10 ET.
Houston entered the season having won the NL West in FOUR of the previous five seasons (three WS appearances in that span) and were preseason favorites to repeat as AL West champs. The Chicago White Sox ended an 11-year postseason drought in 2020 with a wild card appearance. They then ran away with the American League Central title last season with a 93-69 record, winning the division by 13 games over Cleveland. Chicago was a heavy favorite to win the division in 2022 but that hasn't been the case. The Astros are running away with the AL West (division lead is 11 games), as they have caught and passed the Yankees for the AL's best record. Meanwhile, the White Sox have hovered around the .500 mark for the better part of this season but after taking the first two contests of this four-game series found themselves in a virtual tie with the Twins, ONE game behind the first place Guardians (White Sox and Twins were also just ONE game behind the AL's third wild card spot).
The Astros won 3-2 last night, after squandering late leads in each of the first two games of the series. Houston maintained its 11-game lead over Seattle with the win, while Chicago's loss saw them fall one game behind Minnesota and two games behind Cleveland. Houston will send right-hander Luis Garcia (9-8, 4.03 ERA) to the mound on Thursday, while Lucas Giolito (9-6, 4.92 ERA) will get the nod for Chicago. Garcia was 11-8 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 30 appearances (28 starts) in 2021, finishing as the American League Rookie of the Year runner-up. Garcia was 5-0 in six starts (Houston was 6-0) from June 17 through July 12. However, he enters tonight's contest just 1-3 over his last four starts, posting a 5.47 ERA. Giolito was 14-9 (3.41 ERA) in 2019 and then went 4-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 12 starts during 2020 (COVID) plus 11-9 with a 3.53 ERA in 31 starts in 2021. He comes in having gone 3-0 in August (3.71 ERA) but in his previous NINE starts, he was only 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA (team was 2-7).
That poor stretch included a June 17 outing vs Houston when he was bludgeoned for a season-high EIGHT runs on seven hits (2 HRs) while lasting five-plus innings in a 13-3 thrashing. He owns a 5.46 ERA in seven career starts vs Houston, going 2-4 (team is 2-5). I had Houston last night and will come right back with them here, noting that while Garcia's home ERA is 4.88, his road ERA is 3.07 (Houston's 37-25 road record is the best in the AL).
Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).
Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.
Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.
A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.
Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."
Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.
Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).
38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.
LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).
Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).
Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).
Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).
PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).
Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).
Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".
Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).
Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."